EXELON CORP (EXC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXC - US30161N1019 - Common Stock
46.12 USD
-0.95 (-2.02%)
46.12 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to EXC. EXC was compared to 47 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of EXC while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, EXC is valued expensive at the moment. EXC also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXC had positive earnings in the past year.
EXC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
EXC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
EXC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.39%, EXC is doing worse than 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.61%, EXC is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.68% of the companies in the same industry.
EXC has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXC outperforms 46.81% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXC is in line with the industry average of 4.89%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.67%) for EXC is below the current ROIC(4.11%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.39% | ||
| ROE | 9.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)2.28%
ROA(5y)1.93%
ROE(3y)8.98%
ROE(5y)7.59%
ROIC(3y)3.67%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
1.3 Margins
EXC has a Profit Margin of 11.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXC underperforms 63.83% of its industry peers.
EXC's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
EXC's Operating Margin of 20.00% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXC outperforms 48.94% of its industry peers.
EXC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.39%, EXC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.45% of the companies in the same industry.
EXC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.16% | ||
| GM | 63.39% |
OM growth 3Y7.75%
OM growth 5Y8.21%
PM growth 3Y3.95%
PM growth 5Y4.61%
GM growth 3Y-3.86%
GM growth 5Y1.43%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EXC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for EXC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for EXC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EXC has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.78, we must say that EXC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
EXC has a Altman-Z score (0.78) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.70 is on the high side and indicates that EXC has dependencies on debt financing.
EXC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXC is outperformed by 72.34% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.78 |
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC6.24%
2.3 Liquidity
EXC has a Current Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that EXC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXC has a Current ratio (0.95) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXC has a Quick Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that EXC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.85, EXC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.70% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.92% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.94% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.46% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -7.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.92%
EPS 3Y-3.94%
EPS 5Y-4.94%
EPS Q2Q%-17.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.46%
Revenue growth 3Y8.68%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.73%
Sales Q2Q%1.23%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.85% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, EXC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.60% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.79%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y6.85%
Revenue Next Year9.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.63%
Revenue Next 3Y5.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.6%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
EXC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.34.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXC is on the same level as its industry peers.
EXC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.14, EXC is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXC is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.50), we can say EXC is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.36%, EXC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
EXC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.24.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, EXC pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.36% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXC has a limited annual growth rate of 0.95%.
EXC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
EXC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.95%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
EXC pays out 59.22% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of EXC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP59.22%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
46.12
-0.95 (-2.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.04%
Inst Owner Change0.09%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap46.58B
Revenue(TTM)23.77B
Net Income(TTM)2.65B
Analysts72
Price Target47.39 (2.75%)
Short Float %2.91%
Short Ratio4.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.36% |
Yearly Dividend1.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.95%
DP59.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.46%
Min EPS beat(2)3.88%
Max EPS beat(2)5.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.88%
Max EPS beat(4)7.19%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.9%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.22%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.94%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)8.77%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.93%
PT rev (1m)-0.91%
PT rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.14 | ||
| P/S | 1.96 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 8 | ||
| P/B | 1.69 | ||
| P/tB | 2.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.28 |
EPS(TTM)2.66
EY5.77%
EPS(NY)2.86
Fwd EY6.2%
FCF(TTM)-1.75
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)5.77
OCFY12.51%
SpS23.53
BVpS27.35
TBVpS20.78
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number40.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.39% | ||
| ROE | 9.61% | ||
| ROCE | 4.66% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.43% | ||
| OM | 20% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.16% | ||
| GM | 63.39% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.28%
ROA(5y)1.93%
ROE(3y)8.98%
ROE(5y)7.59%
ROIC(3y)3.67%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
ROICexc(3y)3.69%
ROICexc(5y)3.04%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)3.26%
ROCE(3y)4.22%
ROCE(5y)3.47%
ROICexgc growth 3Y24.71%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y24.25%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.12%
OM growth 3Y7.75%
OM growth 5Y8.21%
PM growth 3Y3.95%
PM growth 5Y4.61%
GM growth 3Y-3.86%
GM growth 5Y1.43%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 209.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.51% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.78 |
F-Score6
WACC6.24%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)203.65%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)34.25%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.92%
EPS 3Y-3.94%
EPS 5Y-4.94%
EPS Q2Q%-17.02%
EPS Next Y8.79%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y6.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.46%
Revenue growth 3Y8.68%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.73%
Sales Q2Q%1.23%
Revenue Next Year9.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.63%
Revenue Next 3Y5.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.6%
EBIT growth 1Y12.55%
EBIT growth 3Y17.1%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.16%
EBIT Next Year99.82%
EBIT Next 3Y32.21%
EBIT Next 5Y20.8%
FCF growth 1Y55.16%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y71.81%
OCF growth 3Y22.74%
OCF growth 5Y-3.51%
EXELON CORP / EXC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXELON CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EXC.
What is the valuation status of EXELON CORP (EXC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EXELON CORP (EXC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is EXELON CORP (EXC) stock?
EXELON CORP (EXC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXC stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXELON CORP (EXC) is 17.34 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.69.
What is the expected EPS growth for EXELON CORP (EXC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXELON CORP (EXC) is expected to grow by 8.79% in the next year.