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CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CTC - CA1366811034 - Common Stock

245 CAD
-5 (-2%)
Last: 8/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CTC. CTC was compared to 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While CTC seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CTC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
CTC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CTC had a positive operating cash flow.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

CTC has a Return On Assets of 3.55%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a worse Return On Equity (13.06%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.20%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CTC is below the industry average of 11.40%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 13.06%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CTC (4.65%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.87%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CTC has grown nicely.
CTC's Gross Margin of 34.06% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.87%
PM (TTM) 4.65%
GM 34.06%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CTC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for CTC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CTC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.12 indicates that CTC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.12, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC is 7.43, which is on the high side as it means it would take CTC, 7.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC (7.43) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.12. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CTC (1.12) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 7.43
Altman-Z 2.12
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC7.6%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.83 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.83, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.42. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.42, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.42
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.29% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CTC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.74% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CTC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.05% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CTC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.29%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%0.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.05%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.67%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.39% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.14%
Revenue Next 2Y0.24%
Revenue Next 3Y0.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CTC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.52.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.13. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.45, the valuation of CTC can be described as rather expensive.
CTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.76. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.52
Fwd PE 17.45
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CTC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.91
EV/EBITDA 8.44
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CTC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)72.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CTC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.16%, which is a nice return.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.85. CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.16%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
CTC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CTC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CTC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CTC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (8/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

245

-5 (-2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)08-07 2025-08-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05
Inst Owners32.57%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.52%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.25B
Analysts72.63
Price Target270.33 (10.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.16%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date10-31 2025-10-31 (1.775)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)21.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(2)53.7%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(4)53.7%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)18.82%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)10.51%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)12.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.96%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.22%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.89%
PT rev (1m)7.97%
PT rev (3m)10.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.52
Fwd PE 17.45
P/S 0.81
P/FCF 12.91
P/OCF 8.14
P/B 2.27
P/tB 2.97
EV/EBITDA 8.44
EPS(TTM)13.23
EY5.4%
EPS(NY)14.04
Fwd EY5.73%
FCF(TTM)18.98
FCFY7.75%
OCF(TTM)30.08
OCFY12.28%
SpS302.55
BVpS107.81
TBVpS82.36
PEG (NY)72.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 13.06%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 6.69%
ROICexgc 7.37%
OM 8.87%
PM (TTM) 4.65%
GM 34.06%
FCFM 6.27%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)7.13%
ROICexc(5y)7.69%
ROICexgc(3y)8.31%
ROICexgc(5y)9.13%
ROCE(3y)10.78%
ROCE(5y)10.92%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.58%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.52%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 7.43
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 78.82%
Cap/Sales 3.67%
Interest Coverage 3.8
Cash Conversion 73.51%
Profit Quality 134.79%
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.42
Altman-Z 2.12
F-Score8
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.29%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%0.28%
EPS Next Y0.26%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.05%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.67%
Revenue Next Year-1.14%
Revenue Next 2Y0.24%
Revenue Next 3Y0.84%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y9.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y4.86%
EBIT Next Year47.81%
EBIT Next 3Y18.36%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y125.07%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y33.55%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%