122.44 USD
+6.57 (+5.67%)
124.44 USD
+2 (+1.63%)
Taking everything into account, DLTR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DLTR was compared to 39 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
DLTR has a worse Return On Assets (-21.38%) than 87.18% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -84.27%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 84.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Invested Capital of DLTR (11.62%) is better than 79.49% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is in line with the industry average of 8.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of DLTR (11.41%) is better than 94.87% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of DLTR (45.09%) is better than 92.31% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% |
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DLTR is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.19. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DLTR's Altman-Z score of 3.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 64.10% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
DLTR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
DLTR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 41.03% of its industry peers.
Although DLTR does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC8.06%
2.3 Liquidity
DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.96, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 71.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 87.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.75%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -55.28%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.77 indicates a rather expensive valuation of DLTR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say DLTR is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.73, the valuation of DLTR can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
DLTR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DLTR.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 71.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.07 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
DLTR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.35
PEG (5Y)10.59
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
DLTR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
122.44
+6.57 (+5.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner Change7.98%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap24.35B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target116.19 (-5.1%)
Short Float %9.07%
Short Ratio4.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)4.55%
PT rev (3m)3.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.64%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.73 | ||
| P/S | 1.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.25 | ||
| P/B | 7.03 | ||
| P/tB | 8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.07 |
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.21%
EPS(NY)6.54
Fwd EY5.34%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.61%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.76%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)4.35
PEG (5Y)10.59
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROCE | 16.32% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.33% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% | ||
| FCFM | 11.53% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 286.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.19 |
F-Score4
WACC8.06%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year42.99%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%
DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.
Can you provide the valuation status for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for DLTR stock?
The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.