FOSL Fundamental Analysis - FOSSIL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.

FOSL had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.

The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -8.44%, FOSL is doing worse than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.

FOSL's Return On Equity of -39.57% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 78.00% of its industry peers.

With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.80%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 62.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROIC	4.8%

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

With a Operating Margin value of 2.44%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 68.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

FOSL has a Gross Margin of 55.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: FOSL outperforms 66.00% of its industry peers.

FOSL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FOSL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.

The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.

Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

FOSL has an Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is not the best score and indicates that FOSL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.

With a Altman-Z score value of 2.01, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 74.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

FOSL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.

FOSL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.10. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	2.01

ROIC/WACC0.4

WACC11.9%

2.3 Liquidity

FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.83. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

The Current ratio of FOSL (1.83) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

FOSL has a Quick ratio of 1.17. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 52.00% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 61.39%, which is quite impressive.

Looking at the last year, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.34% in the last year.

The Revenue for FOSL have been decreasing by -12.38% on average. This is quite bad

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

3.2 Future

FOSL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 29.64% yearly.

The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite bad

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FOSL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

88.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FOSL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	5.79

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.64% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FOSL!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (8/28/2025, 11:23:00 AM)

2.995

-0.06 (-2.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel

GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods

Earnings (Last)08-13 2025-08-13/amc

Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05

Inst Owners48.18%

Inst Owner Change1.99%

Ins Owners2.06%

Ins Owner Change3.06%

Market Cap161.10M

Analysts82.86

Price Target5.1 (70.28%)

Short Float %4.15%

Short Ratio4.01

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)0%

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)N/A

EPS NY rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.91%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.15
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	1.07
P/tB	1.08
EV/EBITDA	5.79

EPS(TTM)-1.12

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.2

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-0.89

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.8

OCFYN/A

SpS20.15

BVpS2.79

TBVpS2.78

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROCE	6.07%
ROIC	4.8%
ROICexc	6.42%
ROICexgc	6.44%
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

F-Score3

Asset Turnover1.54

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	4.1
Cap/Depr	31.55%
Cap/Sales	0.41%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17
Altman-Z	2.01

F-Score3

WACC11.9%

ROIC/WACC0.4

Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%

Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%

Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%

Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y135.06%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year29.91%

EBIT Next 3Y52.14%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-14.84%

FCF growth 3Y0.19%

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-53.88%

OCF growth 3Y-2.26%

OCF growth 5YN/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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