ELASTIC NV (ESTC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ESTC • NL0013056914
Current stock price
50.67 USD
+0.76 (+1.52%)
At close:
50.67 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ESTC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ESTC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ESTC was profitable.
- In the past year ESTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years ESTC reported 4 times negative net income.
- In the past 5 years ESTC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- ESTC's Return On Assets of -3.47% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ESTC outperforms 48.00% of its industry peers.
- ESTC has a Return On Equity of -10.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESTC outperforms 46.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.47% | ||
| ROE | -10.68% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 75.97%, ESTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- ESTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- ESTC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.97% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
2. ESTC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ESTC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- The number of shares outstanding for ESTC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- ESTC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ESTC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- ESTC has an Altman-Z score of 2.29. This is not the best score and indicates that ESTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ESTC has a Altman-Z score of 2.29. This is in the better half of the industry: ESTC outperforms 60.36% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ESTC is 2.22, which is a good value as it means it would take ESTC, 2.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.22, ESTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- ESTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. This is a neutral value indicating ESTC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of ESTC (0.72) is worse than 69.45% of its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for ESTC, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.29 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.48%
2.3 Liquidity
- ESTC has a Current Ratio of 1.82. This is a normal value and indicates that ESTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ESTC has a Current ratio (1.82) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.82 indicates that ESTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ESTC's Quick ratio of 1.82 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ESTC outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.82 |
3. ESTC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 37.08% over the past year.
- Looking at the last year, ESTC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.29% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 28.24% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.31% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y25.68%
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%
EPS Next 5Y33.31%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y12.99%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. ESTC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ESTC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.77.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ESTC is valued a bit cheaper than 68.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ESTC is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- ESTC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.15.
- ESTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTC is cheaper than 69.09% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.84. ESTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ESTC is valued a bit cheaper than 71.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ESTC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as ESTC's earnings are expected to grow with 19.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%
5. ESTC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ESTC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ESTC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
50.67
+0.76 (+1.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners89.48%
Inst Owner Change1.05%
Ins Owners12.34%
Ins Owner Change-0.3%
Market Cap5.24B
Revenue(TTM)1.68B
Net Income(TTM)-84.52M
Analysts80.59
Price Target83.83 (65.44%)
Short Float %5.71%
Short Ratio2.22
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.81%
Min EPS beat(2)8.92%
Max EPS beat(2)10.71%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)20.89%
Min EPS beat(4)8.92%
Max EPS beat(4)40.5%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.1%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)43.11%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)56.68%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.38%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.24%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.14%
PT rev (1m)-14.04%
PT rev (3m)-20.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.15 | ||
| P/S | 3.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.08 | ||
| P/B | 6.63 | ||
| P/tB | 12.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)2.44
EY4.82%
EPS(NY)2.95
Fwd EY5.83%
FCF(TTM)2.48
FCFY4.9%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY4.98%
SpS16.2
BVpS7.64
TBVpS4.03
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number20.48
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.47% | ||
| ROE | -10.68% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.97% | ||
| FCFM | 15.32% |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 39.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.29 |
F-Score7
WACC7.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)25.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%15.87%
EPS Next Y25.68%
EPS Next 2Y20.33%
EPS Next 3Y19.26%
EPS Next 5Y33.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.29%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
Revenue Next Year17.34%
Revenue Next 2Y15.36%
Revenue Next 3Y14.73%
Revenue Next 5Y12.99%
EBIT growth 1Y67.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year34.73%
EBIT Next 3Y25.07%
EBIT Next 5Y15.87%
FCF growth 1Y131.19%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y126.38%
OCF growth 3Y260.74%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ELASTIC NV / ESTC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELASTIC NV?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ESTC.
What is the valuation status of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ELASTIC NV (ESTC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ELASTIC NV?
ELASTIC NV (ESTC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is 20.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.63.
What is the expected EPS growth for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is expected to grow by 25.68% in the next year.