DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

Current stock price

107 USD
+1.01 (+0.95%)
At close:
105.55 USD
-1.45 (-1.36%)
After Hours:

This DLTR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. DLTR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year DLTR was profitable.
  • In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.52%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Return On Equity of 34.16% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.22%) than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 35.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.14%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(12.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROIC 12.22%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 6.61%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of DLTR (8.56%) is better than 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 36.40%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 -10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. DLTR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.58 indicates that DLTR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR has a Altman-Z score of 3.58. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DLTR outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • DLTR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 76.32% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.65. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DLTR outperforms 44.74% of its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 3.58
ROIC/WACC1.46
WACC8.37%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.07 indicates that DLTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • DLTR has a Current ratio (1.07) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.07. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.29, DLTR is doing worse than 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for DLTR is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. DLTR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.07%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.21% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, DLTR shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 54.32%.
  • DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.32% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.28% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, DLTR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.39% on average per year.
EPS Next Y21.68%
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.05%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

6

4. DLTR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.11, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.70, the valuation of DLTR can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 65.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.11
Fwd PE 15.7
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 60.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DLTR is cheaper than 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.2
EV/EBITDA 9.95
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • DLTR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of DLTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 14.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. DLTR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for DLTR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

DLTR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (3/27/2026, 8:12:13 PM)

After market: 105.55 -1.45 (-1.36%)

107

+1.01 (+0.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners108.95%
Inst Owner Change-6.13%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change-0.14%
Market Cap21.28B
Revenue(TTM)19.41B
Net Income(TTM)1.28B
Analysts66.47
Price Target126.22 (17.96%)
Short Float %6.17%
Short Ratio4.05
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(2)8.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.79%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.22%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.68%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.27%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.41%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.84%
PT rev (3m)5.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.11
Fwd PE 15.7
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 15.2
P/OCF 8.4
P/B 5.67
P/tB 6.39
EV/EBITDA 9.95
EPS(TTM)5.6
EY5.23%
EPS(NY)6.81
Fwd EY6.37%
FCF(TTM)7.04
FCFY6.58%
OCF(TTM)12.74
OCFY11.91%
SpS97.62
BVpS18.88
TBVpS16.75
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number48.78
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROCE 16.24%
ROIC 12.22%
ROICexc 13.14%
ROICexgc 13.75%
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
FCFM 7.21%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
ROICexc(3y)12.15%
ROICexc(5y)10.68%
ROICexgc(3y)13.31%
ROICexgc(5y)12.79%
ROCE(3y)14.81%
ROCE(5y)13.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.44%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.05
Cap/Depr 174.97%
Cap/Sales 5.84%
Interest Coverage 13.25
Cash Conversion 109.69%
Profit Quality 109.16%
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 3.58
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.46
Cap/Depr(3y)240.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)207.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.68%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
EPS Next Y21.68%
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.05%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%
EBIT growth 1Y6.31%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.51%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.6%
EBIT Next Year52.27%
EBIT Next 3Y17.83%
EBIT Next 5Y14.67%
FCF growth 1Y-10.37%
FCF growth 3Y12.97%
FCF growth 5Y-5.09%
OCF growth 1Y-11.48%
OCF growth 3Y16.21%
OCF growth 5Y-1.38%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 7 / 10.