CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
535.71 USD
-3.04 (-0.56%)
At close:
534.72 USD
-0.99 (-0.18%)
After Hours:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CMI was profitable.
- In the past year CMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years CMI has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of CMI (8.36%) is better than 76.34% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.02%, CMI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.12%, CMI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.92% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMI is above the industry average of 10.16%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- CMI's Profit Margin of 8.44% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- CMI has a Operating Margin (11.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMI has grown nicely.
- CMI's Gross Margin of 25.29% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMI is outperformed by 64.12% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMI is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CMI has more shares outstanding
- CMI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CMI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.61 indicates that CMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMI has a better Altman-Z score (4.61) than 70.23% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI is 3.17, which is a good value as it means it would take CMI, 3.17 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI (3.17) is better than 67.94% of its industry peers.
- CMI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of CMI (0.60) is worse than 61.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.61 |
ROIC/WACC1.31
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMI has a Current Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of CMI (1.76) is worse than 62.60% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMI has a Quick ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMI outperforms 41.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CMI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.17%.
- CMI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.03% yearly.
- CMI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.27%.
- Measured over the past years, CMI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.19% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.27% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.81%
Revenue Next 3Y7.87%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.08, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CMI.
- CMI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- CMI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.26, the valuation of CMI can be described as rather expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CMI.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.84, CMI is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CMI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CMI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 31.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of CMI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 17.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)1.85
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.16, CMI pays a better dividend. On top of this CMI pays more dividend than 80.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, CMI is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CMI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.87%!
- CMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years20
5.3 Sustainability
- CMI pays out 37.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
535.71
-3.04 (-0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/bmo
Inst Owners87.15%
Inst Owner Change2.92%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.83%
Market Cap74.02B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts75.56
Price Target626.16 (16.88%)
Short Float %1.1%
Short Ratio1.56
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years20
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)10.63%
PT rev (3m)18.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.57%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.26 | ||
| P/S | 2.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 31.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.44 | ||
| P/B | 5.99 | ||
| P/tB | 9.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.43 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)26.44
Fwd EY4.94%
FCF(TTM)17.27
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)26.21
OCFY4.89%
SpS243.69
BVpS89.38
TBVpS57.6
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)1.85
Graham Number211.53
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.61 |
F-Score5
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC1.31
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.07%
Revenue Next 2Y7.81%
Revenue Next 3Y7.87%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.53%
EBIT Next 3Y20.49%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of CMI stock?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 24.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.99.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CMI stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.