DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:DCO - US2641471097 - Common Stock
91.94 USD
-1.48 (-1.58%)
91.94 USD
0 (0%)
Overall DCO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated DCO against 70 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DCO get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DCO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
DCO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years DCO has been profitable.
Of the past 5 years DCO 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
DCO has a Return On Assets (3.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 5.65%, DCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of DCO (6.25%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
DCO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.06%. This is below the industry average of 8.43%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.06%) for DCO is below the current ROIC(6.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.5% | ||
| ROE | 5.65% | ||
| ROIC | 6.25% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)4.87%
ROE(3y)4.2%
ROE(5y)10%
ROIC(3y)5.06%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
1.3 Margins
DCO has a Profit Margin of 5.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DCO outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
DCO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DCO's Operating Margin of 8.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 54.29% of its industry peers.
DCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
DCO's Gross Margin of 25.86% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 55.71% of its industry peers.
DCO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.03% | ||
| GM | 25.86% |
OM growth 3Y-0.44%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-42.44%
PM growth 5Y-2.34%
GM growth 3Y4.56%
GM growth 5Y3.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DCO is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for DCO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DCO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DCO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
DCO has an Altman-Z score of 3.84. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DCO has a Altman-Z score of 3.84. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DCO outperforms 51.43% of its industry peers.
DCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.68. This is a neutral value as DCO would need 5.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.68, DCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
DCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
DCO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.31 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 67.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC9.62%
2.3 Liquidity
DCO has a Current Ratio of 3.24. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.24, DCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
DCO has a Quick Ratio of 2.17. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of DCO (2.17) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.17 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.75% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.52% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, DCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.42% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, DCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.75% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.75%
EPS 3Y3.61%
EPS 5Y3.52%
EPS Q2Q%6.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.42%
Revenue growth 3Y6.81%
Revenue growth 5Y1.75%
Sales Q2Q%2.67%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, DCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.00% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, DCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y14.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.38%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.65, which means the current valuation is very expensive for DCO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DCO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DCO is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
DCO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.36, DCO is valued on the expensive side.
DCO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. DCO is cheaper than 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.50. DCO is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DCO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DCO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)7.56
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for DCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
91.94
-1.48 (-1.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.86%
Inst Owner Change-0.17%
Ins Owners8.17%
Ins Owner Change-0.47%
Market Cap1.37B
Revenue(TTM)795.08M
Net Income(TTM)39.99M
Analysts80
Price Target108.38 (17.88%)
Short Float %2.78%
Short Ratio3.06
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.45%
Min EPS beat(2)5.93%
Max EPS beat(2)16.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.8%
Max EPS beat(4)32.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.34%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)11.52%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)10.01%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.35%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.74%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.05%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.19%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.22%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)17.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.36 | ||
| P/S | 1.73 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.7 | ||
| P/B | 1.94 | ||
| P/tB | 4.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16 |
EPS(TTM)3.45
EY3.75%
EPS(NY)4.51
Fwd EY4.91%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY2.96%
OCF(TTM)3.72
OCFY4.05%
SpS53.29
BVpS47.44
TBVpS21.58
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)7.56
Graham Number60.69
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.5% | ||
| ROE | 5.65% | ||
| ROCE | 6.85% | ||
| ROIC | 6.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.21% | ||
| OM | 8.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.03% | ||
| GM | 25.86% | ||
| FCFM | 5.11% |
ROA(3y)2.35%
ROA(5y)4.87%
ROE(3y)4.2%
ROE(5y)10%
ROIC(3y)5.06%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.31%
ROICexc(5y)5.81%
ROICexgc(3y)9.44%
ROICexgc(5y)10.57%
ROCE(3y)5.54%
ROCE(5y)5.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.74%
OM growth 3Y-0.44%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-42.44%
PM growth 5Y-2.34%
GM growth 3Y4.56%
GM growth 5Y3.64%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 44.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 101.61% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.84 |
F-Score9
WACC9.62%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)172.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)172.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.75%
EPS 3Y3.61%
EPS 5Y3.52%
EPS Q2Q%6.02%
EPS Next Y14.05%
EPS Next 2Y17.5%
EPS Next 3Y17%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.42%
Revenue growth 3Y6.81%
Revenue growth 5Y1.75%
Sales Q2Q%2.67%
Revenue Next Year5.38%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y6.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y24.42%
EBIT growth 3Y6.34%
EBIT growth 5Y1.24%
EBIT Next Year67.85%
EBIT Next 3Y28.98%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y134.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-9.34%
OCF growth 1Y230.34%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-7.7%
DUCOMMUN INC / DCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to DCO.
Can you provide the valuation status for DUCOMMUN INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to DUCOMMUN INC (DCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of DCO stock?
DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for DCO stock?
The financial health rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) is 6 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for DCO stock?
The dividend rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.