25.94 USD
-0.62 (-2.33%)
25.94 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, EYE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EYE was compared to 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has an average financial health and profitability rating. EYE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EYE was profitable.
In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EYE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EYE (-0.12%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of EYE (-0.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.98%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 12.14%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of EYE (3.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.69%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.18% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EYE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.29. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of EYE (2.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.05, EYE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.29 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC9.15%
2.3 Liquidity
EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EYE's Current ratio of 0.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 91.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Quick ratio (0.32) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.68% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.53% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.52% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.18% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 42.52 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EYE.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.77.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.24, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EYE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.35), we can say EYE is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EYE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 24.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 27.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EYE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
25.94
-0.62 (-2.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners115.98%
Inst Owner Change6.72%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change2.32%
Market Cap2.06B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.56 (29.38%)
Short Float %12.92%
Short Ratio6.06
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)6.82%
PT rev (3m)14.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.24 | ||
| P/S | 1.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 24.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.59 | ||
| P/B | 2.4 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.5 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.35%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.54%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY4.03%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.94%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.29 |
F-Score7
WACC9.15%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.38%
EBIT Next 3Y58.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.