123.01 USD
-1.01 (-0.81%)
123.01 USD
0 (0%)
DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DLTR was profitable.
DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years DLTR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
DLTR has a Return On Assets of -21.38%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: DLTR underperforms 89.47% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -84.27%, DLTR is doing worse than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR's Return On Invested Capital of 11.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
1.3 Margins
DLTR's Operating Margin of 11.41% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
DLTR has a Gross Margin of 45.09%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% |
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DLTR is still creating some value.
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.19. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 3.19, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 60.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.90, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DLTR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
DLTR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 42.11% of its industry peers.
Although DLTR does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC8.06%
2.3 Liquidity
DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: DLTR underperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 86.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.75%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -55.28% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
3.2 Future
DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.27% yearly.
DLTR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.26% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.89 indicates a rather expensive valuation of DLTR.
DLTR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, DLTR is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.08, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 60.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DLTR.
68.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.51
PEG (5Y)10.64
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for DLTR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
123.01
-1.01 (-0.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner Change7.98%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.28%
Market Cap24.46B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target119.67 (-2.72%)
Short Float %8.02%
Short Ratio4.5
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)9.04%
PT rev (3m)4.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.08 | ||
| P/S | 1.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.29 | ||
| P/B | 7.06 | ||
| P/tB | 8.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.13 |
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.19%
EPS(NY)6.8
Fwd EY5.53%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.58%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.71%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.51
PEG (5Y)10.64
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROCE | 16.32% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.33% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% | ||
| FCFM | 11.53% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 286.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.19 |
F-Score4
WACC8.06%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.55%
EBIT Next 3Y17.29%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%
DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.
What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.