EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • NYSE Arca • NYSEARCA:EPM • US30049A1079

3.94 USD
+0.04 (+1.03%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
3.97 USD
+0.03 (+0.76%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall EPM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated EPM against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EPM have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, EPM is valued expensive at the moment. EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EPM had negative earnings in the past year.
  • EPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years EPM 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years EPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.71%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 1.59%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • EPM has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.30%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 67.63% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EPM is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (2.30%) for EPM is well below the 3 year average (12.05%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that EPM had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROIC 2.3%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
EPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 1.33%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 62.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EPM has declined.
  • EPM has a Operating Margin of 4.86%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 64.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EPM has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 42.52%, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EPM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
EPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • EPM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EPM Yearly Shares OutstandingEPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
EPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

  • EPM has an Altman-Z score of 1.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of EPM (1.73) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EPM is 3.29, which is a good value as it means it would take EPM, 3.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EPM (3.29) is better than 75.36% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.52, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Altman-Z 1.73
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC8.77%
EPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EPM has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 67.15% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EPM's Quick ratio of 0.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EPM outperforms 40.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • EPM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -107.14%.
  • The earnings per share for EPM have been decreasing by -25.42% on average. This is quite bad
  • EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.04%.
  • Measured over the past years, EPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%

3.2 Future

  • EPM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 65.61% yearly.
  • EPM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-77.54%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 2030 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
EPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • EPM reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1171.47, the valuation of EPM can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EPM is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 67.15% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, EPM is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1171.47
EPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 500 1K

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 67.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EPM, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • EPM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EPM is cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.98
EV/EBITDA 6.51
EPM Per share dataEPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 82.32% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.01%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.73. EPM pays more dividend than 97.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EPM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.01%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of EPM grows each year by 8.26%, which is quite nice.
  • EPM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
EPM Yearly Dividends per shareEPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 1428.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EPM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • EPM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M
EPM Dividend Payout.EPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.


What is the valuation status of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -77.54% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for EPM stock?

The dividend rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 1428.93%.