DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

123.83 USD
+4.23 (+3.54%)
At close: Feb 6, 2026
123.85 USD
+0.02 (+0.02%)
After Hours: 2/6/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to DLTR. DLTR was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DLTR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DLTR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years DLTR had a positive operating cash flow.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • DLTR has a worse Return On Assets (-21.38%) than 89.47% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -84.27%, DLTR is doing worse than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of DLTR (11.62%) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 28.25%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.41%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 45.09%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.20. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR has a worse Altman-Z score (3.20) than 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.90, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.90, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88. This is in the lower half of the industry: DLTR underperforms 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • Although DLTR does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.2
ROIC/WACC1.43
WACC8.14%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • DLTR has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: DLTR underperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 86.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.75%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.24% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -55.28% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.49% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.04, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
  • DLTR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • DLTR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.93.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.24, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
  • 60.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.77), we can say DLTR is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.04
Fwd PE 18.24
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 73.68% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.3
EV/EBITDA 14.22
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.09% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)10.71
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for DLTR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (2/6/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 123.85 +0.02 (+0.02%)

123.83

+4.23 (+3.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners115.95%
Inst Owner Change-2.22%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change-0.07%
Market Cap24.62B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target124.04 (0.17%)
Short Float %7.78%
Short Ratio4.62
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)3.65%
PT rev (3m)11.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.04
Fwd PE 18.24
P/S 1.76
P/FCF 15.3
P/OCF 10.36
P/B 7.11
P/tB 8.09
EV/EBITDA 14.22
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.16%
EPS(NY)6.79
Fwd EY5.48%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.54%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.65%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)10.71
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.2
F-Score4
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC1.43
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.84%
EPS Next 3Y12.09%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.08%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.49%
EBIT Next 3Y17.31%
EBIT Next 5Y12.28%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.