FOSL Fundamental Analysis - FOSSIL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FOSL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.

FOSL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.

The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.

1.2 Ratios

FOSL's Return On Assets of -8.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 77.08% of its industry peers.

With a Return On Equity value of -39.57%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.80%, FOSL is doing worse than 64.58% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROIC	4.8%

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.44%, FOSL is doing worse than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 55.74%, FOSL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FOSL has remained more or less at the same level.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FOSL is destroying value.

FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.

The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

FOSL has an Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is not the best score and indicates that FOSL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.

FOSL has a Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 77.08% of its industry peers.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.

FOSL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.10. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 72.92% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.97

ROIC/WACC0.39

WACC12.43%

2.3 Liquidity

FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.83. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

The Current ratio of FOSL (1.83) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.17, FOSL is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 61.39% over the past year.

FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.34%.

The Revenue for FOSL have been decreasing by -12.38% on average. This is quite bad

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.64% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite bad

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FOSL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Also next year FOSL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FOSL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	4.88

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FOSL!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (10/20/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 2.45 -0.05 (-2%)

2.5

+0.12 (+5.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel

GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods

Earnings (Last)08-13 2025-08-13/amc

Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05

Inst Owners48.81%

Inst Owner Change0%

Ins Owners2.05%

Ins Owner Change0.05%

Market Cap134.47M

Analysts82.86

Price Target5.1 (104%)

Short Float %9.86%

Short Ratio6.76

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)0%

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.12
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.89
P/tB	0.9
EV/EBITDA	4.88

EPS(TTM)-1.12

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.2

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-0.89

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.8

OCFYN/A

SpS20.15

BVpS2.79

TBVpS2.78

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROCE	6.07%
ROIC	4.8%
ROICexc	6.42%
ROICexgc	6.44%
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

F-Score3

Asset Turnover1.54

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	4.1
Cap/Depr	31.55%
Cap/Sales	0.41%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17
Altman-Z	1.97

F-Score3

WACC12.43%

ROIC/WACC0.39

Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%

Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%

Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%

Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y135.06%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year109.53%

EBIT Next 3Y52.14%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-14.84%

FCF growth 3Y0.19%

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-53.88%

OCF growth 3Y-2.26%

OCF growth 5YN/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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