Logo image of CVE-PR-A.CA

CENOVUS ENERGY INC - CVECN 2.404 PERP (CVE-PR-A.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CVE-PR-A - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA15135U3073 - Currency: CAD

23.5  -0.11 (-0.44%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to CVE-PR-A. CVE-PR-A was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. CVE-PR-A has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. CVE-PR-A is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CVE-PR-A had positive earnings in the past year.
CVE-PR-A had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years CVE-PR-A 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years CVE-PR-A always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

CVE-PR-A's Return On Assets of 4.95% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVE-PR-A outperforms 77.36% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A has a Return On Equity of 9.30%. This is in the better half of the industry: CVE-PR-A outperforms 73.11% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: CVE-PR-A outperforms 76.89% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.92%. This is above the industry average of 7.33%.
The 3 year average ROIC (11.92%) for CVE-PR-A is well above the current ROIC(7.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.95%
ROE 9.3%
ROIC 7.38%
ROA(3y)8.18%
ROA(5y)3.66%
ROE(3y)15.96%
ROE(5y)7.2%
ROIC(3y)11.92%
ROIC(5y)N/A
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

CVE-PR-A's Profit Margin of 5.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CVE-PR-A outperforms 57.08% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CVE-PR-A has a Operating Margin of 8.54%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CVE-PR-A outperforms 51.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CVE-PR-A has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of CVE-PR-A (32.07%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CVE-PR-A's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 5.15%
GM 32.07%
OM growth 3Y-3.42%
OM growth 5Y2.33%
PM growth 3Y68.65%
PM growth 5Y-12.05%
GM growth 3Y-13%
GM growth 5Y-11.02%
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CVE-PR-A is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CVE-PR-A has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CVE-PR-A has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CVE-PR-A has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.55 indicates that CVE-PR-A is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CVE-PR-A has a Altman-Z score of 2.55. This is in the better half of the industry: CVE-PR-A outperforms 74.06% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.53. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as CVE-PR-A would need 3.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.53, CVE-PR-A is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.77% of the companies in the same industry.
CVE-PR-A has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CVE-PR-A's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.34 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CVE-PR-A outperforms 54.72% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 3.53
Altman-Z 2.55
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.07%
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.46 indicates that CVE-PR-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CVE-PR-A has a Current ratio of 1.46. This is in the better half of the industry: CVE-PR-A outperforms 71.70% of its industry peers.
CVE-PR-A has a Quick Ratio of 1.46. This is a bad value and indicates that CVE-PR-A is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CVE-PR-A (0.84) is better than 61.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.46
Quick Ratio 0.84
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CVE-PR-A have decreased strongly by -38.43% in the last year.
CVE-PR-A shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 33.97% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CVE-PR-A shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.57% in the last year.
CVE-PR-A shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.88% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.43%
EPS 3Y87.2%
EPS 5Y33.97%
EPS Q2Q%-24.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.57%
Revenue growth 3Y5.4%
Revenue growth 5Y21.88%
Sales Q2Q%-0.73%

3.2 Future

CVE-PR-A is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.52% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CVE-PR-A will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.62%
EPS Next 2Y18.58%
EPS Next 3Y19.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20B 40B 60B
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 2 -2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.77, CVE-PR-A is valued correctly.
61.79% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CVE-PR-A, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
CVE-PR-A is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.19, which indicates a very decent valuation of CVE-PR-A.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CVE-PR-A is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.27, CVE-PR-A is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.77
Fwd PE 10.19
CVE-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCVE-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CVE-PR-A is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.13% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CVE-PR-A is valued a bit cheaper than 66.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.03
EV/EBITDA 5.25
CVE-PR-A.CA Per share dataCVE-PR-A.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of CVE-PR-A may justify a higher PE ratio.
CVE-PR-A's earnings are expected to grow with 19.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.38
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y18.58%
EPS Next 3Y19.52%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CVE-PR-A has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.73%.
CVE-PR-A's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.21.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, CVE-PR-A has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.73%

5.2 History

The dividend of CVE-PR-A is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 31.72%!
CVE-PR-A has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CVE-PR-A has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.72%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

CVE-PR-A pays out 57.77% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CVE-PR-A's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP57.77%
EPS Next 2Y18.58%
EPS Next 3Y19.52%
CVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCVE-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B
CVE-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout.CVE-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CVE-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CENOVUS ENERGY INC - CVECN 2.404 PERP

TSX:CVE-PR-A (6/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

23.5

-0.11 (-0.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/bmo
Inst Owners52.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap42.83B
Analysts79.09
Price Target31.36 (33.45%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.73%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.72%
DP57.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date06-13 2025-06-13 (0.16106)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-23.65%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.97%
Max EPS beat(2)25.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-72.97%
Max EPS beat(4)25.67%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.58%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-10.49%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-10.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.43%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.24%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.09%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.76%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.01%
PT rev (1m)-14.81%
PT rev (3m)-7.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-43.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.77
Fwd PE 10.19
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 14.03
P/OCF 5.18
P/B 1.43
P/tB 1.58
EV/EBITDA 5.25
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY6.34%
EPS(NY)2.31
Fwd EY9.81%
FCF(TTM)1.68
FCFY7.13%
OCF(TTM)4.53
OCFY19.29%
SpS29.73
BVpS16.48
TBVpS14.87
PEG (NY)2.38
PEG (5Y)0.46
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.95%
ROE 9.3%
ROCE 9.36%
ROIC 7.38%
ROICexc 7.81%
ROICexgc 8.33%
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 5.15%
GM 32.07%
FCFM 5.64%
ROA(3y)8.18%
ROA(5y)3.66%
ROE(3y)15.96%
ROE(5y)7.2%
ROIC(3y)11.92%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)15.07%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-0.51%
ROICexcg growth 5Y16.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.58%
OM growth 3Y-3.42%
OM growth 5Y2.33%
PM growth 3Y68.65%
PM growth 5Y-12.05%
GM growth 3Y-13%
GM growth 5Y-11.02%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 3.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.06
Cap/Depr 104.37%
Cap/Sales 9.61%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.89%
Profit Quality 109.35%
Current Ratio 1.46
Quick Ratio 0.84
Altman-Z 2.55
F-Score4
WACC8.07%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)91.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.01%
Profit Quality(3y)110.56%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.43%
EPS 3Y87.2%
EPS 5Y33.97%
EPS Q2Q%-24.19%
EPS Next Y6.62%
EPS Next 2Y18.58%
EPS Next 3Y19.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.57%
Revenue growth 3Y5.4%
Revenue growth 5Y21.88%
Sales Q2Q%-0.73%
Revenue Next Year-8.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-29.74%
EBIT growth 3Y1.79%
EBIT growth 5Y24.73%
EBIT Next Year96.04%
EBIT Next 3Y23.1%
EBIT Next 5Y16.97%
FCF growth 1Y-46.33%
FCF growth 3Y7.94%
FCF growth 5Y14.96%
OCF growth 1Y-15.29%
OCF growth 3Y15.98%
OCF growth 5Y22.96%