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CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:CPE - US13123X5086 - Common Stock

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
Last: 3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours: 3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to CPE. CPE was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CPE while its profitability can be described as average. CPE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CPE had positive earnings in the past year.
CPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years CPE 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CPE had a positive operating cash flow.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 5.98%, CPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.60% of the companies in the same industry.
CPE has a worse Return On Equity (10.05%) than 63.38% of its industry peers.
CPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.88%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 56.34% of its industry peers.
CPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.07%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.70%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.07%) for CPE is well above the current ROIC(9.88%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

CPE has a Profit Margin (17.12%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CPE has declined.
The Operating Margin of CPE (32.37%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CPE has declined.
CPE has a Gross Margin of 65.17%. This is in the better half of the industry: CPE outperforms 67.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CPE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CPE is creating value.
CPE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CPE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
CPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that CPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CPE has a Altman-Z score (1.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.53. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CPE would need 15.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CPE (15.53) is worse than 63.85% of its industry peers.
CPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CPE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CPE has a Current ratio of 0.39. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CPE underperforms 92.49% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CPE's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 88.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CPE have decreased strongly by -49.21% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.38% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for CPE has decreased by -27.48% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, CPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 31.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 4.85 indicates a rather cheap valuation of CPE.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CPE is valued cheaper than 88.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.89, CPE is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68, the valuation of CPE can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.99), we can say CPE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CPE is valued cheaper than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CPE.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CPE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-26 2024-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)05-01 2024-05-01/amc
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CPE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


What is the valuation status of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CPE stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALLON PETROLEUM CO based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


What is the expected EPS growth for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is expected to decline by -14.59% in the next year.