FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FLMN • US30607B1098

Current stock price

7.77
+0.04 (+0.52%)
At close:
7.36
-0.41 (-5.28%)
After Hours:

This FLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. FLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FLMN had positive earnings in the past year.
FLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.18%
ROE 10.92%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.84%
PM (TTM) 17.26%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20 40 60 80 100

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3

2. FLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLMN has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for FLMN is higher compared to a year ago.
FLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingFLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M
FLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.80 indicates that FLMN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.8
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
FLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.35 indicates that FLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • FLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.35. This indicates that FLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.35
Quick Ratio 2.35
FLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M 20M

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6

3. FLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1350.00% over the past year.
  • FLMN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.20% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 105.87% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, FLMN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1350%
EPS 3Y-10.2%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)105.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.22%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%78.4%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLMN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.80% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 38.27% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y89.72%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
EPS Next 5Y10.8%
Revenue Next Year225.4%
Revenue Next 2Y103.24%
Revenue Next 3Y59.57%
Revenue Next 5Y38.27%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
FLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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2

4. FLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 31.08 indicates a quite expensive valuation of FLMN.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.61), we can say FLMN is valued slightly more expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.32 indicates a rather expensive valuation of FLMN.
  • FLMN is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.08
Fwd PE 19.32
FLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.83
FLMN Per share dataFLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as FLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 21.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%

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4

5. FLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FLMN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.35%, which is a nice return.
  • FLMN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.35%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of FLMN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 71.60%!
  • FLMN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)71.6%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
FLMN Yearly Dividends per shareFLMN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • FLMN pays out 192.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • FLMN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP192.55%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
FLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M
FLMN Dividend Payout.FLMN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FLMN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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FLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FALCON MINERALS CORP

NASDAQ:FLMN (6/3/2022, 8:20:24 PM)

After market: 7.36 -0.41 (-5.28%)

7.77

+0.04 (+0.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-04
Earnings (Next)08-02
Inst Owners0.93%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners9.6%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap672.18M
Revenue(TTM)77.80M
Net Income(TTM)13.43M
Analysts78.46
Price Target35.99 (363.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.35%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)71.6%
DP192.55%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.08
Fwd PE 19.32
P/S 8.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.46
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.83
EPS(TTM)0.25
EY3.22%
EPS(NY)0.4
Fwd EY5.18%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS0.9
BVpS1.42
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.18%
ROE 10.92%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 50.84%
PM (TTM) 17.26%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.35
Quick Ratio 2.35
Altman-Z 3.8
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1350%
EPS 3Y-10.2%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y89.72%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
EPS Next 5Y10.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)105.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.22%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%78.4%
Revenue Next Year225.4%
Revenue Next 2Y103.24%
Revenue Next 3Y59.57%
Revenue Next 5Y38.27%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FALCON MINERALS CORP / FLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to FLMN.


What is the valuation status of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for FLMN stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) is 31.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.46.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for FLMN stock?

The dividend rating of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 192.55%.