CONN'S INC (CONN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CONN • US2082421072

Current stock price

0.0975 USD
-0.08 (-46.4%)
At close:
0.072 USD
-0.03 (-26.15%)
After Hours:

This CONN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. CONN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CONN had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CONN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CONN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • CONN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CONN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCONN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CONN (-3.15%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • CONN has a Return On Equity of -15.46%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CONN underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.15%
ROE -15.46%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.14%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)-3.22%
ROE(5y)-0.26%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CONN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCONN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • CONN has a better Gross Margin (49.12%) than 76.80% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CONN has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CONN so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.12%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
CONN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCONN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

3

2. CONN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CONN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CONN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CONN has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CONN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CONN Yearly Shares OutstandingCONN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
CONN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCONN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • CONN has an Altman-Z score of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that CONN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CONN (0.99) is worse than 76.80% of its industry peers.
  • CONN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.69. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.69, CONN is doing worse than 64.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.69
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.99
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.85%
CONN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCONN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CONN has a Current Ratio of 2.58. This indicates that CONN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.58, CONN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.87 indicates that CONN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CONN's Quick ratio of 1.87 is amongst the best of the industry. CONN outperforms 88.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.58
Quick Ratio 1.87
CONN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCONN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. CONN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CONN have decreased strongly by -175.11% in the last year.
  • CONN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.81%.
  • CONN shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -4.40% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-175.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.81%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.7%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CONN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 42.52% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 24.38% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y81.05%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year47.5%
Revenue Next 2Y24.38%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CONN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCONN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CONN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCONN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4 -6

1

4. CONN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CONN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CONN. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CONN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCONN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CONN Per share dataCONN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CONN's earnings are expected to grow with 42.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. CONN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CONN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CONN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONN'S INC

NASDAQ:CONN (8/5/2024, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.072 -0.03 (-26.15%)

0.0975

-0.08 (-46.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)06-12
Earnings (Next)08-28
Inst Owners1.19%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners45.07%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.43M
Revenue(TTM)1.24B
Net Income(TTM)-76.90M
Analysts85.71
Price Target5.61 (5653.85%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-7.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.31%
Max EPS beat(2)21.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.31%
Max EPS beat(4)21.94%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.27%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)30.84%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)86.41%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-11.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.59%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.2%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.05%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.52%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-59.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0
P/tB 0
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-6.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.06
OCFYN/A
SpS49.73
BVpS19.99
TBVpS19.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.15%
ROE -15.46%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.12%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.14%
ROA(5y)0.39%
ROE(3y)-3.22%
ROE(5y)-0.26%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.69
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 101.27%
Cap/Sales 4.12%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.58
Quick Ratio 1.87
Altman-Z 0.99
F-Score4
WACC5.85%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)119.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-175.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
EPS Next Y81.05%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.81%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.7%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.31%
Revenue Next Year47.5%
Revenue Next 2Y24.38%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-608.87%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year195.57%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-711.81%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-184.82%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CONN'S INC / CONN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONN'S INC (CONN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CONN.


What is the valuation status for CONN stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CONN'S INC (CONN). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CONN'S INC?

CONN'S INC (CONN) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is CONN'S INC?

The financial health rating of CONN'S INC (CONN) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CONN stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONN'S INC (CONN) is expected to grow by 81.05% in the next year.