ELASTIC NV (ESTC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ESTC • NL0013056914

Current stock price

49.99 USD
+0.58 (+1.17%)
At close:
49.99 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ESTC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. ESTC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ESTC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ESTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ESTC had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ESTC had a positive operating cash flow.
ESTC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFESTC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • ESTC has a Return On Assets of -3.47%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESTC outperforms 48.00% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -10.68%, ESTC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.47%
ROE -10.68%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ESTC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICESTC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ESTC's Gross Margin of 75.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ESTC outperforms 70.18% of its industry peers.
  • ESTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ESTC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
ESTC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsESTC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

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5

2. ESTC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ESTC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ESTC has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ESTC has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ESTC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ESTC Yearly Shares OutstandingESTC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ESTC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsESTC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ESTC has an Altman-Z score of 2.26. This is not the best score and indicates that ESTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.26, ESTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ESTC is 2.22, which is a good value as it means it would take ESTC, 2.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ESTC has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.22) than 66.18% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that ESTC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.72, ESTC is not doing good in the industry: 69.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Although ESTC's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 2.22
Altman-Z 2.26
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.48%
ESTC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFESTC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ESTC has a Current Ratio of 1.82. This is a normal value and indicates that ESTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ESTC has a Current ratio of 1.82. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESTC outperforms 53.82% of its industry peers.
  • ESTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.82. This is a normal value and indicates that ESTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ESTC has a Quick ratio of 1.82. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESTC outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 1.82
ESTC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesESTC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. ESTC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ESTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 37.08%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.29% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, ESTC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 28.24% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%

3.2 Future

  • ESTC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.31% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y25.68%
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%
EPS Next 5Y33.31%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y12.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
ESTC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesESTC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B
ESTC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesESTC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. ESTC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.49 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ESTC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ESTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ESTC is cheaper than 67.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • ESTC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.35.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.92, ESTC is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ESTC is cheaper than 69.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.61. ESTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.49
Fwd PE 16.92
ESTC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsESTC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ESTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ESTC is cheaper than 72.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.14
EV/EBITDA N/A
ESTC Per share dataESTC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ESTC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ESTC's earnings are expected to grow with 19.26% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.8
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ESTC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ESTC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

ESTC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ELASTIC NV

NYSE:ESTC (3/31/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 49.99 0 (0%)

49.99

+0.58 (+1.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners89.48%
Inst Owner Change1.05%
Ins Owners12.34%
Ins Owner Change-0.3%
Market Cap5.17B
Revenue(TTM)1.68B
Net Income(TTM)-84.52M
Analysts80.59
Price Target83.83 (67.69%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio2.22
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.81%
Min EPS beat(2)8.92%
Max EPS beat(2)10.71%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)20.89%
Min EPS beat(4)8.92%
Max EPS beat(4)40.5%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.1%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)43.11%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)56.68%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.24%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.14%
PT rev (1m)-14.04%
PT rev (3m)-20.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.49
Fwd PE 16.92
P/S 3.09
P/FCF 20.14
P/OCF 19.81
P/B 6.54
P/tB 12.41
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)2.44
EY4.88%
EPS(NY)2.95
Fwd EY5.91%
FCF(TTM)2.48
FCFY4.96%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY5.05%
SpS16.2
BVpS7.64
TBVpS4.03
PEG (NY)0.8
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number20.48
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.47%
ROE -10.68%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.97%
FCFM 15.32%
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 2.22
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 39.55%
Cap/Sales 0.26%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 1.82
Altman-Z 2.26
F-Score7
WACC7.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)25.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
EPS Next Y25.68%
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%
EPS Next 5Y33.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y12.99%
EBIT growth 1Y67.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year34.73%
EBIT Next 3Y25.07%
EBIT Next 5Y15.87%
FCF growth 1Y131.19%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y126.38%
OCF growth 3Y260.74%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ELASTIC NV / ESTC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELASTIC NV?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ESTC.


What is the valuation status of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELASTIC NV (ESTC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ELASTIC NV?

ELASTIC NV (ESTC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is 20.49 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.54.


What is the expected EPS growth for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is expected to grow by 25.68% in the next year.