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ERG SPA (ERG.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - BIT:ERG - IT0001157020 - Common Stock

22.36 EUR
-0.22 (-0.97%)
Last: 10/31/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall ERG gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated ERG against 23 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. ERG scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ERG has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. ERG also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes ERG very considerable for dividend investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ERG was profitable.
In the past year ERG had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ERG has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ERG had a positive operating cash flow.
ERG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.69%, ERG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
ERG has a better Return On Equity (10.40%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
ERG has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: ERG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
ERG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.72%. This is in line with the industry average of 5.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.33%) for ERG is above the 3 year average (4.72%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.69%
ROE 10.4%
ROIC 5.33%
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
ERG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

ERG has a better Profit Margin (19.28%) than 82.61% of its industry peers.
ERG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ERG's Operating Margin of 33.37% is amongst the best of the industry. ERG outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ERG has grown nicely.
ERG's Gross Margin of 98.63% is amongst the best of the industry. ERG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
ERG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.37%
PM (TTM) 19.28%
GM 98.63%
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
ERG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ERG is creating some value.
ERG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ERG has less shares outstanding
ERG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ERG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingERG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ERG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

ERG has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that ERG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of ERG (1.51) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ERG is 9.46, which is on the high side as it means it would take ERG, 9.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ERG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.46. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERG outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
ERG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.30, ERG is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 9.46
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC1.12
WACC4.75%
ERG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

ERG has a Current Ratio of 1.71. This is a normal value and indicates that ERG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ERG's Current ratio of 1.71 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ERG outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that ERG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ERG has a better Quick ratio (1.65) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.65
ERG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ERG have decreased strongly by -36.52% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ERG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 43.27% on average per year.
ERG shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.11%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -6.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.82% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, ERG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.94%
EPS Next 2Y4.67%
EPS Next 3Y2.97%
EPS Next 5Y-1.82%
Revenue Next Year7.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.86%
Revenue Next 3Y5.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.01%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
ERG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
ERG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ERG is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.53.
73.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.10. ERG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.19, the valuation of ERG can be described as correct.
ERG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ERG is cheaper than 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
ERG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.52.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.53
Fwd PE 15.19
ERG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

78.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ERG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ERG is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.86
EV/EBITDA 7.88
ERG.MI Per share dataERG.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ERG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
EPS Next 2Y4.67%
EPS Next 3Y2.97%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.43%, ERG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.44, ERG pays a better dividend. On top of this ERG pays more dividend than 86.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ERG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.37.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.43%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of ERG grows each year by 6.57%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

ERG pays out 72.21% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ERG has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP72.21%
EPS Next 2Y4.67%
EPS Next 3Y2.97%
ERG.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendERG.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M
ERG.MI Dividend Payout.ERG.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ERG.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ERG SPA

BIT:ERG (10/31/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

22.36

-0.22 (-0.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)08-01 2025-08-01
Earnings (Next)11-14 2025-11-14
Inst Owners18.51%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.36B
Revenue(TTM)1.09B
Net Income(TTM)210.37M
Analysts74.29
Price Target24.03 (7.47%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.43%
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
DP72.21%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.73%
PT rev (3m)4.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.53
Fwd PE 15.19
P/S 3.08
P/FCF 11.86
P/OCF 7.25
P/B 1.66
P/tB 6.83
EV/EBITDA 7.88
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY6.44%
EPS(NY)1.47
Fwd EY6.58%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY8.43%
OCF(TTM)3.08
OCFY13.79%
SpS7.26
BVpS13.46
TBVpS3.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
Graham Number20.88
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.69%
ROE 10.4%
ROCE 6.94%
ROIC 5.33%
ROICexc 5.86%
ROICexgc 8.48%
OM 33.37%
PM (TTM) 19.28%
GM 98.63%
FCFM 25.97%
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
ROICexc(3y)5.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.82%
ROICexgc(3y)8.71%
ROICexgc(5y)7.19%
ROCE(3y)6.04%
ROCE(5y)5.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.32%
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 9.46
Debt/EBITDA 3.99
Cap/Depr 61.02%
Cap/Sales 16.49%
Interest Coverage 17.92
Cash Conversion 70.3%
Profit Quality 134.72%
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score6
WACC4.75%
ROIC/WACC1.12
Cap/Depr(3y)113.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)34.75%
Profit Quality(3y)163.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
EPS Next Y-3.94%
EPS Next 2Y4.67%
EPS Next 3Y2.97%
EPS Next 5Y-1.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%
Revenue Next Year7.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.86%
Revenue Next 3Y5.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.01%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.6%
EBIT growth 3Y11.47%
EBIT growth 5Y6.71%
EBIT Next Year96.22%
EBIT Next 3Y29.04%
EBIT Next 5Y21.14%
FCF growth 1Y218.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.63%
OCF growth 1Y7.02%
OCF growth 3Y39.84%
OCF growth 5Y-2.18%

ERG SPA / ERG.MI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERG.MI.


What is the valuation status of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ERG SPA (ERG.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ERG stock?

ERG SPA (ERG.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is ERG SPA?

The financial health rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ERG stock?

The dividend rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 72.21%.