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FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:FLY - US31816X1063 - Common Stock

28.13 USD
-2.21 (-7.28%)
Last: 1/21/2026, 12:57:07 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall FLY gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated FLY against 73 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. The financial health of FLY is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. FLY is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year FLY has reported negative net income.
FLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • FLY has a Return On Assets of -44.48%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: FLY underperforms 83.56% of its industry peers.
  • FLY has a Return On Equity of -58.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FLY underperforms 78.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.48%
ROE -58.89%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2023 2024 0 1K 2K 3K

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of FLY (2.05%) is worse than 82.19% of its industry peers.
  • FLY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 2.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • FLY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
FLY Yearly Shares OutstandingFLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2023 2024 50M 100M
FLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • FLY has an Altman-Z score of 8.28. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of FLY (8.28) is better than 72.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.03 indicates that FLY is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of FLY (0.03) is better than 87.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 8.28
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.04%
FLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2023 2024 0 100M -100M

2.3 Liquidity

  • FLY has a Current Ratio of 6.20. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FLY has a better Current ratio (6.20) than 89.04% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 6.20 indicates that FLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 6.20, FLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.04% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.2
Quick Ratio 6.2
FLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FLY have decreased strongly by -69.72% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, FLY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.06% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-69.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.06%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLY will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.18% on average per year.
  • FLY is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 42.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y-200.33%
EPS Next 2Y-56.39%
EPS Next 3Y-26.82%
EPS Next 5Y-7.18%
Revenue Next Year-51.31%
Revenue Next 2Y18.76%
Revenue Next 3Y36.46%
Revenue Next 5Y42.45%

3.3 Evolution

FLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
FLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4 6

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • FLY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year FLY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
FLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
FLY Per share dataFLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as FLY's earnings are expected to decrease with -26.82% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-56.39%
EPS Next 3Y-26.82%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for FLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC

NASDAQ:FLY (1/21/2026, 12:57:07 PM)

28.13

-2.21 (-7.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)11-12
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners51.68%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners10.2%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap4.48B
Revenue(TTM)162.97M
Net Income(TTM)-558.72M
Analysts76.67
Price Target37.74 (34.16%)
Short Float %3.78%
Short Ratio1.58
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-538.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-1095.8%
Max EPS beat(2)18.66%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.98%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-33.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-47.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-81.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)45.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 27.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.72
P/tB 4.81
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.89
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.29
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.02
BVpS5.96
TBVpS5.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -44.48%
ROE -58.89%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 2.05%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.2
Quick Ratio 6.2
Altman-Z 8.28
F-ScoreN/A
WACC10.04%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-69.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y-200.33%
EPS Next 2Y-56.39%
EPS Next 3Y-26.82%
EPS Next 5Y-7.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.06%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next Year-51.31%
Revenue Next 2Y18.76%
Revenue Next 3Y36.46%
Revenue Next 5Y42.45%
EBIT growth 1Y-57.5%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-1.2%
EBIT Next 3Y32.41%
EBIT Next 5Y33.34%
FCF growth 1Y-11.52%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC / FLY FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FLY.


What is the valuation status of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is expected to decline by -200.33% in the next year.