DR HORTON INC (DHI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:DHI • US23331A1097
Current stock price
133.12 USD
-4.86 (-3.52%)
At close:
137.99 USD
+4.87 (+3.66%)
Pre-Market:
This DHI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. DHI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year DHI was profitable.
- In the past year DHI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- DHI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years DHI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.63%, DHI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 13.90%, DHI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- DHI has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.56%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DHI is significantly above the industry average of 9.22%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.63% | ||
| ROE | 13.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.56% |
ROA(3y)12.62%
ROA(5y)14.91%
ROE(3y)18.17%
ROE(5y)22.55%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)17.72%
1.3 Margins
- DHI has a better Profit Margin (9.95%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DHI has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.57%, DHI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DHI has remained more or less at the same level.
- With a Gross Margin value of 23.61%, DHI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- DHI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.95% | ||
| GM | 23.61% |
OM growth 3Y-14.91%
OM growth 5Y-0.59%
PM growth 3Y-15.74%
PM growth 5Y-2.18%
GM growth 3Y-8.68%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
2. DHI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DHI is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for DHI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for DHI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for DHI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.65 indicates that DHI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.65, DHI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- DHI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.60. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.60 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- DHI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.60. This is in the better half of the industry: DHI outperforms 71.67% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that DHI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- DHI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.22) than 61.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.65 |
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC9.53%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.29 indicates that DHI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- DHI has a better Current ratio (5.29) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- DHI has a Quick Ratio of 5.29. This is a bad value and indicates that DHI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- DHI has a worse Quick ratio (0.55) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.55 |
3. DHI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for DHI have decreased strongly by -22.19% in the last year.
- DHI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.86% yearly.
- DHI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.62%.
- Measured over the past years, DHI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.19%
EPS 3Y-11.18%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.62%
Revenue growth 3Y0.76%
Revenue growth 5Y11.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.54%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, DHI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.04% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.98% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6.88%
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y11.31%
EPS Next 5Y19.04%
Revenue Next Year0.01%
Revenue Next 2Y2.98%
Revenue Next 3Y4.45%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. DHI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.09, which indicates a correct valuation of DHI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DHI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, DHI is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.54, which indicates a very decent valuation of DHI.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DHI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- DHI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as DHI.
- DHI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DHI is cheaper than 78.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.76 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of DHI may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y11.31%
5. DHI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- DHI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.30%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.30, DHI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, DHI is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of DHI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.00%!
- DHI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- DHI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
- 14.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by DHI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- DHI's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP14.93%
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y11.31%
DHI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
133.12
-4.86 (-3.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)01-20 2026-01-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Inst Owners88.39%
Inst Owner Change-1.25%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change14.66%
Market Cap38.56B
Revenue(TTM)33.52B
Net Income(TTM)3.34B
Analysts69.23
Price Target165.74 (24.5%)
Short Float %6.68%
Short Ratio5.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)18%
DP14.93%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date02-05 2026-02-05 (0.45)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.34%
Max EPS beat(2)3.97%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.34%
Max EPS beat(4)15.5%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.01%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.59%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.42%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.26%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.2%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.92%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.21%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 | ||
| P/S | 1.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.09 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.63 | ||
| P/B | 1.61 | ||
| P/tB | 1.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.76 |
EPS(TTM)11.01
EY8.27%
EPS(NY)12.63
Fwd EY9.49%
FCF(TTM)12
FCFY9.02%
OCF(TTM)12.52
OCFY9.41%
SpS115.72
BVpS82.83
TBVpS82.26
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.94
Graham Number143.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.63% | ||
| ROE | 13.9% | ||
| ROCE | 15.56% | ||
| ROIC | 11.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 13.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.95% | ||
| GM | 23.61% | ||
| FCFM | 10.37% |
ROA(3y)12.62%
ROA(5y)14.91%
ROE(3y)18.17%
ROE(5y)22.55%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)17.72%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)20.33%
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)22.67%
ROCE(3y)20.7%
ROCE(5y)24.66%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-19.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.65%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.07%
OM growth 3Y-14.91%
OM growth 5Y-0.59%
PM growth 3Y-15.74%
PM growth 5Y-2.18%
GM growth 3Y-8.68%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.97
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.16 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 144.42% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | 104.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.65 |
F-Score4
WACC9.53%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)162.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.53%
Profit Quality(3y)73.9%
Profit Quality(5y)47.03%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.19%
EPS 3Y-11.18%
EPS 5Y12.86%
EPS Q2Q%-22.22%
EPS Next Y-6.88%
EPS Next 2Y4.38%
EPS Next 3Y11.31%
EPS Next 5Y19.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.62%
Revenue growth 3Y0.76%
Revenue growth 5Y11.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.54%
Revenue Next Year0.01%
Revenue Next 2Y2.98%
Revenue Next 3Y4.45%
Revenue Next 5Y6.98%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.26%
EBIT growth 5Y10.37%
EBIT Next Year-9.58%
EBIT Next 3Y8.06%
EBIT Next 5Y11.16%
FCF growth 1Y9.57%
FCF growth 3Y99.49%
FCF growth 5Y23.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.23%
OCF growth 3Y82.61%
OCF growth 5Y19.2%
DR HORTON INC / DHI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for DHI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to DHI.
Can you provide the valuation status for DR HORTON INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to DR HORTON INC (DHI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for DR HORTON INC?
DR HORTON INC (DHI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of DR HORTON INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for DR HORTON INC (DHI) is 12.09 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.61.
What is the earnings growth outlook for DR HORTON INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of DR HORTON INC (DHI) is expected to decline by -6.88% in the next year.