EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock
112.45 USD
+1.83 (+1.65%)
112.45 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, EXE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXE was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EXE is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
EXE's Return On Assets of 3.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 49.52% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Return On Equity (4.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXE has a Profit Margin (8.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 12.15%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.81% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for EXE is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.45. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of EXE (2.45) is better than 75.24% of its industry peers.
EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.58, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.38% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 62.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.45 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 65.24% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 168.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue for EXE have been decreasing by -13.27% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 30.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
EXE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.23.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.06. EXE is around the same levels.
EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.49.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 32.73.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as EXE.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 102.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.08%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.91, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, EXE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.08% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
112.45
+1.83 (+1.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.77%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap26.78B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target133.66 (18.86%)
Short Float %4.79%
Short Ratio3.41
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.08% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-38.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.69 | ||
| P/B | 1.48 | ||
| P/tB | 1.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.45 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.13%
EPS(NY)9.78
Fwd EY8.7%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.23%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY14.94%
SpS45.45
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.45 |
F-Score6
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5120.54%
EBIT Next 3Y299.38%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 24.23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.48.
What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.