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NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:EYE - US63845R1077 - Common Stock

28.64 USD
+0.24 (+0.85%)
Last: 11/26/2025, 10:01:53 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated EYE against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has an average financial health and profitability rating. EYE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of EYE (-0.12%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of EYE (-0.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (2.98%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.80%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROIC 2.98%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.03%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.28% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EYE has a Gross Margin of 58.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EYE outperforms 88.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.37 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.37, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.56% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EYE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.05) than 73.77% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
EYE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 60.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Altman-Z 2.37
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC8.93%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Current ratio (0.53) than 91.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.32, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 69.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% on average per year.
EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.53%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EYE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 46.95, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EYE.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.98, EYE is valued quite expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 33.85, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.79, EYE is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46.95
Fwd PE 33.85
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EYE.
66.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EYE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.34
EV/EBITDA 16.46
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 21.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

EYE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (11/26/2025, 10:01:53 AM)

28.64

+0.24 (+0.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/bmo
Inst Owners108.99%
Inst Owner Change6.71%
Ins Owners1.95%
Ins Owner Change6.33%
Market Cap2.27B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target31.42 (9.71%)
Short Float %13.37%
Short Ratio5.33
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)6.76%
PT rev (3m)6.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)24.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46.95
Fwd PE 33.85
P/S 1.18
P/FCF 27.34
P/OCF 13.88
P/B 2.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.46
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.13%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY2.95%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.66%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.2%
SpS24.26
BVpS10.84
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROCE 3.78%
ROIC 2.98%
ROICexc 3.1%
ROICexgc 8.57%
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
FCFM 4.32%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.59
Cap/Depr 88.98%
Cap/Sales 4.19%
Interest Coverage 2.85
Cash Conversion 109.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 2.37
F-Score7
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.78%
EBIT Next 3Y52.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EYE stock?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.