123.95 USD
+1.94 (+1.59%)
123.95 USD
0 (0%)
DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -21.38%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 89.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -84.27%, DLTR is doing worse than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.62%, DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.12%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.62%) for DLTR is above the 3 year average (10.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
1.3 Margins
DLTR has a Operating Margin of 11.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
DLTR has a better Gross Margin (45.09%) than 92.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% |
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.21 indicates that DLTR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
DLTR's Altman-Z score of 3.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 60.53% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.90, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DLTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.90) than 84.21% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.88, DLTR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Although DLTR does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.21 |
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC8.07%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DLTR has a worse Current ratio (0.96) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 86.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.75%.
Measured over the past 5 years, DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.24% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -55.28% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.07, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
DLTR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.92, DLTR is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.22, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of DLTR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 60.53% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.46. DLTR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DLTR.
68.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.53
PEG (5Y)10.72
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for DLTR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
123.95
+1.94 (+1.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner Change7.98%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.28%
Market Cap24.65B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target119.67 (-3.45%)
Short Float %9.63%
Short Ratio4.7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)9.04%
PT rev (3m)4.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.22 | ||
| P/S | 1.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.31 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.37 | ||
| P/B | 7.11 | ||
| P/tB | 8.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.23 |
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)6.8
Fwd EY5.49%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.53%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.64%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.53
PEG (5Y)10.72
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROCE | 16.32% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.33% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% | ||
| FCFM | 11.53% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 286.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.21 |
F-Score4
WACC8.07%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.55%
EBIT Next 3Y17.29%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%
DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.
Can you provide the valuation status for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for DLTR stock?
The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.