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HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:DINO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4039491000 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

39.08  +0.44 (+1.14%)

After market: 39.8258 +0.75 (+1.91%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall DINO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DINO against 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of DINO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. DINO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally DINO also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

DINO had negative earnings in the past year.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years DINO 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years DINO had a positive operating cash flow.
DINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

DINO has a worse Return On Assets (1.03%) than 61.97% of its industry peers.
DINO's Return On Equity of 1.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 62.44% of its industry peers.
DINO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.13%) than 69.95% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DINO is significantly below the industry average of 23.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.20%) for DINO is well above the current ROIC(2.13%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.03%
ROE 1.85%
ROIC 2.13%
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
DINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of DINO (0.49%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DINO has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.03%, DINO is doing worse than 74.18% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DINO has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 14.45%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 68.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.03%
PM (TTM) 0.49%
GM 14.45%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
DINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 15 20

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DINO is still creating some value.
DINO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, DINO has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for DINO is higher compared to a year ago.
DINO Yearly Shares OutstandingDINO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
DINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.38 indicates that DINO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
DINO's Altman-Z score of 3.38 is amongst the best of the industry. DINO outperforms 84.04% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DINO is 11.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take DINO, 11.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DINO has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.63) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
DINO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of DINO (0.30) is better than 63.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.3
Debt/FCF 11.63
Altman-Z 3.38
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.9%
DINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.87 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.87, DINO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.59% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that DINO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DINO has a worse Quick ratio (0.76) than 65.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.76
DINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DINO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -100.00%.
DINO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -27.46% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 11.21% in the past year. This is quite good.
DINO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.32% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-100%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%-138.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.21%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 52.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
DINO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y84.05%
EPS Next 2Y82.08%
EPS Next 3Y63.04%
EPS Next 5Y52.98%
Revenue Next Year-7.31%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.69%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
DINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B
DINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.03 indicates a correct valuation of DINO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.09% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DINO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.13), we can say DINO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.03
DINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

DINO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
DINO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.04
EV/EBITDA 7.79
DINO Per share dataDINO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DINO's earnings are expected to grow with 63.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y82.08%
EPS Next 3Y63.04%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.51%, DINO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
DINO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.74.
DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.51%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 8.07%, which is quite nice.
DINO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
DINO Yearly Dividends per shareDINO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

DINO pays out 224.50% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DINO's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP224.5%
EPS Next 2Y82.08%
EPS Next 3Y63.04%
DINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B
DINO Dividend Payout.DINO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DINO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HF SINCLAIR CORP

NYSE:DINO (6/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 39.8258 +0.75 (+1.91%)

39.08

+0.44 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-01 2025-08-01/bmo
Inst Owners84.35%
Inst Owner Change2.92%
Ins Owners0.4%
Ins Owner Change1.61%
Market Cap7.36B
Analysts74.78
Price Target41.86 (7.11%)
Short Float %4.92%
Short Ratio2.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.51%
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
DP224.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date05-15 2025-05-15 (0.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)39.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)56.64%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)17.44%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)14.67%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)54.5%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.91%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.06%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.17%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)13.95%
PT rev (1m)2.96%
PT rev (3m)-10.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)28.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-24.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 12.03
P/S 0.21
P/FCF 31.04
P/OCF 10.46
P/B 0.8
P/tB 1.39
EV/EBITDA 7.79
EPS(TTM)0
EYN/A
EPS(NY)3.25
Fwd EY8.31%
FCF(TTM)1.26
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)3.74
OCFY9.56%
SpS185.5
BVpS48.76
TBVpS28.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.03%
ROE 1.85%
ROCE 2.6%
ROIC 2.13%
ROICexc 2.22%
ROICexgc 3.14%
OM 1.03%
PM (TTM) 0.49%
GM 14.45%
FCFM 0.68%
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-32.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-32.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-32.02%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.3
Debt/FCF 11.63
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 54.4%
Cap/Sales 1.34%
Interest Coverage 2.01
Cash Conversion 57.75%
Profit Quality 139.54%
Current Ratio 1.87
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 3.38
F-Score5
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)62.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.32%
Profit Quality(3y)199.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-100%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%-138.03%
EPS Next Y84.05%
EPS Next 2Y82.08%
EPS Next 3Y63.04%
EPS Next 5Y52.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.21%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%
Revenue Next Year-7.31%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.69%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-83.15%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-27.99%
EBIT Next Year359.58%
EBIT Next 3Y83.91%
EBIT Next 5Y48.77%
FCF growth 1Y-92.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.6%
OCF growth 1Y-79.85%
OCF growth 3Y39.75%
OCF growth 5Y-6.44%