FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FOSL • US34988V1061

4.04 USD
-0.3 (-6.91%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
4.0165 USD
-0.02 (-0.58%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:19:53 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This FOSL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

1

Overall FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. We evaluated FOSL against 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FOSL is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. FOSL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year FOSL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • FOSL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
FOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of FOSL (-9.60%) is worse than 75.56% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -59.76%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 84.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.07%, FOSL is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.6%
ROE -59.76%
ROIC 6.07%
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.87%, FOSL is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • FOSL has a Gross Margin of 55.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: FOSL outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FOSL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.87%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.74%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
FOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. FOSL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), FOSL is destroying value.
  • FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
FOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingFOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
FOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • FOSL has an Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is not the best score and indicates that FOSL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.91, FOSL is doing worse than 68.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.50 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • FOSL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.50 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.91
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC13%
FOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FOSL has a Current ratio of 1.56. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
  • FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of FOSL (1.00) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1
FOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. FOSL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.37%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.89% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -12.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%

3.2 Future

  • FOSL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.70% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.47% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
FOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
FOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

1

4. FOSL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year FOSL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
FOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 75.56% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FOSL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.57
FOSL Per share dataFOSL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. FOSL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for FOSL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

FOSL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (3/6/2026, 8:19:53 PM)

After market: 4.0165 -0.02 (-0.58%)

4.04

-0.3 (-6.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)11-13
Earnings (Next)03-10
Inst Owners51.94%
Inst Owner Change19.16%
Ins Owners4.26%
Ins Owner Change6.22%
Market Cap220.75M
Revenue(TTM)1.07B
Net Income(TTM)-67.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (26.24%)
Short Float %12.17%
Short Ratio10.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-71.57%
Max EPS beat(2)53.31%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.54%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-200%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-78.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.65%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.21
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.96
P/tB 1.98
EV/EBITDA 7.57
EPS(TTM)-1.28
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.31
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.78
OCFYN/A
SpS19.51
BVpS2.06
TBVpS2.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.6%
ROE -59.76%
ROCE 7.69%
ROIC 6.07%
ROICexc 7.58%
ROICexgc 7.6%
OM 2.87%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.74%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.83
Cap/Depr 25.66%
Cap/Sales 0.32%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 1.91
F-Score4
WACC13%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y148.74%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year119%
EBIT Next 3Y55.88%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-191.44%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-938.76%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.


What is the valuation status for FOSL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FOSL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) is expected to decline by -259.87% in the next year.