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HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:DINO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4039491000 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

43.95  +0.23 (+0.53%)

After market: 43.95 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall DINO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DINO against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. DINO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. DINO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. DINO also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year DINO has reported negative net income.
In the past year DINO had a positive cash flow from operations.
DINO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years DINO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of DINO (1.03%) is worse than 61.90% of its industry peers.
DINO has a worse Return On Equity (1.85%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
DINO's Return On Invested Capital of 2.13% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 69.52% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DINO is significantly below the industry average of 23.80%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.13%) for DINO is well below the 3 year average (12.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that DINO had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.03%
ROE 1.85%
ROIC 2.13%
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
DINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

DINO has a worse Profit Margin (0.49%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DINO has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 1.03%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 74.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
DINO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 14.45%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 68.10% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.03%
PM (TTM) 0.49%
GM 14.45%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
DINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 15 20

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DINO is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DINO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DINO Yearly Shares OutstandingDINO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
DINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.46 indicates that DINO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
DINO has a better Altman-Z score (3.46) than 84.76% of its industry peers.
DINO has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.63. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as DINO would need 11.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 11.63, DINO is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicates that DINO is not too dependend on debt financing.
DINO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 63.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.3
Debt/FCF 11.63
Altman-Z 3.46
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC9.22%
DINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

DINO has a Current Ratio of 1.87. This is a normal value and indicates that DINO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.87, DINO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.71% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO has a Quick Ratio of 1.87. This is a bad value and indicates that DINO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.76, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 65.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.76
DINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DINO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -100.00%.
The earnings per share for DINO have been decreasing by -27.46% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, DINO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.21% in the last year.
DINO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.32% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-100%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%-138.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.21%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 52.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, DINO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y107.89%
EPS Next 2Y89.91%
EPS Next 3Y65.55%
EPS Next 5Y52.98%
Revenue Next Year-7.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.57%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
DINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B
DINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.44, the valuation of DINO can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as DINO.
DINO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.44
DINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

DINO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
DINO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.91
EV/EBITDA 8.61
DINO Per share dataDINO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

DINO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DINO's earnings are expected to grow with 65.55% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y89.91%
EPS Next 3Y65.55%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

DINO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.57%, which is a nice return.
DINO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.49.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, DINO pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.57%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 8.07%, which is quite nice.
DINO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
DINO Yearly Dividends per shareDINO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

DINO pays out 224.50% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of DINO is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP224.5%
EPS Next 2Y89.91%
EPS Next 3Y65.55%
DINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B
DINO Dividend Payout.DINO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DINO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HF SINCLAIR CORP

NYSE:DINO (7/18/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 43.95 0 (0%)

43.95

+0.23 (+0.53%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-31 2025-07-31/bmo
Inst Owners85.57%
Inst Owner Change0.49%
Ins Owners0.36%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.28B
Analysts74.78
Price Target46.61 (6.05%)
Short Float %4.93%
Short Ratio3.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.57%
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
DP224.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date05-15 2025-05-15 (0.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)39.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)56.64%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)17.44%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)14.67%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)54.5%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.91%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.06%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.17%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)13.95%
PT rev (1m)11.34%
PT rev (3m)3.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)45.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.44
P/S 0.24
P/FCF 34.91
P/OCF 11.76
P/B 0.9
P/tB 1.57
EV/EBITDA 8.61
EPS(TTM)0
EYN/A
EPS(NY)3.53
Fwd EY8.04%
FCF(TTM)1.26
FCFY2.86%
OCF(TTM)3.74
OCFY8.5%
SpS185.5
BVpS48.76
TBVpS28.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.03%
ROE 1.85%
ROCE 2.6%
ROIC 2.13%
ROICexc 2.22%
ROICexgc 3.14%
OM 1.03%
PM (TTM) 0.49%
GM 14.45%
FCFM 0.68%
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-32.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-32.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-32.02%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.3
Debt/FCF 11.63
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 54.4%
Cap/Sales 1.34%
Interest Coverage 2.01
Cash Conversion 57.75%
Profit Quality 139.54%
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 3.46
F-Score5
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)62.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.32%
Profit Quality(3y)199.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-100%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%-138.03%
EPS Next Y107.89%
EPS Next 2Y89.91%
EPS Next 3Y65.55%
EPS Next 5Y52.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.21%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%
Revenue Next Year-7.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.57%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-83.15%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-27.99%
EBIT Next Year359.58%
EBIT Next 3Y83.91%
EBIT Next 5Y48.77%
FCF growth 1Y-92.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.6%
OCF growth 1Y-79.85%
OCF growth 3Y39.75%
OCF growth 5Y-6.44%