FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FLY • US31816X1063

Current stock price

23.63 USD
+0.41 (+1.77%)
Last:

This FLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. FLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year FLY was profitable.
  • FLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • FLY had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years FLY always reported negative operating cash flow.
FLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -18.30%, FLY is not doing good in the industry: 74.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • FLY has a worse Return On Equity (-28.07%) than 75.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2023 2024 2025 0 1K 2K 3K

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 19.18%, FLY is not doing good in the industry: 63.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for FLY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. FLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLY has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for FLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
FLY Yearly Shares OutstandingFLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
FLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • FLY has an Altman-Z score of 2.83. This is not the best score and indicates that FLY is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FLY has a Altman-Z score (2.83) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24 indicates that FLY is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.24, FLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.83
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.48%
FLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • FLY has a Current Ratio of 4.51. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of FLY (4.51) is better than 82.28% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 4.51 indicates that FLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 4.51, FLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
FLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

0

3. FLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FLY have decreased strongly by -73.60% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.90% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%86.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.14%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -28.96% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • FLY is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -13.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.96%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
FLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
FLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4 6

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4

4. FLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.50, the valuation of FLY can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, FLY is valued cheaper than 94.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • FLY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.72, FLY is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLY indicates a rather cheap valuation: FLY is cheaper than 91.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.42), we can say FLY is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.5
Fwd PE 16.72
FLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
FLY Per share dataFLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • FLY's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.18% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)6.57
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. FLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for FLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

FLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC

NASDAQ:FLY (3/23/2026, 1:22:07 PM)

23.63

+0.41 (+1.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)03-19
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners37.87%
Inst Owner Change-2.71%
Ins Owners10.21%
Ins Owner Change1.81%
Market Cap3.76B
Revenue(TTM)159.85M
Net Income(TTM)-333.96M
Analysts76.67
Price Target39.05 (65.26%)
Short Float %5.15%
Short Ratio1.86
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.49%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.58%
Min EPS beat(2)18.66%
Max EPS beat(2)20.51%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.98%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.5
Fwd PE 16.72
P/S 23.54
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.16
P/tB 6.55
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY8%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY5.98%
FCF(TTM)-1.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.29
OCFYN/A
SpS1
BVpS7.47
TBVpS3.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)6.57
Graham Number17.83
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 141.76%
Cap/Sales 20.53%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
Altman-Z 2.83
F-Score5
WACC10.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)681.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)71.39%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%86.07%
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.14%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year50.15%
EBIT Next 3Y42.68%
EBIT Next 5Y33.36%
FCF growth 1Y-24.9%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.99%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC / FLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FLY.


What is the valuation status of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for FLY stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is 12.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.16.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is expected to decline by -63.43% in the next year.