CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:CTRN - US17306X1028 - Common Stock
36.47 USD
+0.87 (+2.44%)
36.47 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, CTRN scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CTRN was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. The financial health of CTRN is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTRN has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CTRN had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year CTRN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years CTRN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years CTRN reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CTRN has a worse Return On Assets (-3.64%) than 65.29% of its industry peers.
CTRN has a Return On Equity of -14.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CTRN outperforms 41.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.64% | ||
| ROE | -14.7% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)3.43%
ROE(3y)-3.45%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Gross Margin value of 39.75%, CTRN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.81% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTRN has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CTRN so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 39.75% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.3%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CTRN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, CTRN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, CTRN has less shares outstanding
CTRN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.06 indicates that CTRN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.06, CTRN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.07% of the companies in the same industry.
CTRN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.06 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.46%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that CTRN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CTRN's Current ratio of 1.13 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTRN is outperformed by 67.77% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.43 indicates that CTRN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CTRN has a Quick ratio (0.43) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.43 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CTRN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -29.69%.
CTRN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.32%.
CTRN shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.75%
Sales Q2Q%8.04%
3.2 Future
CTRN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.07% yearly.
CTRN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.80% yearly.
EPS Next Y78.17%
EPS Next 2Y45.99%
EPS Next 3Y33.26%
EPS Next 5Y24.07%
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y5.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.94%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CTRN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.60 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CTRN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CTRN is valued a bit more expensive than 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.99. CTRN is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 60.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CTRN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CTRN is more expensive than 67.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 48.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CTRN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CTRN's earnings are expected to grow with 33.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.99%
EPS Next 3Y33.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CTRN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
36.47
+0.87 (+2.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.77%
Inst Owner Change0.61%
Ins Owners10.83%
Ins Owner Change1.01%
Market Cap303.07M
Revenue(TTM)782.72M
Net Income(TTM)-16642000
Analysts82.5
Price Target48.96 (34.25%)
Short Float %5.59%
Short Ratio4.19
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)103.13%
Min EPS beat(2)20.8%
Max EPS beat(2)185.47%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-187.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-938.78%
Max EPS beat(4)185.47%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-158.11%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-68.98%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-68.52%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.95%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.27%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.49%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)24.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 60.6 | ||
| P/S | 0.39 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 99.92 | ||
| P/B | 2.68 | ||
| P/tB | 2.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 48.7 |
EPS(TTM)-2.97
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.6
Fwd EY1.65%
FCF(TTM)-1.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.36
OCFY1%
SpS94.19
BVpS13.63
TBVpS13.63
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.64% | ||
| ROE | -14.7% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 39.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)3.43%
ROE(3y)-3.45%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.3%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.71
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 67.5% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 58.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.06 |
F-Score6
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)80.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.05%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.73%
EPS Next Y78.17%
EPS Next 2Y45.99%
EPS Next 3Y33.26%
EPS Next 5Y24.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-8.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.75%
Sales Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y5.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.94%
Revenue Next 5Y5.8%
EBIT growth 1Y58.97%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year124.15%
EBIT Next 3Y45.71%
EBIT Next 5Y30.92%
FCF growth 1Y-388.37%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-78.34%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
CITI TRENDS INC / CTRN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CTRN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CTRN.
What is the valuation status of CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) stock?
CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) stock?
The financial health rating of CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) is 6 / 10.
Is the dividend of CITI TRENDS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.