FOSL Fundamental Analysis - FOSSIL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

Taking everything into account, FOSL scores 1 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FOSL was compared to 49 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.

In the past year FOSL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

FOSL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.

The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -8.44%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 73.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

With a Return On Equity value of -39.57%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 81.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

FOSL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.80% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 65.31% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROIC	4.8%

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

With a Operating Margin value of 2.44%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 67.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

FOSL's Gross Margin of 55.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 67.35% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FOSL has remained more or less at the same level.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FOSL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.

The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.

The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.01 indicates that FOSL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.

Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.01, FOSL is doing worse than 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of FOSL (1.10) is worse than 73.47% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	2.01

ROIC/WACC0.38

WACC12.73%

2.3 Liquidity

FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.83. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

The Current ratio of FOSL (1.83) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.17, FOSL is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 61.39% over the past year.

The Revenue for FOSL has decreased by -15.34% in the past year. This is quite bad

The Revenue for FOSL have been decreasing by -12.38% on average. This is quite bad

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.64% on average per year.

Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.68% on average per year.

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Also next year FOSL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FOSL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	5.71

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FOSL!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (9/19/2025, 8:08:55 PM)

After market: 3 0 (0%)

-0.16 (-5.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel

GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods

Earnings (Last)08-13 2025-08-13/amc

Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05

Inst Owners48.81%

Inst Owner Change1.99%

Ins Owners2.05%

Ins Owner Change3.06%

Market Cap161.37M

Analysts82.86

Price Target5.1 (70%)

Short Float %7.2%

Short Ratio5.39

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DPN/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (1m)-44%

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.15
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	1.07
P/tB	1.08
EV/EBITDA	5.71

EPS(TTM)-1.12

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.2

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-0.89

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.8

OCFYN/A

SpS20.15

BVpS2.79

TBVpS2.78

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-8.44%
ROE	-39.57%
ROCE	6.07%
ROIC	4.8%
ROICexc	6.42%
ROICexgc	6.44%
OM	2.44%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	55.74%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)-11.03%

ROA(5y)-7.54%

ROE(3y)-47.24%

ROE(5y)-31.62%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y0.71%

GM growth 5Y1.27%

F-Score3

Asset Turnover1.54

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.1
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	4.1
Cap/Depr	31.55%
Cap/Sales	0.41%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	1.83
Quick Ratio	1.17
Altman-Z	2.01

F-Score3

WACC12.73%

ROIC/WACC0.38

Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%

Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%

Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%

Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%78.72%

EPS Next Y-101.51%

EPS Next 2Y37.65%

EPS Next 3Y29.64%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%

Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%

Sales Q2Q%-15.23%

Revenue Next Year-13.86%

Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%

Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y135.06%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year109.53%

EBIT Next 3Y52.14%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-14.84%

FCF growth 3Y0.19%

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-53.88%

OCF growth 3Y-2.26%

OCF growth 5YN/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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