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FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:FOSL - Nasdaq - US34988V1061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.63  -0.01 (-0.61%)

After market: 1.63 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

1

FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.
In the past year FOSL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
FOSL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
FOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -13.99%, FOSL is doing worse than 78.00% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL's Return On Equity of -68.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 78.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.99%
ROE -68.25%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

With a decent Gross Margin value of 54.67%, FOSL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.00% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
FOSL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 54.67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
FOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FOSL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, FOSL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
FOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingFOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
FOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.88 indicates that FOSL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
FOSL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.88) than 72.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
FOSL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.19. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.88
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.72%
FOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of FOSL (1.84) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.14 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Quick ratio (1.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 1.14
FOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.34%, which is quite impressive.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.30%.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -12.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.34%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%28.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-8.48%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.42%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
FOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
FOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 0 2 -2 4 6

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
FOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

68.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than FOSL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.42
FOSL Per share dataFOSL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FOSL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (8/5/2025, 4:30:00 PM)

After market: 1.63 0 (0%)

1.63

-0.01 (-0.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06
Inst Owners48.01%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners2.06%
Ins Owner Change3.06%
Market Cap87.42M
Analysts43.33
Price Target5.1 (212.88%)
Short Float %3.88%
Short Ratio7.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.08
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.62
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA 21.42
EPS(TTM)-1.81
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.37
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.27
OCFYN/A
SpS20.95
BVpS2.62
TBVpS2.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.99%
ROE -68.25%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 54.67%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 18.93
Cap/Depr 35.81%
Cap/Sales 0.48%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z 1.88
F-Score4
WACC9.72%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.34%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%28.71%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-8.48%
Revenue Next Year-17.42%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y79.35%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.52%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A