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DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:DLTR - US2567461080 - Common Stock

109.17 USD
-3.33 (-2.96%)
Last: 8/29/2025, 8:17:09 PM
109.28 USD
+0.11 (+0.1%)
After Hours: 8/29/2025, 8:17:09 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 41 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has an average financial health and profitability rating. DLTR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years DLTR had a positive operating cash flow.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of DLTR (-16.33%) is worse than 87.80% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -76.49%, DLTR is doing worse than 85.37% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR's Return On Invested Capital of 11.72% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
DLTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.12%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.14%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.72%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -16.33%
ROE -76.49%
ROIC 11.72%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of DLTR (7.94%) is better than 95.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
DLTR's Gross Margin of 32.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.94%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 32.14%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DLTR is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.63 indicates that DLTR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.63, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 63.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.18. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as DLTR would need 2.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
DLTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.18) than 75.61% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.62, DLTR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 2.18
Altman-Z 2.63
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.09%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

DLTR has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR has a Current ratio (1.04) which is in line with its industry peers.
DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of DLTR (0.72) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.72
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.69%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -36.64% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.69%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-11.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-39.21%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
DLTR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.23% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.57%
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y10.58%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-37.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.23%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

DLTR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.16.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as DLTR.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.08), we can say DLTR is valued slightly cheaper.
DLTR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.97.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.72), we can say DLTR is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.16
Fwd PE 16.97
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DLTR.
DLTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DLTR is cheaper than 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.48
EV/EBITDA 12.61
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
DLTR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.63
PEG (5Y)9.42
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y10.58%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (8/29/2025, 8:17:09 PM)

After market: 109.28 +0.11 (+0.1%)

109.17

-3.33 (-2.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)06-04 2025-06-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)09-02 2025-09-02/bmo
Inst Owners109.2%
Inst Owner Change-5.37%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change6.85%
Market Cap22.78B
Analysts71.52
Price Target108.47 (-0.64%)
Short Float %7.61%
Short Ratio4.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.47%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(2)2.81%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.9%
Max EPS beat(4)2.81%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.28%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-4.15%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.25%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.55%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.55%
PT rev (1m)11.46%
PT rev (3m)26.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-36.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.16
Fwd PE 16.97
P/S 1.16
P/FCF 14.48
P/OCF 8.6
P/B 5.83
P/tB 6.54
EV/EBITDA 12.61
EPS(TTM)5.16
EY4.73%
EPS(NY)6.43
Fwd EY5.89%
FCF(TTM)7.54
FCFY6.9%
OCF(TTM)12.7
OCFY11.63%
SpS93.85
BVpS18.71
TBVpS16.69
PEG (NY)4.63
PEG (5Y)9.42
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -16.33%
ROE -76.49%
ROCE 15.47%
ROIC 11.72%
ROICexc 13.03%
ROICexgc 13.66%
OM 7.94%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 32.14%
FCFM 8.03%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 2.18
Debt/EBITDA 1.21
Cap/Depr 242.43%
Cap/Sales 5.5%
Interest Coverage 11.71
Cash Conversion 132.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 2.63
F-Score5
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.69%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-11.89%
EPS Next Y4.57%
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y10.58%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-39.21%
Revenue Next Year-37.99%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-11.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.23%
EBIT growth 1Y-27.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year38.4%
EBIT Next 3Y18.32%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y229.03%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y44.92%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%