HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:DINO - US4039491000 - Common Stock
50.88 USD
+0.34 (+0.67%)
50.88 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, DINO scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DINO was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. DINO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. DINO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DINO was profitable.
In the past year DINO had a positive cash flow from operations.
DINO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years DINO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
DINO's Return On Assets of -0.50% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 69.38% of its industry peers.
DINO's Return On Equity of -0.91% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 66.99% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.15%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 75.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DINO is significantly below the industry average of 21.96%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.20%) for DINO is well above the current ROIC(0.15%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -0.91% | ||
| ROIC | 0.15% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DINO has declined.
DINO's Operating Margin of 0.10% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 76.56% of its industry peers.
DINO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DINO has a worse Gross Margin (14.26%) than 68.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.26% |
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DINO is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
DINO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
DINO has an Altman-Z score of 2.95. This is not the best score and indicates that DINO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
DINO has a Altman-Z score of 2.95. This is amongst the best in the industry. DINO outperforms 80.86% of its industry peers.
DINO has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.83. This is a neutral value as DINO would need 4.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
DINO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.83) than 66.03% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicates that DINO is not too dependend on debt financing.
DINO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 61.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.95 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC8.97%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.82 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
DINO's Current ratio of 1.82 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that DINO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of DINO (0.83) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for DINO have decreased strongly by -85.67% in the last year.
The earnings per share for DINO have been decreasing by -27.46% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, DINO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -30.17% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.32% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-85.67%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%117.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-30.17%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-13.53%
3.2 Future
DINO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 52.11% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y223.8%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
EPS Next 5Y52.11%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
DINO is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 55.30.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DINO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.99% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
DINO is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.62 indicates a correct valuation of DINO.
DINO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.76, DINO is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 55.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
61.24% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than DINO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DINO is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DINO's earnings are expected to grow with 66.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.96%, DINO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.06, DINO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, DINO pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.96% |
5.2 History
The dividend of DINO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.07%!
DINO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
DINO has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of DINO is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-449.39%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
50.88
+0.34 (+0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.03%
Inst Owner Change-3.81%
Ins Owners0.36%
Ins Owner Change-0.89%
Market Cap9.52B
Analysts74.55
Price Target51.79 (1.79%)
Short Float %5.14%
Short Ratio3.64
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.96% |
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
DP-449.39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)51.1%
Min EPS beat(2)39.31%
Max EPS beat(2)62.9%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)62.9%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)23.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.24%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.2%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.48%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)11.56%
PT rev (1m)11.13%
PT rev (3m)27.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)27.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)51.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)55.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)75.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.79%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 55.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.62 | ||
| P/S | 0.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.66 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.94 | ||
| P/B | 1.03 | ||
| P/tB | 1.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.6 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY1.81%
EPS(NY)3.74
Fwd EY7.34%
FCF(TTM)3.05
FCFY6%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY11.19%
SpS143.58
BVpS49.62
TBVpS28.76
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -0.91% | ||
| ROCE | 0.19% | ||
| ROIC | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.23% | ||
| OM | 0.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.26% | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-32.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-32.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-32.02%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 56.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.84% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.18 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 117.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.95 |
F-Score3
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)62.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.32%
Profit Quality(3y)199.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-85.67%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%117.95%
EPS Next Y223.8%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
EPS Next 5Y52.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-30.17%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-13.53%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-27.99%
EBIT Next Year413.83%
EBIT Next 3Y85.27%
EBIT Next 5Y51.96%
FCF growth 1Y-72.38%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.6%
OCF growth 1Y-56.62%
OCF growth 3Y39.75%
OCF growth 5Y-6.44%