FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FLY • US31816X1063

Current stock price

30.15 USD
+1.68 (+5.9%)
Last:

This FLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. FLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year FLY was profitable.
  • In the past year FLY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years FLY always reported negative net income.
  • FLY had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • FLY has a Return On Assets of -18.30%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FLY underperforms 74.68% of its industry peers.
  • FLY's Return On Equity of -28.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FLY is outperformed by 74.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2023 2024 2025 0 1K 2K 3K

1.3 Margins

  • FLY has a worse Gross Margin (19.18%) than 60.76% of its industry peers.
  • FLY does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. FLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FLY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLY has more shares outstanding
  • FLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
FLY Yearly Shares OutstandingFLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
FLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • FLY has an Altman-Z score of 3.61. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.61, FLY is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • FLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • FLY has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.24) than 70.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.61
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.76%
FLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • FLY has a Current Ratio of 4.51. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FLY has a Current ratio of 4.51. This is amongst the best in the industry. FLY outperforms 82.28% of its industry peers.
  • FLY has a Quick Ratio of 4.51. This indicates that FLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 4.51, FLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
FLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

0

3. FLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FLY have decreased strongly by -73.60% in the last year.
  • FLY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.90% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%89.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.13%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLY will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -28.96% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLY will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.96%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
FLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
FLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4 6

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3

4. FLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.95 indicates a correct valuation of FLY.
  • 93.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FLY, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.58), we can say FLY is valued slightly cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.34, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of FLY.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FLY is valued cheaper than 87.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.81. FLY is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.95
Fwd PE 21.34
FLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
FLY Per share dataFLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as FLY's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.18% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.38
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. FLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

FLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC

NASDAQ:FLY (4/1/2026, 1:28:06 PM)

30.15

+1.68 (+5.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)03-19
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners37.87%
Inst Owner Change-2.71%
Ins Owners10.21%
Ins Owner Change1.81%
Market Cap4.80B
Revenue(TTM)159.85M
Net Income(TTM)-333.96M
Analysts76.67
Price Target37.89 (25.67%)
Short Float %5.46%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.49%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.3%
Min EPS beat(2)18.66%
Max EPS beat(2)19.95%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.98%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.98%
PT rev (3m)0.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.95
Fwd PE 21.34
P/S 30.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.03
P/tB 8.36
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY6.27%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY4.69%
FCF(TTM)-1.49
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.29
OCFYN/A
SpS1
BVpS7.47
TBVpS3.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.38
Graham Number17.83
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.3%
ROE -28.07%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.18%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-44.07%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 141.76%
Cap/Sales 20.53%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.51
Quick Ratio 4.51
Altman-Z 3.61
F-Score5
WACC9.76%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)681.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)71.39%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.6%
EPS 3Y30.01%
EPS 5Y1.9%
EPS Q2Q%89.23%
EPS Next Y-63.43%
EPS Next 2Y-13.54%
EPS Next 3Y-2.18%
EPS Next 5Y-28.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.13%
Revenue Next Year-13.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y-13.98%
EBIT growth 1Y-25.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year50.15%
EBIT Next 3Y42.68%
EBIT Next 5Y33.36%
FCF growth 1Y-24.9%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.99%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC / FLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FLY.


What is the valuation status of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of FLY stock?

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is 15.95 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.03.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for FLY stock?

The dividend rating of FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.49%.