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CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CWST - Nasdaq - US1474481041 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

111.59  -3.23 (-2.81%)

After market: 111.59 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall CWST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CWST against 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. CWST has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. CWST is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CWST had positive earnings in the past year.
CWST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CWST has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CWST had a positive operating cash flow.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

CWST has a Return On Assets (0.40%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CWST (0.83%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.27%, CWST is not doing good in the industry: 60.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CWST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.61%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.67%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.4%
ROE 0.83%
ROIC 2.27%
ROA(3y)1.69%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)4.67%
ROE(5y)9.78%
ROIC(3y)3.61%
ROIC(5y)3.98%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

1.3 Margins

CWST has a Profit Margin (0.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
CWST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CWST has a Operating Margin (6.19%) which is in line with its industry peers.
CWST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CWST has a Gross Margin (34.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CWST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.19%
PM (TTM) 0.79%
GM 34.06%
OM growth 3Y-10.98%
OM growth 5Y-3.18%
PM growth 3Y-42.71%
PM growth 5Y-27.25%
GM growth 3Y-0.46%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CWST is destroying value.
CWST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CWST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CWST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.28 indicates that CWST is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
CWST's Altman-Z score of 3.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 62.65% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CWST is 11.95, which is on the high side as it means it would take CWST, 11.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 11.95, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.01% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.72, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 11.95
Altman-Z 3.28
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC9.78%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.96 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.96, CWST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CWST has a Quick Ratio of 1.87. This is a normal value and indicates that CWST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.87, CWST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.87
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.33% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.16% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, CWST shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 21.63%.
CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.33%
EPS 3Y0%
EPS 5Y1.16%
EPS Q2Q%2000%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y20.54%
Revenue growth 5Y15.94%
Sales Q2Q%22.31%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 26.44% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.90% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y25.07%
EPS Next 3Y29.33%
EPS Next 5Y26.44%
Revenue Next Year16.65%
Revenue Next 2Y11.83%
Revenue Next 3Y11.68%
Revenue Next 5Y10.9%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2 3

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 102.38, the valuation of CWST can be described as expensive.
61.45% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CWST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
CWST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.28.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 80.16 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CWST.
CWST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
CWST is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.76, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 102.38
Fwd PE 80.16
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CWST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.45% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CWST.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 74.49
EV/EBITDA 23.07
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CWST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 29.33% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)4.13
PEG (5Y)88.02
EPS Next 2Y25.07%
EPS Next 3Y29.33%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CWST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (7/2/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 111.59 0 (0%)

111.59

-3.23 (-2.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-24 2025-07-24/amc
Inst Owners107.34%
Inst Owner Change0.56%
Ins Owners0.6%
Ins Owner Change1.5%
Market Cap7.08B
Analysts78.75
Price Target125.15 (12.15%)
Short Float %3.73%
Short Ratio5.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)126.58%
Min EPS beat(2)98.4%
Max EPS beat(2)154.76%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)57.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.52%
Max EPS beat(4)154.76%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)30.36%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)23.28%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.35%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.02%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.32%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.13%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)5.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.82%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 102.38
Fwd PE 80.16
P/S 4.34
P/FCF 74.49
P/OCF 21.87
P/B 4.58
P/tB 39.82
EV/EBITDA 23.07
EPS(TTM)1.09
EY0.98%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY1.25%
FCF(TTM)1.5
FCFY1.34%
OCF(TTM)5.1
OCFY4.57%
SpS25.74
BVpS24.38
TBVpS2.8
PEG (NY)4.13
PEG (5Y)88.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.4%
ROE 0.83%
ROCE 3.42%
ROIC 2.27%
ROICexc 2.5%
ROICexgc 5.1%
OM 6.19%
PM (TTM) 0.79%
GM 34.06%
FCFM 5.82%
ROA(3y)1.69%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)4.67%
ROE(5y)9.78%
ROIC(3y)3.61%
ROIC(5y)3.98%
ROICexc(3y)3.95%
ROICexc(5y)4.35%
ROICexgc(3y)6.82%
ROICexgc(5y)6.88%
ROCE(3y)5.43%
ROCE(5y)5.99%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-8.01%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.94%
OM growth 3Y-10.98%
OM growth 5Y-3.18%
PM growth 3Y-42.71%
PM growth 5Y-27.25%
GM growth 3Y-0.46%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 11.95
Debt/EBITDA 3.16
Cap/Depr 90.64%
Cap/Sales 14%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 91.61%
Profit Quality 740.23%
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.87
Altman-Z 3.28
F-Score5
WACC9.78%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)93.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)103.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.04%
Profit Quality(3y)348.49%
Profit Quality(5y)244.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.33%
EPS 3Y0%
EPS 5Y1.16%
EPS Q2Q%2000%
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y25.07%
EPS Next 3Y29.33%
EPS Next 5Y26.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y20.54%
Revenue growth 5Y15.94%
Sales Q2Q%22.31%
Revenue Next Year16.65%
Revenue Next 2Y11.83%
Revenue Next 3Y11.68%
Revenue Next 5Y10.9%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.24%
EBIT growth 3Y7.31%
EBIT growth 5Y12.26%
EBIT Next Year263.54%
EBIT Next 3Y65.29%
EBIT Next 5Y41.15%
FCF growth 1Y30.77%
FCF growth 3Y9.43%
FCF growth 5Y41.76%
OCF growth 1Y55.15%
OCF growth 3Y15.48%
OCF growth 5Y19.22%