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FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD (FM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:FM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA3359341052 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

18.82  -0.42 (-2.18%)

Fundamental Rating

5

FM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 802 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. FM scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. FM has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FM was profitable.
FM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: FM reported negative net income in multiple years.
FM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 0.57%, FM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.79% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Return On Equity of 1.22% is amongst the best of the industry. FM outperforms 87.03% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of FM (3.75%) is better than 91.02% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for FM is significantly below the industry average of 24.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.57%
ROE 1.22%
ROIC 3.75%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.53%
ROE(3y)0.06%
ROE(5y)1.29%
ROIC(3y)4.33%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
FM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 2.78%, FM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of FM has declined.
FM's Operating Margin of 23.63% is amongst the best of the industry. FM outperforms 94.02% of its industry peers.
FM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
FM's Gross Margin of 30.77% is amongst the best of the industry. FM outperforms 91.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.63%
PM (TTM) 2.78%
GM 30.77%
OM growth 3Y-15.13%
OM growth 5Y4.01%
PM growth 3Y-84.66%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.5%
GM growth 5Y7.67%
FM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FM is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FM has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for FM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, FM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
FM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingFM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
FM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.25, we must say that FM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of FM (1.25) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
FM has a debt to FCF ratio of 66.92. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as FM would need 66.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 66.92, FM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.65% of the companies in the same industry.
FM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating FM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.65, FM is doing worse than 73.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 66.92
Altman-Z 1.25
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC9.03%
FM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.87 indicates that FM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FM has a Current ratio (1.87) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.94 indicates that FM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.94, FM is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.94
FM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 128.57%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, FM shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -87.24% on average per year.
FM shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.48%.
FM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)128.57%
EPS 3Y-87.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%14.86%

3.2 Future

FM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 96.84% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, FM will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-162.65%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
EPS Next 5Y96.84%
Revenue Next Year-3.31%
Revenue Next 2Y17.1%
Revenue Next 3Y23.82%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
FM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 85.55 indicates a quite expensive valuation of FM.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of FM indicates a rather cheap valuation: FM is cheaper than 86.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
FM is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 23.99, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
FM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.85.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FM indicates a rather cheap valuation: FM is cheaper than 89.28% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FM to the average of the S&P500 Index (20.35), we can say FM is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.55
Fwd PE 20.85
FM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

FM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FM is cheaper than 91.52% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FM is cheaper than 90.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 95.63
EV/EBITDA 10.29
FM.CA Per share dataFM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FM's earnings are expected to grow with 263.15% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.78%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, FM pays a better dividend. On top of this FM pays more dividend than 97.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, FM has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.78%

5.2 History

FM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
FM has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
FM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareFM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
FM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD

TSX:FM (5/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

18.82

-0.42 (-2.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)04-23 2025-04-23/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2025-07-21/amc
Inst Owners51.56%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.70B
Analysts76.13
Price Target22 (16.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.78%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)66.2%
Min EPS beat(2)32.41%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)294.03%
Min EPS beat(4)32.41%
Max EPS beat(4)1000.59%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)117.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)75.99%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)57.03%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.74%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.77%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.95%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.12%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.05%
PT rev (1m)0.7%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)49.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)36.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-29.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-231.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.55
Fwd PE 20.85
P/S 2.3
P/FCF 95.63
P/OCF 8.23
P/B 1
P/tB 1.02
EV/EBITDA 10.29
EPS(TTM)0.22
EY1.17%
EPS(NY)0.9
Fwd EY4.8%
FCF(TTM)0.2
FCFY1.05%
OCF(TTM)2.29
OCFY12.15%
SpS8.2
BVpS18.76
TBVpS18.36
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.57%
ROE 1.22%
ROCE 5.21%
ROIC 3.75%
ROICexc 3.88%
ROICexgc 3.92%
OM 23.63%
PM (TTM) 2.78%
GM 30.77%
FCFM 2.4%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.53%
ROE(3y)0.06%
ROE(5y)1.29%
ROIC(3y)4.33%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)5.02%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)5.07%
ROCE(3y)6.03%
ROCE(5y)6.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-25.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.47%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.47%
OM growth 3Y-15.13%
OM growth 5Y4.01%
PM growth 3Y-84.66%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.5%
GM growth 5Y7.67%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 66.92
Debt/EBITDA 4.05
Cap/Depr 199.06%
Cap/Sales 25.5%
Interest Coverage 1.88
Cash Conversion 76.58%
Profit Quality 86.23%
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.94
Altman-Z 1.25
F-Score6
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)138%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)128.57%
EPS 3Y-87.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y-162.65%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
EPS Next 5Y96.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.48%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%14.86%
Revenue Next Year-3.31%
Revenue Next 2Y17.1%
Revenue Next 3Y23.82%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%
EBIT growth 1Y27.14%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.89%
EBIT growth 5Y7.52%
EBIT Next Year99.86%
EBIT Next 3Y74.74%
EBIT Next 5Y33.27%
FCF growth 1Y-85.38%
FCF growth 3Y-42.2%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.69%
OCF growth 3Y-16.98%
OCF growth 5Y13.18%