NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EYE - US63845R1077 - Common Stock
25.47 USD
-0.14 (-0.55%)
25.47 USD
0 (0%)
EYE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 119 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. EYE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EYE was profitable.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EYE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EYE (-0.72%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -1.66%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.94% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (2.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 11.94%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.65%) for EYE is above the 3 year average (1.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.72% | ||
| ROE | -1.66% | ||
| ROIC | 2.65% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 2.76%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.94% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.61%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.39% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.61% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EYE is destroying value.
EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EYE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.19. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EYE's Altman-Z score of 2.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 49.58% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 4.80, which is a neutral value as it means it would take EYE, 4.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EYE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.80) than 63.87% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EYE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 59.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC9.03%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a Current ratio of 0.52. This is amonst the worse of the industry: EYE underperforms 92.44% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.31, EYE is doing worse than 74.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.00% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.68% on average over the past years.
EYE shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.45%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.45%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.68%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.75% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y26.89%
EPS Next 2Y23.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y5.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 42.45.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, EYE is valued quite expensively.
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.46.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EYE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 21.75% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.75%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for EYE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
25.47
-0.14 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.99%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners1.95%
Ins Owner Change5.42%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.89B
Net Income(TTM)-14148000
Analysts81.33
Price Target29.43 (15.55%)
Short Float %11.8%
Short Ratio4.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.89%
Min EPS beat(2)9.52%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)34.01%
Min EPS beat(4)9.52%
Max EPS beat(4)83.55%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)45.05%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)16.75%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)81.36%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.43%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)25.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.46 | ||
| P/S | 1.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.55 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.94 | ||
| P/B | 2.37 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.01 |
EPS(TTM)0.6
EY2.36%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY3.28%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY2.81%
OCF(TTM)1.83
OCFY7.17%
SpS23.81
BVpS10.74
TBVpS-1.21
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.72% | ||
| ROE | -1.66% | ||
| ROCE | 3.36% | ||
| ROIC | 2.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.41% | ||
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.61% | ||
| FCFM | 3.01% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.82 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.87% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.52 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
F-Score6
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y26.89%
EPS Next 2Y23.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.45%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.68%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y5.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y58.39%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.78%
EBIT Next 3Y52.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y80.13%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y0.91%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 3 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.