CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CMLS • US2310828015

Current stock price

0.189 USD
-0.04 (-18.95%)
At close:
0.16 USD
-0.03 (-15.34%)
After Hours:

This CMLS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. CMLS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CMLS has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year CMLS has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years CMLS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years CMLS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CMLS (-25.32%) is worse than 78.35% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS's Return On Equity of -4075.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 81.44% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.01%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMLS underperforms 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.36%. This is significantly below the industry average of 7.63%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -25.32%
ROE -4075.01%
ROIC 0.01%
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
CMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1K -2K -3K -4K

1.3 Margins

  • CMLS has a worse Operating Margin (0.01%) than 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CMLS's Gross Margin of 60.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS outperforms 74.23% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMLS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.8%
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
CMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

2

2. CMLS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMLS is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMLS has more shares outstanding
  • CMLS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • CMLS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingCMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
CMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • CMLS has an Altman-Z score of 0.48. This is a bad value and indicates that CMLS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CMLS (0.48) is worse than 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 96.41 is on the high side and indicates that CMLS has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CMLS's Debt to Equity ratio of 96.41 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 81.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 96.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.48
ROIC/WACC0
WACC8.05%
CMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.85 indicates that CMLS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.85, CMLS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMLS has a Quick Ratio of 1.85. This is a normal value and indicates that CMLS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMLS's Quick ratio of 1.85 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS outperforms 63.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.85
Quick Ratio 1.85
CMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2

3. CMLS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CMLS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -65.57%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -2.07% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.77% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.18% on average over the next years.
  • CMLS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10 -10 20 30

0

4. CMLS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year CMLS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CMLS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.3
CMLS Per share dataCMLS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%

0

5. CMLS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CMLS!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CMLS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A

NASDAQ:CMLS (5/1/2025, 8:53:06 PM)

After market: 0.16 -0.03 (-15.34%)

0.189

-0.04 (-18.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)05-01
Earnings (Next)07-31
Inst Owners40.09%
Inst Owner Change-73.33%
Ins Owners10.97%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.30M
Revenue(TTM)827.08M
Net Income(TTM)-283.25M
Analysts45.71
Price Target11.22 (5836.51%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.38%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.75%
Max EPS beat(2)33.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-42.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-231.51%
Max EPS beat(4)37.11%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.47%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-17.82%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-20.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.47
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.3
EPS(TTM)-4.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.36
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.29
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.18
OCFYN/A
SpS47.42
BVpS0.4
TBVpS-33.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -25.32%
ROE -4075.01%
ROCE 0.01%
ROIC 0.01%
ROICexc 0.01%
ROICexgc 0.02%
OM 0.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.8%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
ROICexc(3y)2.54%
ROICexc(5y)2.34%
ROICexgc(3y)8%
ROICexgc(5y)7.4%
ROCE(3y)2.99%
ROCE(5y)2.71%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-88.54%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-74.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-88.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y-75.01%
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 96.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 11.32
Cap/Depr 32.92%
Cap/Sales 2.35%
Interest Coverage 0
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.85
Quick Ratio 1.85
Altman-Z 0.48
F-Score3
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC0
Cap/Depr(3y)43.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-99.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-89.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-77.64%
EBIT Next Year1480.77%
EBIT Next 3Y147.42%
EBIT Next 5Y86.44%
FCF growth 1Y-429.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-109.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A / CMLS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CMLS.


What is the valuation status for CMLS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of CMLS stock?

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?

The financial health rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is expected to grow by 3.11% in the next year.