3.68 USD
-0.11 (-2.9%)
3.8685 USD
+0.19 (+5.12%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to FOSL. FOSL was compared to 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FOSL is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.
FOSL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
FOSL's Return On Assets of -9.60% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
FOSL's Return On Equity of -59.76% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 84.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of FOSL (6.07%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.6% | ||
| ROE | -59.76% | ||
| ROIC | 6.07% |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 2.87%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 64.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FOSL's Gross Margin of 55.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
FOSL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
FOSL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.88 indicates that FOSL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.88, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FOSL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.50. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.50, FOSL is doing worse than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC13.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.56, FOSL is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Quick ratio (1.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.37%, which is quite impressive.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -12.89%.
Measured over the past years, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -12.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
3.2 Future
FOSL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 28.70% yearly.
FOSL is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -10.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FOSL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year FOSL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
FOSL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FOSL is cheaper than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
FOSL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
3.68
-0.11 (-2.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners51.94%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.26%
Ins Owner Change6.22%
Market Cap201.08M
Revenue(TTM)1.07B
Net Income(TTM)-67.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (38.59%)
Short Float %11.14%
Short Ratio6.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-71.57%
Max EPS beat(2)53.31%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.54%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-200%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-78.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.79 | ||
| P/tB | 1.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.89 |
EPS(TTM)-1.28
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.31
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.78
OCFYN/A
SpS19.51
BVpS2.06
TBVpS2.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.6% | ||
| ROE | -59.76% | ||
| ROCE | 7.69% | ||
| ROIC | 6.07% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.6% | ||
| OM | 2.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 25.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.32% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score4
WACC13.05%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y148.74%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year119%
EBIT Next 3Y55.88%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-191.44%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-938.76%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A
FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.
What is the valuation status for FOSL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?
FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FOSL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) is expected to decline by -259.87% in the next year.