ELASTIC NV (ESTC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ESTC • NL0013056914
Current stock price
47.83 USD
+1.43 (+3.08%)
At close:
48 USD
+0.17 (+0.36%)
Pre-Market:
This ESTC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ESTC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ESTC was profitable.
- ESTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years ESTC reported 4 times negative net income.
- ESTC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- ESTC has a Return On Assets (-3.47%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of -10.68%, ESTC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.96% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.47% | ||
| ROE | -10.68% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- ESTC has a Gross Margin of 75.97%. This is in the better half of the industry: ESTC outperforms 70.22% of its industry peers.
- ESTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- ESTC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.97% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
2. ESTC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ESTC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ESTC has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, ESTC has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, ESTC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ESTC has an Altman-Z score of 2.18. This is not the best score and indicates that ESTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ESTC has a Altman-Z score (2.18) which is in line with its industry peers.
- ESTC has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.22. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ESTC would need 2.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.22, ESTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- ESTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. This is a neutral value indicating ESTC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- ESTC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.72. This is in the lower half of the industry: ESTC underperforms 72.79% of its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for ESTC, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.45%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.82 indicates that ESTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of ESTC (1.82) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ESTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.82. This is a normal value and indicates that ESTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ESTC has a Quick ratio of 1.82. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESTC outperforms 53.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.82 |
3. ESTC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.08% over the past year.
- Looking at the last year, ESTC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.29% in the last year.
- ESTC shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 28.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ESTC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.05% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y26.18%
EPS Next 2Y19.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.36%
EPS Next 5Y32.05%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y10.96%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. ESTC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.60, ESTC is valued on the expensive side.
- ESTC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTC is cheaper than 71.69% of the companies in the same industry.
- ESTC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.15.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.47, which indicates a correct valuation of ESTC.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ESTC is cheaper than 71.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESTC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.12), we can say ESTC is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ESTC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTC is cheaper than 74.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ESTC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ESTC's earnings are expected to grow with 18.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.75
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.36%
5. ESTC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ESTC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ESTC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
47.83
+1.43 (+3.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners91.73%
Inst Owner Change3.28%
Ins Owners12.38%
Ins Owner Change-0.34%
Market Cap4.95B
Revenue(TTM)1.68B
Net Income(TTM)-84.52M
Analysts79.41
Price Target83.83 (75.27%)
Short Float %5.15%
Short Ratio1.96
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.81%
Min EPS beat(2)8.92%
Max EPS beat(2)10.71%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)20.89%
Min EPS beat(4)8.92%
Max EPS beat(4)40.5%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.1%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)43.11%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)56.68%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.24%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.14%
PT rev (1m)-14.04%
PT rev (3m)-19.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.47 | ||
| P/S | 2.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.96 | ||
| P/B | 6.26 | ||
| P/tB | 11.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)2.44
EY5.1%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY6.07%
FCF(TTM)2.48
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY5.28%
SpS16.2
BVpS7.64
TBVpS4.03
PEG (NY)0.75
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number20.4834 (-57.17%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.47% | ||
| ROE | -10.68% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.97% | ||
| FCFM | 15.32% |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 39.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
F-Score7
WACC7.45%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)25.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
EPS Next Y26.18%
EPS Next 2Y19.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.36%
EPS Next 5Y32.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y10.96%
EBIT growth 1Y67.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year34.86%
EBIT Next 3Y25.09%
EBIT Next 5Y15.87%
FCF growth 1Y131.19%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y126.38%
OCF growth 3Y260.74%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ELASTIC NV / ESTC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELASTIC NV?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ESTC.
What is the valuation status of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELASTIC NV (ESTC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ELASTIC NV?
ELASTIC NV (ESTC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is 19.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.26.
What is the expected EPS growth for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is expected to grow by 26.18% in the next year.