Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:COG

22.25
+0.49 (+2.25%)
At close: Oct 1, 2021
22.39
+0.14 (+0.63%)
After Hours: 10/1/2021, 8:12:00 PM

This COG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, COG scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COG was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COG has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. COG is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. COG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year COG was profitable.

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.92%
ROE 11.87%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.11%
PM (TTM) 17.82%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A

2

2. COG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • COG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.

2.2 Solvency

  • COG has an Altman-Z score of 3.53. This indicates that COG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • COG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.53
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A

2.3 Liquidity

  • COG has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that COG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that COG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1

7

3. COG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.92% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 35.10% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • COG shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.79%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.56% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.92%
EPS 3Y0.63%
EPS 5Y35.1%
EPS Q2Q%420%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-2.31%

3.2 Future

  • COG is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 37.99% yearly.
  • COG is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 48.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y239.76%
EPS Next 2Y107.44%
EPS Next 3Y60.07%
EPS Next 5Y37.99%
Revenue Next Year71.44%
Revenue Next 2Y85.24%
Revenue Next 3Y49.51%
Revenue Next 5Y48.92%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
COG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
COG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. COG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • COG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.47.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. COG is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.57, the valuation of COG can be described as very reasonable.
  • COG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.47
Fwd PE 9.57
COG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.7
COG Per share dataCOG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • COG's earnings are expected to grow with 60.07% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.09
PEG (5Y)0.64
EPS Next 2Y107.44%
EPS Next 3Y60.07%

4

5. COG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • COG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.98%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, COG has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of COG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.86%!
  • COG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.86%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
COG Yearly Dividends per shareCOG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

  • COG pays out 59.90% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of COG is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP59.9%
EPS Next 2Y107.44%
EPS Next 3Y60.07%
COG Dividend Payout.COG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Cabot Oil & Gas Corp

NYSE:COG (10/1/2021, 8:12:00 PM)

After market: 22.39 +0.14 (+0.63%)

22.25

+0.49 (+2.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners162.88%
Inst Owner Change1.69%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap8.89B
Revenue(TTM)1.53B
Net Income(TTM)273.06M
Analysts68.4
Price Target22.63 (1.71%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.98%
Yearly Dividend0.44
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.86%
DP59.9%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.47
Fwd PE 9.57
P/S 5.8
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.87
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.7
EPS(TTM)0.99
EY4.45%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY10.44%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS3.83
BVpS5.75
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.09
PEG (5Y)0.64
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.92%
ROE 11.87%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 25.11%
PM (TTM) 17.82%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 3.53
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.92%
EPS 3Y0.63%
EPS 5Y35.1%
EPS Q2Q%420%
EPS Next Y239.76%
EPS Next 2Y107.44%
EPS Next 3Y60.07%
EPS Next 5Y37.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-2.31%
Revenue Next Year71.44%
Revenue Next 2Y85.24%
Revenue Next 3Y49.51%
Revenue Next 5Y48.92%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Cabot Oil & Gas Corp / COG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to COG.


What is the valuation status of Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of COG stock?

Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for COG stock?

The financial health rating of Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) is 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for Cabot Oil & Gas Corp?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG) is expected to grow by 239.76% in the next year.