NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EYE • US63845R1077

Current stock price

25.07 USD
-0.61 (-2.38%)
Last:

This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EYE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • EYE's Return On Assets of 1.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.40%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (3.13%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.03%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.58%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.03%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(3.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • EYE has a Profit Margin of 1.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 56.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EYE has declined.
  • EYE's Operating Margin of 3.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.77%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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4

2. EYE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EYE is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • EYE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.28 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.28, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE (3.35) is better than 71.54% of its industry peers.
  • EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.26, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 2.28
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC8.35%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of EYE (0.55) is worse than 90.24% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.33 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.33, EYE is doing worse than 72.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. EYE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EYE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.45%, which is quite impressive.
  • EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.44% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 9.00% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.03% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%

3.2 Future

  • EYE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.12% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.96%
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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3

4. EYE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 31.34, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EYE.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.89. EYE is around the same levels.
  • EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.08.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 38.50.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.34
Fwd PE 25.08
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EYE.
  • EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.11
EV/EBITDA 14.02
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 24.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. EYE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for EYE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (4/20/2026, 11:29:20 AM)

25.07

-0.61 (-2.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners119.64%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change16.13%
Market Cap1.99B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts82.5
Price Target35.98 (43.52%)
Short Float %14.15%
Short Ratio8
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)5.92%
PT rev (3m)7.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.34
Fwd PE 25.08
P/S 1
P/FCF 27.11
P/OCF 13.61
P/B 2.29
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.02
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY3.19%
EPS(NY)1
Fwd EY3.99%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY3.69%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY7.35%
SpS25.02
BVpS10.95
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.0365 (-44.01%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 4.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 8.41%
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
FCFM 3.7%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 79.91%
Cap/Sales 3.66%
Interest Coverage 3.62
Cash Conversion 91.26%
Profit Quality 248.15%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z 2.28
F-Score8
WACC8.35%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y24.96%
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year137.35%
EBIT Next 3Y46.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EYE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is expected to grow by 24.96% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.