EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock
117.28 USD
-0.68 (-0.58%)
117.28 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, EXE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXE was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EXE is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EXE (3.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE's Return On Equity of 4.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 42.38% of its industry peers.
EXE has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.11%) than 62.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of EXE (8.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of EXE (71.37%) is better than 82.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.53. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.53) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.58, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 62.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.53 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.81, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 64.76% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE's Quick ratio of 0.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 41.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 168.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 47.81% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 30.89% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 25.28 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EXE.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.89.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.99 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXE.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 63.81% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.59), we can say EXE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EXE.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 102.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.08%.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.89.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.08% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
117.28
-0.68 (-0.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.77%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap27.93B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target133.66 (13.97%)
Short Float %4.79%
Short Ratio3.41
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.08% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-38.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.99 | ||
| P/S | 2.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.98 | ||
| P/B | 1.54 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.77 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY3.96%
EPS(NY)9.78
Fwd EY8.34%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.02%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY14.32%
SpS45.45
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.53 |
F-Score6
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5120.54%
EBIT Next 3Y299.38%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 25.28 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.54.
What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.