CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CMLS • US2310828015

Current stock price

0.189 USD
-0.04 (-18.95%)
At close:
0.16 USD
-0.03 (-15.34%)
After Hours:

This CMLS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. CMLS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CMLS had negative earnings in the past year.
  • CMLS had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CMLS reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • CMLS had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -25.32%, CMLS is not doing good in the industry: 78.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • CMLS has a Return On Equity of -4075.01%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CMLS underperforms 81.44% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CMLS (0.01%) is worse than 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMLS is significantly below the industry average of 7.73%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -25.32%
ROE -4075.01%
ROIC 0.01%
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
CMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1K -2K -3K -4K

1.3 Margins

  • CMLS's Operating Margin of 0.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMLS has declined.
  • CMLS's Gross Margin of 60.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS outperforms 74.23% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.8%
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
CMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

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2

2. CMLS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMLS is destroying value.
  • CMLS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CMLS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMLS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingCMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
CMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.48, we must say that CMLS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CMLS (0.48) is worse than 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • CMLS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 96.41. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • CMLS's Debt to Equity ratio of 96.41 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 81.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 96.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.48
ROIC/WACC0
WACC8.05%
CMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CMLS has a Current Ratio of 1.85. This is a normal value and indicates that CMLS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMLS has a Current ratio of 1.85. This is in the better half of the industry: CMLS outperforms 63.92% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.85 indicates that CMLS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CMLS's Quick ratio of 1.85 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS outperforms 63.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.85
Quick Ratio 1.85
CMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. CMLS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CMLS have decreased strongly by -65.57% in the last year.
  • CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.07%.
  • CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.77% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMLS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.18% on average per year.
  • CMLS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10 -10 20 30

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0

4. CMLS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMLS is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.3
CMLS Per share dataCMLS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CMLS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CMLS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CMLS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A

NASDAQ:CMLS (5/1/2025, 8:53:06 PM)

After market: 0.16 -0.03 (-15.34%)

0.189

-0.04 (-18.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)05-01
Earnings (Next)07-31
Inst Owners40.09%
Inst Owner Change-73.33%
Ins Owners10.97%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.30M
Revenue(TTM)827.08M
Net Income(TTM)-283.25M
Analysts45.71
Price Target11.22 (5836.51%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.38%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.75%
Max EPS beat(2)33.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-42.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-231.51%
Max EPS beat(4)37.11%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.47%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-17.82%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-20.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.47
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.3
EPS(TTM)-4.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.36
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.29
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.18
OCFYN/A
SpS47.42
BVpS0.4
TBVpS-33.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -25.32%
ROE -4075.01%
ROCE 0.01%
ROIC 0.01%
ROICexc 0.01%
ROICexgc 0.02%
OM 0.01%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.8%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
ROICexc(3y)2.54%
ROICexc(5y)2.34%
ROICexgc(3y)8%
ROICexgc(5y)7.4%
ROCE(3y)2.99%
ROCE(5y)2.71%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-88.54%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-74.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-88.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y-75.01%
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 96.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 11.32
Cap/Depr 32.92%
Cap/Sales 2.35%
Interest Coverage 0
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.85
Quick Ratio 1.85
Altman-Z 0.48
F-Score3
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC0
Cap/Depr(3y)43.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-99.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-89.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-77.64%
EBIT Next Year1480.77%
EBIT Next 3Y147.42%
EBIT Next 5Y86.44%
FCF growth 1Y-429.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-109.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A / CMLS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CMLS.


What is the valuation status for CMLS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of CMLS stock?

CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?

The financial health rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is expected to grow by 3.11% in the next year.