NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EYE • US63845R1077

27.32 USD
+0.54 (+2.02%)
Last: Mar 10, 2026, 12:45 PM

This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EYE. EYE was compared to 124 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EYE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, EYE is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. EYE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years EYE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 1.49%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Return On Equity of 3.40%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 58.87% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Return On Invested Capital of 3.13% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 52.42% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 13.57%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.13%) for EYE is above the 3 year average (2.03%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.49%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EYE has declined.
  • EYE has a Operating Margin of 3.48%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 58.87% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EYE has a better Gross Margin (58.77%) than 87.10% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

4

2. EYE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.33 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of EYE (2.33) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.35. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.35 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE (3.35) is better than 72.58% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of EYE (0.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 2.33
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC9.54%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, EYE is doing worse than 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EYE's Quick ratio of 0.33 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 66.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. EYE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 45.45% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.44% on average over the past years.
  • EYE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.00%.
  • Measured over the past years, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.03% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.12% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

3

4. EYE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 34.15, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
  • EYE's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 26.45.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 29.29, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EYE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.15
Fwd PE 29.29
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EYE is valued a bit cheaper than 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.5
EV/EBITDA 14.54
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 20.04% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%

0

5. EYE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EYE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (3/10/2026, 12:45:07 PM)

27.32

+0.54 (+2.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners119.33%
Inst Owner Change3.52%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change12.86%
Market Cap2.17B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.97 (24.34%)
Short Float %12.73%
Short Ratio8.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 34.15
Fwd PE 29.29
P/S 1.09
P/FCF 29.5
P/OCF 14.81
P/B 2.49
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.54
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY2.93%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY3.41%
FCF(TTM)0.93
FCFY3.39%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY6.75%
SpS25.06
BVpS10.96
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)2.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 4.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 8.41%
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
FCFM 3.7%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 79.91%
Cap/Sales 3.66%
Interest Coverage 3.62
Cash Conversion 91.26%
Profit Quality 248.15%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z 2.33
F-Score8
WACC9.54%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year134.24%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 34.15 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.49.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.