COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:COUP • US22266L1061

Current stock price

80.97 USD
+0.63 (+0.78%)
At close:
80.96 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours:

This COUP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. COUP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • COUP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • COUP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
COUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for COUP are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
COUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • COUP's Gross Margin of 59.84% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COUP outperforms 40.47% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COUP has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for COUP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
COUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

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3

2. COUP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • COUP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for COUP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • COUP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
COUP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOUP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
COUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • COUP has an Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that COUP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • COUP has a Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: COUP outperforms 41.81% of its industry peers.
  • COUP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.99. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as COUP would need 10.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • COUP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 10.99. This is in the better half of the industry: COUP outperforms 66.22% of its industry peers.
  • COUP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.62. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 7.62, COUP is not doing good in the industry: 85.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Altman-Z 1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.44%
COUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • COUP has a Current Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that COUP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of COUP (1.78) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.78 indicates that COUP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • COUP has a Quick ratio of 1.78. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: COUP outperforms 50.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
COUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. COUP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for COUP have decreased strongly by -20.99% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, COUP shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 69.65% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.63% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • COUP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 40.22% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%

3.2 Future

  • COUP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.06% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
COUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
COUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 -1 2 3

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2

4. COUP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • COUP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 126.52.
  • COUP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. COUP is cheaper than 61.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COUP to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.18), we can say COUP is valued expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 119.07, COUP can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • COUP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COUP to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.96), we can say COUP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
COUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, COUP is valued cheaper than 82.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.09
EV/EBITDA N/A
COUP Per share dataCOUP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. COUP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for COUP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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COUP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

COUPA SOFTWARE INC

NASDAQ:COUP (2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 80.96 -0.01 (-0.01%)

80.97

+0.63 (+0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)12-12
Earnings (Next)03-13
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.12B
Revenue(TTM)818.11M
Net Income(TTM)-337.43M
Analysts67.62
Price Target80.65 (-0.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)90.32%
Min EPS beat(2)41.91%
Max EPS beat(2)138.72%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)131.79%
Min EPS beat(4)41.91%
Max EPS beat(4)297.85%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.06%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
P/S 7.48
P/FCF 31.09
P/OCF 28.54
P/B 21.55
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY0.79%
EPS(NY)0.68
Fwd EY0.84%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)2.84
OCFY3.5%
SpS10.83
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-21.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 12.23%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 1
F-Score5
WACC9.44%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.54%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year191.11%
EBIT Next 3Y45.61%
EBIT Next 5Y30.89%
FCF growth 1Y187.55%
FCF growth 3Y72.77%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y167.63%
OCF growth 3Y64.97%
OCF growth 5YN/A

COUPA SOFTWARE INC / COUP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for COUP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to COUP.


What is the valuation status for COUP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of COUP stock?

COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is COUPA SOFTWARE INC?

The financial health rating of COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for COUP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) is expected to decline by -46.13% in the next year.