28.85 USD
-0.16 (-0.55%)
28.85 USD
0 (0%)
EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has an average financial health and profitability rating. While showing a medium growth rate, EYE is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EYE was profitable.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
EYE has a Return On Assets (-0.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a Return On Equity (-0.27%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE's Return On Invested Capital of 2.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 46.72% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 11.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
EYE has a Operating Margin (3.03%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 58.69%, EYE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.52% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EYE is destroying value.
EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EYE has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for EYE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EYE has a Altman-Z score (2.39) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EYE's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 73.77% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EYE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28. This is in the better half of the industry: EYE outperforms 60.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC8.97%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Current ratio (0.53) than 91.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.32, EYE is doing worse than 68.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.02% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.68% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.53% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.69% on average per year.
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 47.30, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.31.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 34.10, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.59. EYE is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.1 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
65.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EYE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 21.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.75
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EYE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
28.85
-0.16 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.99%
Inst Owner Change6.71%
Ins Owners1.95%
Ins Owner Change6.33%
Market Cap2.28B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target31.42 (8.91%)
Short Float %13.37%
Short Ratio5.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)6.76%
PT rev (3m)6.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)24.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 34.1 | ||
| P/S | 1.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.98 | ||
| P/B | 2.66 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.78 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.11%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY2.93%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.63%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.15%
SpS24.26
BVpS10.84
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.75
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score7
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.78%
EBIT Next 3Y52.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.