COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:COUP • US22266L1061

80.97 USD
+0.63 (+0.78%)
At close: Feb 27, 2023
80.96 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours: 2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, COUP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COUP was compared to 276 industry peers in the Software industry. Both the profitability and financial health of COUP have multiple concerns. COUP shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • COUP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year COUP had a positive cash flow from operations.
COUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • COUP has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
COUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • COUP has a Gross Margin (59.84%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • COUP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for COUP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
COUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • COUP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COUP has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for COUP is higher compared to a year ago.
COUP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOUP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
COUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • COUP has an Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that COUP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.00, COUP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of COUP is 10.99, which is on the high side as it means it would take COUP, 10.99 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • COUP's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.99 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COUP outperforms 66.22% of its industry peers.
  • COUP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.62. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • COUP has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (7.62) than 85.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Altman-Z 1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.44%
COUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.78 indicates that COUP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.78, COUP is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.78 indicates that COUP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • COUP's Quick ratio of 1.78 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COUP outperforms 50.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
COUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • COUP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.99%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 69.65% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.63% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 40.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.06% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
COUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
COUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 -1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 126.52, which means the current valuation is very expensive for COUP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, COUP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • COUP is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 119.07, which means the current valuation is very expensive for COUP.
  • COUP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COUP to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.05), we can say COUP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
COUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, COUP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.09
EV/EBITDA N/A
COUP Per share dataCOUP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for COUP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

COUPA SOFTWARE INC

NASDAQ:COUP (2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 80.96 -0.01 (-0.01%)

80.97

+0.63 (+0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)12-12
Earnings (Next)03-13
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.12B
Revenue(TTM)818.11M
Net Income(TTM)-337.43M
Analysts67.62
Price Target80.65 (-0.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)90.32%
Min EPS beat(2)41.91%
Max EPS beat(2)138.72%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)131.79%
Min EPS beat(4)41.91%
Max EPS beat(4)297.85%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.06%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
P/S 7.48
P/FCF 31.09
P/OCF 28.54
P/B 21.55
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY0.79%
EPS(NY)0.68
Fwd EY0.84%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)2.84
OCFY3.5%
SpS10.83
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-21.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 12.23%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 1
F-Score5
WACC9.44%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.54%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year191.11%
EBIT Next 3Y45.61%
EBIT Next 5Y30.89%
FCF growth 1Y187.55%
FCF growth 3Y72.77%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y167.63%
OCF growth 3Y64.97%
OCF growth 5YN/A

COUPA SOFTWARE INC / COUP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for COUP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to COUP.


What is the valuation status for COUP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) stock?

COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for COUP stock?

The financial health rating of COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) is 2 / 10.