FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FOSL • US34988V1061

Current stock price

4.1 USD
+0.03 (+0.74%)
At close:
4.19 USD
+0.09 (+2.2%)
After Hours:

This FOSL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. FOSL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.
  • FOSL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • FOSL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
FOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of FOSL (-11.36%) is worse than 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -76.14%, FOSL is doing worse than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of FOSL (4.70%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.36%
ROE -76.14%
ROIC 4.7%
ROA(3y)-13.62%
ROA(5y)-8.52%
ROE(3y)-68.99%
ROE(5y)-42.48%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of FOSL (2.30%) is worse than 68.89% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FOSL has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of FOSL (56.07%) is better than 62.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FOSL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.3%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.07%
OM growth 3Y76.7%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.33%
GM growth 5Y3.26%
FOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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1

2. FOSL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FOSL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • FOSL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
FOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingFOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
FOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.77, we must say that FOSL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.77, FOSL is doing worse than 75.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.69 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.69, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 84.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.69
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.77
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC11.51%
FOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.55 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • FOSL has a worse Current ratio (1.55) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of FOSL (1.05) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.05
FOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. FOSL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.78%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue for FOSL has decreased by -12.28% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -11.09% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-129.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-18.05%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.58% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -8.65% on average per year.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.48%
EPS Next 3Y23.06%
EPS Next 5Y20.58%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2Y-16.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-8.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
FOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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1

4. FOSL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
FOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of FOSL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: FOSL is cheaper than 68.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.85
FOSL Per share dataFOSL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 23.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.48%
EPS Next 3Y23.06%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. FOSL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FOSL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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FOSL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (3/25/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 4.19 +0.09 (+2.2%)

4.1

+0.03 (+0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)05-12
Inst Owners60.24%
Inst Owner Change19.16%
Ins Owners4.26%
Ins Owner Change7.93%
Market Cap239.28M
Revenue(TTM)1.00B
Net Income(TTM)-78.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (24.39%)
Short Float %12.58%
Short Ratio8.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-353.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-635.29%
Max EPS beat(2)-71.57%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)10.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.54%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)19.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)19.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.24
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.33
P/tB 2.56
EV/EBITDA 8.85
EPS(TTM)-2.24
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.99
OCFYN/A
SpS17.21
BVpS1.76
TBVpS1.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.36%
ROE -76.14%
ROCE 5.95%
ROIC 4.7%
ROICexc 6.24%
ROICexgc 6.45%
OM 2.3%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.07%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-13.62%
ROA(5y)-8.52%
ROE(3y)-68.99%
ROE(5y)-42.48%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y91.25%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y90.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y76.7%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.33%
GM growth 5Y3.26%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.69
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.81
Cap/Depr 19.64%
Cap/Sales 0.26%
Interest Coverage 1.43
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.05
Altman-Z 1.77
F-Score3
WACC11.51%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)35.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.67%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-129.01%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2Y-76.48%
EPS Next 3Y23.06%
EPS Next 5Y20.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-18.05%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2Y-16.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-8.65%
EBIT growth 1Y167.19%
EBIT growth 3Y48.78%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year703.53%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-251.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-224.03%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.


What is the valuation status for FOSL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.