ELASTIC NV (ESTC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ESTC - NL0013056914 - Common Stock
75.31 USD
-0.86 (-1.13%)
ESTC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 280 industry peers in the Software industry. The financial health of ESTC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. ESTC shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ESTC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ESTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ESTC reported 4 times negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years ESTC had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -4.41%, ESTC is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of ESTC (-12.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.41% | ||
| ROE | -12.27% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Gross Margin value of 75.54%, ESTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.86% of the companies in the same industry.
ESTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ESTC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.54% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ESTC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
ESTC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ESTC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ESTC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ESTC has an Altman-Z score of 3.41. This indicates that ESTC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
ESTC has a better Altman-Z score (3.41) than 62.86% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ESTC is 1.89, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ESTC, only 1.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ESTC's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.89 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ESTC outperforms 69.29% of its industry peers.
ESTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating ESTC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
ESTC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.64) than 68.57% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for ESTC, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.41 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that ESTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ESTC has a Current ratio (1.97) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.97 indicates that ESTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ESTC's Quick ratio of 1.97 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ESTC outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.97 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ESTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 54.97%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 16.98% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 28.24% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.98%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%15.91%
3.2 Future
ESTC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 32.54% yearly.
ESTC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 15.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y18.48%
EPS Next 3Y18.11%
EPS Next 5Y32.54%
Revenue Next Year16.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.08%
Revenue Next 3Y14.68%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ESTC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.18.
61.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ESTC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.26. ESTC is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.30, the valuation of ESTC can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ESTC is cheaper than 63.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESTC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.68), we can say ESTC is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ESTC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTC is cheaper than 73.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
ESTC's earnings are expected to grow with 18.11% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.48%
EPS Next 3Y18.11%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ESTC!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NYSE:ESTC (12/19/2025, 10:41:30 AM)
75.31
-0.86 (-1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.35%
Inst Owner Change2.5%
Ins Owners12.23%
Ins Owner Change-1.19%
Market Cap7.94B
Revenue(TTM)1.61B
Net Income(TTM)-109.32M
Analysts80
Price Target105.11 (39.57%)
Short Float %4.02%
Short Ratio1.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)24.71%
Min EPS beat(2)8.92%
Max EPS beat(2)40.5%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)26.1%
Min EPS beat(4)8.92%
Max EPS beat(4)40.5%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)26.26%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)62.72%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)58.72%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.5%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.5%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.25%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.41%
PT rev (1m)-13.33%
PT rev (3m)-14.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.3 | ||
| P/S | 4.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.24 | ||
| P/OCF | 25.88 | ||
| P/B | 8.91 | ||
| P/tB | 15.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)2.34
EY3.11%
EPS(NY)2.86
Fwd EY3.8%
FCF(TTM)2.87
FCFY3.81%
OCF(TTM)2.91
OCFY3.86%
SpS15.27
BVpS8.46
TBVpS4.87
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number21.1
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.41% | ||
| ROE | -12.27% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.54% | ||
| FCFM | 18.8% |
ROA(3y)-4.99%
ROA(5y)-8.13%
ROE(3y)-20.84%
ROE(5y)-28.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 42.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.97 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.41 |
F-Score6
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)25.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.47%
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y18.48%
EPS Next 3Y18.11%
EPS Next 5Y32.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.98%
Revenue growth 3Y19.81%
Revenue growth 5Y28.24%
Sales Q2Q%15.91%
Revenue Next Year16.54%
Revenue Next 2Y15.08%
Revenue Next 3Y14.68%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%
EBIT growth 1Y68.65%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year33.4%
EBIT Next 3Y23.3%
EBIT Next 5Y15.87%
FCF growth 1Y353.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y337.12%
OCF growth 3Y260.74%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ELASTIC NV / ESTC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELASTIC NV?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ESTC.
What is the valuation status for ESTC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ELASTIC NV (ESTC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
ELASTIC NV (ESTC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ELASTIC NV (ESTC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELASTIC NV (ESTC) is expected to grow by 22.43% in the next year.