CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:CMCL • JE00BF0XVB15

Current stock price

23.23 USD
+0.64 (+2.83%)
Last:

This CMCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. CMCL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CMCL was profitable.
  • CMCL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 14.19%, CMCL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of CMCL (23.16%) is better than 91.77% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a better Return On Invested Capital (19.09%) than 89.24% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMCL is significantly below the industry average of 61.56%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (19.09%) for CMCL is above the 3 year average (10.93%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.19%
ROE 23.16%
ROIC 19.09%
ROA(3y)5.38%
ROA(5y)6.5%
ROE(3y)8.62%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)10.93%
ROIC(5y)11.8%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CMCL's Profit Margin of 21.73% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 81.65% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • CMCL's Operating Margin of 43.59% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 89.87% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • CMCL has a better Gross Margin (53.96%) than 87.97% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMCL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.59%
PM (TTM) 21.73%
GM 53.96%
OM growth 3Y8.47%
OM growth 5Y0.2%
PM growth 3Y17.9%
PM growth 5Y-0.15%
GM growth 3Y5.46%
GM growth 5Y1.88%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

3

2. CMCL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMCL is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMCL has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for CMCL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMCL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • CMCL has an Altman-Z score of 3.25. This indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 3.25, CMCL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CMCL has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.11) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.25
ROIC/WACC1.48
WACC12.88%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • CMCL has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CMCL (1.65) is worse than 66.46% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMCL's Quick ratio of 1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL is outperformed by 63.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

8

3. CMCL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CMCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 121.73%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -24.93% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CMCL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 46.26%.
  • Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.26%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMCL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.67% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 22.01% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

7

4. CMCL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.09, which indicates a very decent valuation of CMCL.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.56, the valuation of CMCL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 93.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.61), we can say CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.09
Fwd PE 6.56
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CMCL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of CMCL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMCL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%

7

5. CMCL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.51%, CMCL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.21, CMCL pays a better dividend. On top of this CMCL pays more dividend than 85.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, CMCL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CMCL grows each year by 15.05%, which is quite nice.
  • CMCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As CMCL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • CMCL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M

CMCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (4/1/2026, 9:50:27 AM)

23.23

+0.64 (+2.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-23
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners55.81%
Inst Owner Change8.44%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap448.34M
Revenue(TTM)254.14M
Net Income(TTM)55.22M
Analysts82.5
Price Target42.74 (83.99%)
Short Float %7.41%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)32.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.95%
Max EPS beat(4)137.36%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.75%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.78%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)2.11%
PT rev (3m)22.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)20.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)38.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)7.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)20.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.09
Fwd PE 6.56
P/S 1.76
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.88
P/tB 1.88
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)2.87
EY12.35%
EPS(NY)3.54
Fwd EY15.24%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS13.17
BVpS12.35
TBVpS12.35
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.19%
ROE 23.16%
ROCE 33.03%
ROIC 19.09%
ROICexc 21.41%
ROICexgc 21.41%
OM 43.59%
PM (TTM) 21.73%
GM 53.96%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.38%
ROA(5y)6.5%
ROE(3y)8.62%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)10.93%
ROIC(5y)11.8%
ROICexc(3y)11.75%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)11.75%
ROICexgc(5y)12.63%
ROCE(3y)19.14%
ROCE(5y)20.48%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.06%
OM growth 3Y8.47%
OM growth 5Y0.2%
PM growth 3Y17.9%
PM growth 5Y-0.15%
GM growth 3Y5.46%
GM growth 5Y1.88%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 3.25
F-ScoreN/A
WACC12.88%
ROIC/WACC1.48
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.26%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y95.48%
EBIT growth 3Y33.94%
EBIT growth 5Y21.99%
EBIT Next Year39.93%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC / CMCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMCL.


What is the valuation status for CMCL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 8.09 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.88.


Is the dividend of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC sustainable?

The dividend rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.