CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:CTC • CA1366811034

224 CAD
-0.15 (-0.07%)
Last: Jan 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CTC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CTC was compared to 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. The financial health of CTC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTC has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CTC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CTC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 3.33%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.37%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.83%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CTC is below the industry average of 11.07%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROIC 5.83%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.49%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • CTC has a worse Operating Margin (8.54%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CTC has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.22%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • CTC has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • CTC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CTC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.02 indicates that CTC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.02, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CTC has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CTC would need 17.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC (17.07) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.13 is on the high side and indicates that CTC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CTC has a better Debt to Equity ratio (1.13) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Altman-Z 2.02
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC7.44%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CTC has a Current Ratio of 1.80. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CTC has a Current ratio of 1.80. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.36 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.36, CTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • CTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.68%, which is quite good.
  • CTC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.74% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.13% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.68%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.72% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.54% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.23%
EPS Next 2Y5.93%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.69, the valuation of CTC can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CTC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.84, CTC is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.57. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.69
Fwd PE 15.84
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.96
EV/EBITDA 8.49
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CTC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)3.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.93%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.21%, CTC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.88. CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.21%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
  • CTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CTC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • CTC pays out 49.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • CTC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP49.67%
EPS Next 2Y5.93%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

The financial health rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of CANADIAN TIRE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.67%.