3.76 USD
+0.17 (+4.74%)
3.83 USD
+0.07 (+1.86%)
FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 46 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.
FOSL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years FOSL reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of FOSL (-8.44%) is worse than 78.26% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of FOSL (-39.57%) is worse than 84.78% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.80%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 63.04% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.44% | ||
| ROE | -39.57% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
FOSL's Operating Margin of 2.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a better Gross Margin (55.74%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
FOSL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FOSL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, FOSL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
FOSL has an Altman-Z score of 2.05. This is not the best score and indicates that FOSL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.05, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 71.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.10, FOSL is doing worse than 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC13.07%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.83 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL's Current ratio of 1.83 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 43.48% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FOSL (1.17) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for FOSL have decreased strongly by -253.47% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -16.05% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.09% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-253.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.05%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
3.2 Future
FOSL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.16% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -12.82% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2Y-32.06%
EPS Next 3Y24.05%
EPS Next 5Y21.16%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2Y-16.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-17.07%
Revenue Next 5Y-12.82%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of FOSL indicates a rather cheap valuation: FOSL is cheaper than 80.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.05% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-32.06%
EPS Next 3Y24.05%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
FOSL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
3.76
+0.17 (+4.74%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners48.81%
Inst Owner Change9.83%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change3.82%
Market Cap205.45M
Revenue(TTM)1.41B
Net Income(TTM)-59.46M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (35.64%)
Short Float %10.59%
Short Ratio4.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.57 |
EPS(TTM)-2.24
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.87
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.79
OCFYN/A
SpS19.84
BVpS2.75
TBVpS2.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.44% | ||
| ROE | -39.57% | ||
| ROCE | 6.07% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.44% | ||
| OM | 2.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 31.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
F-Score3
WACC13.07%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-253.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2Y-32.06%
EPS Next 3Y24.05%
EPS Next 5Y21.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.05%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2Y-16.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-17.07%
Revenue Next 5Y-12.82%
EBIT growth 1Y135.06%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year109.53%
EBIT Next 3Y52.14%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-14.84%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-53.88%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A
FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.
Can you provide the valuation status for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?
FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for FOSL stock?
The financial health rating of FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) is 2 / 10.