DHL GROUP (DPW.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:DPW • DE0005552004

45.01 EUR
+0.28 (+0.63%)
Last: Jul 3, 2023, 05:29 PM

This DPW.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, DPW scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DPW was compared to 17 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DPW get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DPW has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. DPW.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year DPW was profitable.
  • DPW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
DPW.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDPW.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • DPW has a better Return On Assets (7.30%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of DPW (20.74%) is better than 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • DPW has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.57%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DPW outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DPW is above the industry average of 9.17%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (12.57%) for DPW is above the 3 year average (12.21%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.3%
ROE 20.74%
ROIC 12.57%
ROA(3y)7.06%
ROA(5y)6.06%
ROE(3y)23.74%
ROE(5y)21.02%
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)10.19%
DPW.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDPW.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • DPW has a better Profit Margin (5.30%) than 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DPW has grown nicely.
  • DPW has a Operating Margin of 8.57%. This is in the better half of the industry: DPW outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DPW has grown nicely.
  • DPW has a Gross Margin of 44.71%. This is in the lower half of the industry: DPW underperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • DPW's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.57%
PM (TTM) 5.3%
GM 44.71%
OM growth 3Y15.09%
OM growth 5Y8.22%
PM growth 3Y11.07%
PM growth 5Y4.8%
GM growth 3Y-4.07%
GM growth 5Y-0.56%
DPW.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDPW.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. DPW.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DPW is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DPW has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DPW has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DPW.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingDPW.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
DPW.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDPW.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.99 indicates that DPW is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.99, DPW is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of DPW is 3.06, which is a good value as it means it would take DPW, 3.06 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.06, DPW is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73 indicates that DPW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.73, DPW is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF 3.06
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC2.22
WACC5.66%
DPW.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDPW.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DPW has a Current Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that DPW is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • DPW's Current ratio of 1.03 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DPW outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
  • DPW has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that DPW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.98, DPW is doing worse than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.98
DPW.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDPW.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. DPW.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for DPW have decreased by -4.28% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.71% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, DPW shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.52% in the last year.
  • DPW shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.33% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.28%
EPS 3Y27.87%
EPS 5Y14.71%
EPS Q2Q%-30.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.52%
Revenue growth 3Y14.24%
Revenue growth 5Y9.33%
Sales Q2Q%-7.41%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.18% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.75% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-22.12%
EPS Next 2Y-7.1%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5Y0.18%
Revenue Next Year-8.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.16%
Revenue Next 5Y0.75%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
DPW.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDPW.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
DPW.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDPW.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5

4. DPW.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.17, which indicates a very decent valuation of DPW.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DPW is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, DPW is valued rather cheaply.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.94 indicates a reasonable valuation of DPW.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DPW indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DPW is cheaper than 69.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.95. DPW is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.17
Fwd PE 11.94
DPW.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDPW.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DPW.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as DPW.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.77
EV/EBITDA 5.67
DPW.DE Per share dataDPW.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of DPW may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.76
EPS Next 2Y-7.1%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%

6

5. DPW.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.21%, DPW is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.97, DPW pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • DPW's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.21%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of DPW grows each year by 13.96%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
DPW.DE Yearly Dividends per shareDPW.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • DPW's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.1%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
DPW.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDPW.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

DPW.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DHL GROUP

FRA:DPW (7/3/2023, 5:29:55 PM)

45.01

+0.28 (+0.63%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap53.96B
Revenue(TTM)92.76B
Net Income(TTM)4.92B
Analysts79.26
Price Target51.37 (14.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.21%
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.96%
DPN/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.53%
Min EPS beat(2)2.45%
Max EPS beat(2)6.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.49%
Max EPS beat(4)16.37%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.93%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.33%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.17
Fwd PE 11.94
P/S 0.58
P/FCF 7.77
P/OCF 4.94
P/B 2.27
P/tB 5.57
EV/EBITDA 5.67
EPS(TTM)4.03
EY8.95%
EPS(NY)3.77
Fwd EY8.38%
FCF(TTM)5.79
FCFY12.87%
OCF(TTM)9.12
OCFY20.25%
SpS77.38
BVpS19.79
TBVpS8.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.76
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.3%
ROE 20.74%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 12.57%
ROICexc 14.29%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 8.57%
PM (TTM) 5.3%
GM 44.71%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.06%
ROA(5y)6.06%
ROE(3y)23.74%
ROE(5y)21.02%
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)10.19%
ROICexc(3y)14.18%
ROICexc(5y)11.71%
ROICexgc(3y)21.71%
ROICexgc(5y)18.22%
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y19.63%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y21.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.22%
OM growth 3Y15.09%
OM growth 5Y8.22%
PM growth 3Y11.07%
PM growth 5Y4.8%
GM growth 3Y-4.07%
GM growth 5Y-0.56%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF 3.06
Debt/EBITDA 1.74
Cap/Depr 93.94%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 141.19%
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score5
WACC5.66%
ROIC/WACC2.22
Cap/Depr(3y)89.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.52%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)138.57%
Profit Quality(5y)131.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.28%
EPS 3Y27.87%
EPS 5Y14.71%
EPS Q2Q%-30.91%
EPS Next Y-22.12%
EPS Next 2Y-7.1%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5Y0.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.52%
Revenue growth 3Y14.24%
Revenue growth 5Y9.33%
Sales Q2Q%-7.41%
Revenue Next Year-8.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.16%
Revenue Next 5Y0.75%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.98%
EBIT growth 3Y31.47%
EBIT growth 5Y18.33%
EBIT Next Year30.22%
EBIT Next 3Y14.18%
EBIT Next 5Y11.82%
FCF growth 1Y8.3%
FCF growth 3Y41.81%
FCF growth 5Y45.13%
OCF growth 1Y15.73%
OCF growth 3Y21.68%
OCF growth 5Y27.15%

DHL GROUP / DPW.DE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for DPW stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to DPW.DE.


What is the valuation status for DPW stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to DHL GROUP (DPW.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is DHL GROUP (DPW.DE) stock?

DHL GROUP (DPW.DE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for DPW stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for DHL GROUP (DPW.DE) is 11.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.27.