DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

122.56 USD
-0.61 (-0.5%)
Last: Feb 10, 2026, 12:35 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DLTR against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has an average financial health and profitability rating. DLTR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of DLTR (-21.38%) is worse than 89.47% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Return On Equity of -84.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.62%, DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 28.25%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.62%) for DLTR is above the 3 year average (10.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • DLTR's Operating Margin of 11.41% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • DLTR has a better Gross Margin (45.09%) than 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.20. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR's Altman-Z score of 3.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • DLTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.90) than 84.21% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.88) than 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.2
ROIC/WACC1.43
WACC8.13%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • DLTR has a worse Current ratio (0.96) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of DLTR (0.22) is worse than 86.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.75% in the last year.
  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
  • The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -55.28% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.49% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.80, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.06, DLTR is valued at the same level.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.06, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 60.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.8
Fwd PE 18.06
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DLTR.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.14
EV/EBITDA 14.15
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.09% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.47
PEG (5Y)10.6
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (2/10/2026, 12:35:03 PM)

122.56

-0.61 (-0.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners115.95%
Inst Owner Change-2.22%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change-0.07%
Market Cap24.37B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target124.04 (1.21%)
Short Float %7.78%
Short Ratio4.62
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)3.65%
PT rev (3m)11.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.8
Fwd PE 18.06
P/S 1.75
P/FCF 15.14
P/OCF 10.26
P/B 7.03
P/tB 8.01
EV/EBITDA 14.15
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.2%
EPS(NY)6.79
Fwd EY5.54%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.6%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.75%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.47
PEG (5Y)10.6
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.2
F-Score4
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC1.43
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.49%
EBIT Next 3Y17.31%
EBIT Next 5Y12.28%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.