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COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:COUP - US22266L1061 - Common Stock

80.97 USD
+0.63 (+0.78%)
Last: 2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM
80.96 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours: 2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

COUP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 281 industry peers in the Software industry. COUP may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. COUP shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year COUP was profitable.
COUP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years COUP always reported negative net income.
COUP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
COUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOUP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for COUP are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
COUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOUP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

COUP has a Gross Margin (59.84%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COUP has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for COUP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
COUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOUP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

COUP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for COUP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, COUP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
COUP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOUP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
COUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOUP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.00, we must say that COUP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of COUP (1.00) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COUP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.99. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as COUP would need 10.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.99, COUP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.22% of the companies in the same industry.
COUP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.62. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
COUP has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (7.62) than 85.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Altman-Z 1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.44%
COUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOUP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.78 indicates that COUP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.78, COUP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.50% of the companies in the same industry.
COUP has a Quick Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that COUP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
COUP has a Quick ratio (1.78) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
COUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOUP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for COUP have decreased strongly by -20.99% in the last year.
COUP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 69.65% yearly.
COUP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.63%.
COUP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 40.22% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%

3.2 Future

COUP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 27.06% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
COUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
COUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOUP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 -1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 126.52, COUP can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, COUP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
COUP is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 119.07, the valuation of COUP can be described as expensive.
COUP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.56, COUP is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
COUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOUP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COUP indicates a rather cheap valuation: COUP is cheaper than 82.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.09
EV/EBITDA N/A
COUP Per share dataCOUP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for COUP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

COUPA SOFTWARE INC

NASDAQ:COUP (2/27/2023, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 80.96 -0.01 (-0.01%)

80.97

+0.63 (+0.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)12-12 2022-12-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-13 2023-03-13
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.12B
Revenue(TTM)818.11M
Net Income(TTM)-337.43M
Analysts67.62
Price Target80.65 (-0.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)90.32%
Min EPS beat(2)41.91%
Max EPS beat(2)138.72%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)131.79%
Min EPS beat(4)41.91%
Max EPS beat(4)297.85%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.06%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 126.52
Fwd PE 119.07
P/S 7.48
P/FCF 31.09
P/OCF 28.54
P/B 21.55
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY0.79%
EPS(NY)0.68
Fwd EY0.84%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)2.84
OCFY3.5%
SpS10.83
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-21.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 59.84%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y-2.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.62
Debt/FCF 10.99
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 12.23%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.78
Quick Ratio 1.78
Altman-Z 1
F-Score5
WACC9.44%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)22.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.99%
EPS 3Y69.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-51.61%
EPS Next Y-46.13%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.07%
EPS Next 5Y27.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.63%
Revenue growth 3Y40.7%
Revenue growth 5Y40.22%
Sales Q2Q%16.96%
Revenue Next Year17.3%
Revenue Next 2Y17.69%
Revenue Next 3Y18.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.73%
EBIT growth 1Y2.54%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year191.11%
EBIT Next 3Y45.61%
EBIT Next 5Y30.89%
FCF growth 1Y187.55%
FCF growth 3Y72.77%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y167.63%
OCF growth 3Y64.97%
OCF growth 5YN/A

COUPA SOFTWARE INC / COUP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for COUP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to COUP.


Can you provide the valuation status for COUPA SOFTWARE INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for COUPA SOFTWARE INC?

COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for COUPA SOFTWARE INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of COUPA SOFTWARE INC (COUP) is expected to decline by -46.13% in the next year.