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DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:DLTR - Nasdaq - US2567461080 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

82.12  +1.23 (+1.52%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DLTR against 40 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DLTR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DLTR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -4.47%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of -13.67%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 72.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
DLTR has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DLTR is above the industry average of 7.97%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.47%
ROE -13.67%
ROIC 7.11%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.09%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
DLTR has a Gross Margin of 31.06%. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.06%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for DLTR is higher compared to a year ago.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 2.70. This is not the best score and indicates that DLTR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.70, DLTR is doing worse than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 4.02, which is a neutral value as it means it would take DLTR, 4.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.02, DLTR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.32, DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 4.02
Altman-Z 2.7
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC7.89%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

DLTR has a Current Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR has a Current ratio (1.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.17 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.17
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.42%.
Measured over the past 5 years, DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.24% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.75% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.42%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-17.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.75%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-4.33%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, DLTR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.24% on average per year.
DLTR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y-1.31%
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y8.03%
EPS Next 5Y8.24%
Revenue Next Year-38.54%
Revenue Next 2Y-19.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.87%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.41, which indicates a correct valuation of DLTR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.98. DLTR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.61, which indicates a correct valuation of DLTR.
DLTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DLTR is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.38, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 15.61
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.69
EV/EBITDA 7.89
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)6.86
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y8.03%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (4/30/2025, 3:56:10 PM)

82.12

+1.23 (+1.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-26 2025-03-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-03 2025-06-03/bmo
Inst Owners103.86%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner Change7.72%
Market Cap17.66B
Analysts68.82
Price Target85.64 (4.29%)
Short Float %8.44%
Short Ratio3.17
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-17.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.9%
Max EPS beat(2)2.81%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.9%
Max EPS beat(4)2.81%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.66%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.64%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.63%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.61%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.67%
PT rev (1m)0.41%
PT rev (3m)0.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-40.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-40.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 15.61
P/S 0.57
P/FCF 20.69
P/OCF 5.8
P/B 2.31
P/tB 3.86
EV/EBITDA 7.89
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY6.49%
EPS(NY)5.26
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)3.97
FCFY4.83%
OCF(TTM)14.15
OCFY17.23%
SpS145.15
BVpS35.5
TBVpS21.26
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)6.86
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.47%
ROE -13.67%
ROCE 9.39%
ROIC 7.11%
ROICexc 7.42%
ROICexgc 9.15%
OM 5.09%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.06%
FCFM 2.73%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF 4.02
Debt/EBITDA 0.95
Cap/Depr 227.38%
Cap/Sales 7.01%
Interest Coverage 11.81
Cash Conversion 119.25%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.03
Quick Ratio 0.17
Altman-Z 2.7
F-Score5
WACC7.89%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.42%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-17.25%
EPS Next Y-1.31%
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y8.03%
EPS Next 5Y8.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.75%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-4.33%
Revenue Next Year-38.54%
Revenue Next 2Y-19.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.87%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year41.47%
EBIT Next 3Y17.6%
EBIT Next 5Y12.23%
FCF growth 1Y29.33%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y31.72%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%