CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:CMLS - US2310828015 - Common Stock
0.189 USD
-0.04 (-18.95%)
0.16 USD
-0.03 (-15.34%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to CMLS. CMLS was compared to 96 industry peers in the Media industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CMLS have multiple concerns. CMLS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CMLS had negative earnings in the past year.
CMLS had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CMLS reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years CMLS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CMLS has a worse Return On Assets (-25.32%) than 78.35% of its industry peers.
CMLS's Return On Equity of -4075.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 81.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CMLS (0.01%) is worse than 63.92% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMLS is significantly below the industry average of 8.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -25.32% | ||
| ROE | -4075.01% | ||
| ROIC | 0.01% |
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
1.3 Margins
CMLS's Operating Margin of 0.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 63.92% of its industry peers.
CMLS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CMLS has a Gross Margin of 60.80%. This is in the better half of the industry: CMLS outperforms 74.23% of its industry peers.
CMLS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 60.8% |
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMLS is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CMLS has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CMLS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CMLS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.48, we must say that CMLS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.48, CMLS is not doing good in the industry: 63.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 96.41 is on the high side and indicates that CMLS has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CMLS (96.41) is worse than 81.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 96.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.48 |
ROIC/WACC0
WACC8.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.85 indicates that CMLS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CMLS has a better Current ratio (1.85) than 63.92% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.85 indicates that CMLS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CMLS (1.85) is better than 63.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CMLS have decreased strongly by -65.57% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.07% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.77% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%
3.2 Future
CMLS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.18% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CMLS.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for CMLS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
0.189
-0.04 (-18.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners40.09%
Inst Owner Change-73.33%
Ins Owners10.97%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.30M
Revenue(TTM)827.08M
Net Income(TTM)-283.25M
Analysts45.71
Price Target11.22 (5836.51%)
Short Float %0.6%
Short Ratio0.15
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.38%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.75%
Max EPS beat(2)33.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-42.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-231.51%
Max EPS beat(4)37.11%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.47%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-17.82%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-20.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.91%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.47 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.3 |
EPS(TTM)-4.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.36
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.29
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.18
OCFYN/A
SpS47.42
BVpS0.4
TBVpS-33.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -25.32% | ||
| ROE | -4075.01% | ||
| ROCE | 0.01% | ||
| ROIC | 0.01% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.02% | ||
| OM | 0.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 60.8% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-10.83%
ROA(5y)-6.94%
ROE(3y)-1370.73%
ROE(5y)-824.61%
ROIC(3y)2.36%
ROIC(5y)2.14%
ROICexc(3y)2.54%
ROICexc(5y)2.34%
ROICexgc(3y)8%
ROICexgc(5y)7.4%
ROCE(3y)2.99%
ROCE(5y)2.71%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-88.54%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-74.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y-88.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y-75.01%
OM growth 3Y-89.25%
OM growth 5Y-76.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.04%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 96.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.32 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 32.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.48 |
F-Score3
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC0
Cap/Depr(3y)43.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-121.18%
EPS Next Y3.11%
EPS Next 2Y15.1%
EPS Next 3Y7.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.36%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.77%
Sales Q2Q%-6.35%
Revenue Next Year-8.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y0.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-99.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-89.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-77.64%
EBIT Next Year1480.77%
EBIT Next 3Y147.42%
EBIT Next 5Y86.44%
FCF growth 1Y-429.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-109.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A / CMLS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CMLS.
What is the valuation status of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A?
CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is expected to grow by 3.11% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CMLS stock?
The dividend rating of CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.