FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:FOSL - US34988V1061 - Common Stock
1.905 USD
-0.2 (-9.29%)
1.91 USD
+0 (+0.26%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to FOSL. FOSL was compared to 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FOSL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.
In the past year FOSL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years FOSL reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -8.44%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 77.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of -39.57%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FOSL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.80% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.44% | ||
| ROE | -39.57% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
FOSL has a Operating Margin of 2.44%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 70.83% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 55.74%, FOSL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FOSL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FOSL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has more shares outstanding
FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.96 indicates that FOSL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
FOSL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.96) than 72.92% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.10, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.96 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC12.1%
2.3 Liquidity
FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.83. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL's Current ratio of 1.83 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 47.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL has a better Quick ratio (1.17) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 61.39% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.34% in the last year.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -12.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%78.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-15.23%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.64% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.68% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-101.51%
EPS Next 2Y37.65%
EPS Next 3Y29.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FOSL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
91.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FOSL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 29.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y37.65%
EPS Next 3Y29.64%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for FOSL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
1.905
-0.2 (-9.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners48.81%
Inst Owner Change1.41%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.05%
Market Cap102.47M
Revenue(TTM)1.08B
Net Income(TTM)-59.46M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (167.72%)
Short Float %10.58%
Short Ratio4.56
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.09 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.68 | ||
| P/tB | 0.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.51 |
EPS(TTM)-1.12
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.2
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.89
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.8
OCFYN/A
SpS20.15
BVpS2.79
TBVpS2.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.44% | ||
| ROE | -39.57% | ||
| ROCE | 6.07% | ||
| ROIC | 4.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.44% | ||
| OM | 2.44% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 31.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.83 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.96 |
F-Score3
WACC12.1%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.39%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%78.72%
EPS Next Y-101.51%
EPS Next 2Y37.65%
EPS Next 3Y29.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-15.23%
Revenue Next Year-13.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y135.06%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year109.53%
EBIT Next 3Y52.14%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-14.84%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-53.88%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A
FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.
Can you provide the valuation status for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?
FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for FOSL stock?
The financial health rating of FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) is 2 / 10.