DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:DCO - US2641471097 - Common Stock
91.69 USD
+0.5 (+0.55%)
91.69 USD
0 (0%)
Overall DCO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DCO against 71 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. DCO has an average financial health and profitability rating. DCO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DCO was profitable.
DCO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years DCO has been profitable.
DCO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -2.77%, DCO is doing worse than 64.79% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -5.33%, DCO is not doing good in the industry: 63.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
DCO has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.84%. This is in the better half of the industry: DCO outperforms 60.56% of its industry peers.
DCO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.06%. This is below the industry average of 8.53%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.06%) for DCO is below the current ROIC(6.84%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.77% | ||
| ROE | -5.33% | ||
| ROIC | 6.84% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)4.87%
ROE(3y)4.2%
ROE(5y)10%
ROIC(3y)5.06%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
1.3 Margins
DCO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DCO's Operating Margin of 8.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 57.75% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DCO has remained more or less at the same level.
DCO has a Gross Margin (25.98%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DCO has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.98% |
OM growth 3Y-0.44%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-42.44%
PM growth 5Y-2.34%
GM growth 3Y4.56%
GM growth 5Y3.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
DCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
DCO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DCO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DCO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
DCO has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DCO has a Altman-Z score (2.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DCO is 5.09, which is a neutral value as it means it would take DCO, 5.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DCO's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.09 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 71.83% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that DCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of DCO (0.33) is better than 63.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC10.23%
2.3 Liquidity
DCO has a Current Ratio of 2.04. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
DCO has a Current ratio of 2.04. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DCO outperforms 45.07% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.46 indicates that DCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
DCO has a Quick ratio (1.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.14%.
DCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.52% yearly.
Looking at the last year, DCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.16% in the last year.
DCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.14%
EPS 3Y3.61%
EPS 5Y3.52%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.16%
Revenue growth 3Y6.81%
Revenue growth 5Y1.75%
Sales Q2Q%5.53%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, DCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.00% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, DCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y14.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.38%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3Y6.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.58, which means the current valuation is very expensive for DCO.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DCO is valued cheaper than 81.69% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of DCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say DCO is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.31, the valuation of DCO can be described as rather expensive.
DCO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. DCO is cheaper than 83.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.56, DCO is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: DCO is cheaper than 85.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
DCO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. DCO is cheaper than 80.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DCO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DCO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)7.54
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for DCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
91.69
+0.5 (+0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.86%
Inst Owner Change0.43%
Ins Owners8.17%
Ins Owner Change-0.74%
Market Cap1.37B
Revenue(TTM)806.22M
Net Income(TTM)-34.61M
Analysts80
Price Target110.16 (20.14%)
Short Float %2.77%
Short Ratio2.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.42%
Min EPS beat(2)2.91%
Max EPS beat(2)5.93%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.8%
Max EPS beat(4)16.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)14.9%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)10.82%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.86%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.35%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.35%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.05%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.18%
PT rev (1m)1.65%
PT rev (3m)1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.31 | ||
| P/S | 1.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.96 | ||
| P/B | 2.11 | ||
| P/tB | 5.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.17 |
EPS(TTM)3.45
EY3.76%
EPS(NY)4.51
Fwd EY4.92%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY3.26%
OCF(TTM)3.99
OCFY4.36%
SpS53.93
BVpS43.41
TBVpS17.89
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)7.54
Graham Number58.05
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.77% | ||
| ROE | -5.33% | ||
| ROCE | 7.49% | ||
| ROIC | 6.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.24% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.98% | ||
| OM | 8.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 25.98% | ||
| FCFM | 5.54% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)4.87%
ROE(3y)4.2%
ROE(5y)10%
ROIC(3y)5.06%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)5.81%
ROICexgc(3y)9.44%
ROICexgc(5y)10.57%
ROCE(3y)5.54%
ROCE(5y)5.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.74%
OM growth 3Y-0.44%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-42.44%
PM growth 5Y-2.34%
GM growth 3Y4.56%
GM growth 5Y3.64%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 44.83% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 58.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
F-Score5
WACC10.23%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)172.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)172.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.14%
EPS 3Y3.61%
EPS 5Y3.52%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y14.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.16%
Revenue growth 3Y6.81%
Revenue growth 5Y1.75%
Sales Q2Q%5.53%
Revenue Next Year5.38%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3Y6.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.73%
EBIT growth 3Y6.34%
EBIT growth 5Y1.24%
EBIT Next Year67.85%
EBIT Next 3Y28.98%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y145.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-9.34%
OCF growth 1Y63.04%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.7%
DUCOMMUN INC / DCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DCO.
Can you provide the valuation status for DUCOMMUN INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to DUCOMMUN INC (DCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of DCO stock?
DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for DCO stock?
The financial health rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for DCO stock?
The dividend rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.