HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:DINO • US4039491000
Current stock price
58.56 USD
+1.05 (+1.83%)
At close:
58.5 USD
-0.06 (-0.1%)
After Hours:
This DINO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. DINO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year DINO was profitable.
- In the past year DINO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years DINO has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years DINO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- DINO has a Return On Assets of 3.47%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DINO outperforms 51.20% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.24%, DINO is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- DINO's Return On Invested Capital of 5.44% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 49.28% of its industry peers.
- DINO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.49%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.47% | ||
| ROE | 6.24% | ||
| ROIC | 5.44% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)7.88%
ROE(5y)12.92%
ROIC(3y)6.49%
ROIC(5y)9.65%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of DINO (2.13%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- DINO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- DINO has a worse Operating Margin (3.45%) than 66.51% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DINO has declined.
- DINO's Gross Margin of 17.46% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 66.99% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.13% | ||
| GM | 17.46% |
OM growth 3Y-31.55%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-34.41%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.71%
GM growth 5Y0.07%
2. DINO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), DINO is destroying value.
- DINO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- DINO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for DINO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.29 indicates that DINO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of DINO (3.29) is better than 80.86% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of DINO is 3.30, which is a good value as it means it would take DINO, 3.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of DINO (3.30) is better than 74.64% of its industry peers.
- DINO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of DINO (0.31) is better than 65.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.94 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- DINO has a better Current ratio (1.94) than 74.64% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that DINO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- DINO has a Quick ratio (0.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. DINO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- DINO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 417.35%, which is quite impressive.
- The earnings per share for DINO have been decreasing by -28.94% on average. This is quite bad
- Looking at the last year, DINO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -24.54% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, DINO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)417.35%
EPS 3Y-28.94%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%217.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.07%
Revenue growth 5Y19.16%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, DINO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.52% on average per year.
- DINO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.16%
EPS Next 2Y-3.62%
EPS Next 3Y-1.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.52%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.99%
Revenue Next 3Y2.28%
Revenue Next 5Y2.31%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. DINO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.55, the valuation of DINO can be described as reasonable.
- 82.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DINO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- DINO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.18.
- DINO is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.30.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DINO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DINO is cheaper than 67.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.96, DINO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DINO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DINO is cheaper than 70.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DINO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DINO is cheaper than 78.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-3.62%
EPS Next 3Y-1.09%
5. DINO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.54%, DINO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.23, DINO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 7.47%, which is quite nice.
- DINO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.47%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- DINO pays out 65.62% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of DINO is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP65.62%
EPS Next 2Y-3.62%
EPS Next 3Y-1.09%
DINO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
58.56
+1.05 (+1.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-01 2026-05-01/bmo
Inst Owners90.72%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-9%
Market Cap10.56B
Revenue(TTM)26.87B
Net Income(TTM)573.00M
Analysts74.78
Price Target63.11 (7.77%)
Short Float %4.01%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.47%
DP65.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-02 2026-03-02 (0.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)98.39%
Min EPS beat(2)35.46%
Max EPS beat(2)161.32%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.75%
Min EPS beat(4)35.46%
Max EPS beat(4)161.32%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)44.85%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)35.68%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)66.72%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.14%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.14%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.72%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.72%
PT rev (1m)6.49%
PT rev (3m)3.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)31.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-88.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)14.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.3 | ||
| P/S | 0.39 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.03 | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | 2.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.67 |
EPS(TTM)5.07
EY8.66%
EPS(NY)4.4
Fwd EY7.52%
FCF(TTM)4.8
FCFY8.2%
OCF(TTM)7.29
OCFY12.46%
SpS149.05
BVpS50.95
TBVpS29.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number76.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.47% | ||
| ROE | 6.24% | ||
| ROCE | 6.61% | ||
| ROIC | 5.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.36% | ||
| OM | 3.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.13% | ||
| GM | 17.46% | ||
| FCFM | 3.22% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)7.88%
ROE(5y)12.92%
ROIC(3y)6.49%
ROIC(5y)9.65%
ROICexc(3y)7.07%
ROICexc(5y)10.6%
ROICexgc(3y)10.03%
ROICexgc(5y)15.05%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)11.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-38.82%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.87%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-31.55%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-34.41%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.71%
GM growth 5Y0.07%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.67 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.13% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
F-Score7
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)51.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)79.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)212.64%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)417.35%
EPS 3Y-28.94%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%217.65%
EPS Next Y-13.16%
EPS Next 2Y-3.62%
EPS Next 3Y-1.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.07%
Revenue growth 5Y19.16%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.99%
Revenue Next 3Y2.28%
Revenue Next 5Y2.31%
EBIT growth 1Y34.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.12%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year88.32%
EBIT Next 3Y23.49%
EBIT Next 5Y13.68%
FCF growth 1Y35.31%
FCF growth 3Y-35.67%
FCF growth 5Y46.64%
OCF growth 1Y18.47%
OCF growth 3Y-29.65%
OCF growth 5Y23.49%
HF SINCLAIR CORP / DINO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for DINO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DINO.
Can you provide the valuation status for HF SINCLAIR CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HF SINCLAIR CORP?
HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is HF SINCLAIR CORP?
The financial health rating of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for DINO stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is expected to decline by -13.16% in the next year.