FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FLY • US31816X1063

Current stock price

31.6601 USD
-2.56 (-7.48%)
Last:

This FLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. FLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • FLY had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years FLY always reported negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years FLY always reported negative operating cash flow.
FLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • FLY's Return On Assets of -18.30% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FLY is outperformed by 78.75% of its industry peers.
  • FLY's Return On Equity of -28.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FLY is outperformed by 76.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2023 2024 2025 0 1K 2K 3K

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 19.18%, FLY is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for FLY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. FLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLY has more shares outstanding
  • FLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
FLY Yearly Shares OutstandingFLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
FLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • FLY has an Altman-Z score of 4.50. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FLY's Altman-Z score of 4.50 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FLY outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • FLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.24, FLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.5
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.94%
FLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.51 indicates that FLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • FLY has a better Current ratio (4.51) than 77.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 4.51 indicates that FLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 4.51, FLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
FLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

0

3. FLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FLY have decreased strongly by -73.60% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.90% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%89.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.13%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -28.91% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.98% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.91%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
FLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
FLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4 6

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2

4. FLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.75, FLY is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, FLY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • FLY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.41, the valuation of FLY can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FLY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.99), we can say FLY is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.75
Fwd PE 22.41
FLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
FLY Per share dataFLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as FLY's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.18% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.8
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. FLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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FLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC

NASDAQ:FLY (4/29/2026, 11:15:54 AM)

31.6601

-2.56 (-7.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Industry Strength71.43
Industry Growth88.82
Earnings (Last)03-19
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners37.85%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners9.69%
Ins Owner Change1.88%
Market Cap5.06B
Revenue(TTM)159.85M
Net Income(TTM)-333.96M
Analysts76.67
Price Target33.51 (5.84%)
Short Float %7.27%
Short Ratio1.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.49%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.3%
Min EPS beat(2)18.66%
Max EPS beat(2)19.95%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.98%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-14.18%
PT rev (3m)-11.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-29.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.75
Fwd PE 22.41
P/S 31.68
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.26
P/tB 8.82
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY5.97%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY4.46%
FCF(TTM)-1.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.28
OCFYN/A
SpS1
BVpS7.44
TBVpS3.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.8
Graham Number17.7866 (-43.82%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 141.76%
Cap/Sales 20.53%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
Altman-Z 4.5
F-Score5
WACC9.94%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)681.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)71.39%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%89.23%
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.13%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%
EBIT growth 1Y-25.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year3.71%
EBIT Next 3Y28.84%
EBIT Next 5Y33.36%
FCF growth 1Y-24.9%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.99%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC / FLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FLY.


What is the valuation status of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of FLY stock?

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is 16.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.26.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for FLY stock?

The dividend rating of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.49%.