FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:FLMN • US30607B1098

7.77
+0.04 (+0.52%)
At close: Jun 3, 2022
7.36
-0.41 (-5.28%)
After Hours: 6/3/2022, 8:20:24 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to FLMN. FLMN was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. FLMN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FLMN is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FLMN had positive earnings in the past year.
FLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.18%
ROE 10.92%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.84%
PM (TTM) 17.26%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20 40 60 80 100

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLMN has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for FLMN is higher compared to a year ago.
FLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingFLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M
FLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.2 Solvency

  • FLMN has an Altman-Z score of 3.80. This indicates that FLMN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.8
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
FLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • FLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.35. This indicates that FLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.35 indicates that FLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.35
Quick Ratio 2.35
FLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M 20M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1350.00% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for FLMN have been decreasing by -10.20% on average. This is quite bad
  • FLMN shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 105.87%.
  • Measured over the past years, FLMN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1350%
EPS 3Y-10.2%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)105.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.22%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%78.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.80% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLMN will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 38.27% on average per year.
EPS Next Y89.72%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
EPS Next 5Y10.8%
Revenue Next Year225.4%
Revenue Next 2Y103.24%
Revenue Next 3Y59.57%
Revenue Next 5Y38.27%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
FLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
FLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.08, FLMN can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.32, FLMN is valued at the same level.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.32, the valuation of FLMN can be described as rather expensive.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.57), we can say FLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.08
Fwd PE 19.32
FLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.83
FLMN Per share dataFLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as FLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 21.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.35%, FLMN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, FLMN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.35%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of FLMN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 71.60%!
  • FLMN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)71.6%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
FLMN Yearly Dividends per shareFLMN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • FLMN pays out 192.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of FLMN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP192.55%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
FLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M
FLMN Dividend Payout.FLMN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FLMN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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FALCON MINERALS CORP / FLMN FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to FLMN.


What is the valuation status of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) stock?

FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for FLMN stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) is 31.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.46.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for FLMN stock?

The dividend rating of FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 192.55%.