4.21 USD
+0.02 (+0.48%)
4.28 USD
+0.07 (+1.66%)
Taking everything into account, EPM scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EPM was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EPM has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EPM is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. Finally EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EPM has reported negative net income.
In the past year EPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
EPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years EPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
EPM has a worse Return On Assets (0.71%) than 65.07% of its industry peers.
EPM has a Return On Equity of 1.59%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 65.07% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.30%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 68.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.05%. This is significantly below the industry average of 20.88%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 1.59% | ||
| ROIC | 2.3% |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
1.3 Margins
EPM has a Profit Margin of 1.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 62.20% of its industry peers.
EPM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 4.86%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 66.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EPM has declined.
EPM has a Gross Margin (42.52%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EPM has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 42.52% |
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EPM is creating some value.
EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
EPM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.80, we must say that EPM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
EPM has a Altman-Z score of 1.80. This is in the better half of the industry: EPM outperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
EPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EPM would need 3.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.29, EPM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.60% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52. This is a neutral value indicating EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.52, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.98% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.52 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC8.69%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EPM has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 66.51% of its industry peers.
EPM has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.81, EPM is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EPM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -107.14%.
The earnings per share for EPM have been decreasing by -25.42% on average. This is quite bad
EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.04%.
The Revenue has been growing by 23.73% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.74% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-93.27%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for EPM. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 83.37, EPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EPM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EPM is more expensive than 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 83.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EPM is cheaper than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EPM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EPM is cheaper than 70.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 29.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.46%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.71. EPM pays more dividend than 94.74% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.46% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of EPM grows each year by 8.26%, which is quite nice.
EPM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
EPM pays out 1428.93% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
EPM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
4.21
+0.02 (+0.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners58.04%
Inst Owner Change-2.22%
Ins Owners10.41%
Ins Owner Change2.87%
Market Cap146.04M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts76.67
Price Target5.18 (23.04%)
Short Float %4.8%
Short Ratio4.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.43%
PT rev (3m)-0.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)-100%
EPS NY rev (1m)106.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.21%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 83.37 | ||
| P/S | 1.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.42 | ||
| P/B | 2.03 | ||
| P/tB | 2.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.92 |
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY1.2%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY7.81%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY22.63%
SpS2.47
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 1.59% | ||
| ROCE | 3.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.3% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.34% | ||
| OM | 4.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 42.52% | ||
| FCFM | 13.29% |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.52 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.43 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 25.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 126.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 997.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
F-Score5
WACC8.69%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-93.27%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year738.28%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.
What is the valuation status for EPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EPM stock?
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
How financially healthy is EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?
The financial health rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -93.27% in the next year.