EXPERT.AI SPA(BIT:EXAI) stock Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Rating

EXAI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 97 industry peers in the Software industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXAI have multiple concerns. EXAI is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EXAI had negative earnings in the past year.

EXAI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.

EXAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.

In multiple years EXAI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

EXAI's Return On Assets of -41.16% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXAI is outperformed by 83.51% of its industry peers.

With a Return On Equity value of -277.75%, EXAI is not doing good in the industry: 84.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-41.16%
ROE	-277.75%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)N/A

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

EXAI's Gross Margin of 86.10% is amongst the best of the industry. EXAI outperforms 84.54% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXAI has grown nicely.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for EXAI so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	86.1%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y13.21%

GM growth 5Y8.75%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

EXAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

EXAI has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.

2.2 Solvency

EXAI has an Altman-Z score of 2.23. This is not the best score and indicates that EXAI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.

EXAI has a Altman-Z score of 2.23. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXAI outperforms 50.52% of its industry peers.

EXAI has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.16. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as EXAI would need 30.16 years to pay back of all of its debts.

EXAI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 30.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXAI outperforms 42.27% of its industry peers.

EXAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.

Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.59, EXAI is doing worse than 81.44% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.59
Debt/FCF	30.16
Altman-Z	2.23

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.69%

2.3 Liquidity

EXAI has a Current Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that EXAI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

With a Current ratio value of 0.94, EXAI is not doing good in the industry: 72.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

A Quick Ratio of 0.94 indicates that EXAI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

With a Quick ratio value of 0.94, EXAI is not doing good in the industry: 69.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.94
Quick Ratio	0.94

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.68% over the past year.

Looking at the last year, EXAI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 39.49%.

EXAI shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -9.05% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)31.68%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%38.34%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.49%

Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%

Revenue growth 5Y-9.05%

Sales Q2Q%99.19%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 53.74% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

Based on estimates for the next years, EXAI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 31.63% on average per year.

EPS Next Y118.18%

EPS Next 2Y53.74%

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year45.79%

Revenue Next 2Y31.63%

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for EXAI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 66.67, EXAI can be considered very expensive at the moment.

The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as EXAI.

EXAI is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	66.67

4.2 Price Multiples

EXAI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.

EXAI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	209
EV/EBITDA	23.55

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.

A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXAI's earnings are expected to grow with 53.74% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y53.74%

EPS Next 3YN/A

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for EXAI!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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EXPERT.AI SPA

BIT:EXAI (5/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.36

+0.03 (+2.41%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorInformation Technology

GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services

GICS IndustrySoftware

Earnings (Last)03-28 2025-03-28/amc

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners3.6%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners10.04%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap132.38M

Analysts42.22

Price Target1.43 (5.15%)

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP0%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)-6.67%

PT rev (3m)-6.67%

EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)-33.33%

EPS NY rev (3m)-33.33%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)5.01%

Revenue NY rev (3m)5.01%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	66.67
P/S	6.44
P/FCF	209
P/OCF	23.11
P/B	16.6
P/tB	N/A
EV/EBITDA	23.55

EPS(TTM)-0.24

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.02

Fwd EY1.5%

FCF(TTM)0.01

FCFY0.48%

OCF(TTM)0.06

OCFY4.33%

SpS0.21

BVpS0.08

TBVpS-0.1

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-41.16%
ROE	-277.75%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	86.1%
FCFM	3.08%

ROA(3y)N/A

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)N/A

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y13.21%

GM growth 5Y8.75%

F-Score3

Asset Turnover0.38

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1.59
Debt/FCF	30.16
Debt/EBITDA	2
Cap/Depr	73.04%
Cap/Sales	24.78%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	90.07%
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.94
Quick Ratio	0.94
Altman-Z	2.23

F-Score3

WACC8.69%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)100.55%

Cap/Depr(5y)114.56%

Cap/Sales(3y)34.83%

Cap/Sales(5y)34.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)31.68%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%38.34%

EPS Next Y118.18%

EPS Next 2Y53.74%

EPS Next 3YN/A

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.49%

Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%

Revenue growth 5Y-9.05%

Sales Q2Q%99.19%

Revenue Next Year45.79%

Revenue Next 2Y31.63%

Revenue Next 3YN/A

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y57.1%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5YN/A

EBIT Next Year264%

EBIT Next 3YN/A

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y116.64%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y71.57%

OCF growth 3YN/A

OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPERT.AI SPA (EXAI.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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