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CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSEARCA:CMCL - NYSE Arca - JE00BF0XVB15 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

21.915  -1.84 (-7.73%)

Fundamental Rating

6

CMCL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CMCL belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CMCL. These ratings would make CMCL suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CMCL was profitable.
CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CMCL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

CMCL has a Return On Assets of 6.79%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMCL outperforms 81.17% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CMCL (11.21%) is better than 81.17% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 16.25%, CMCL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
CMCL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.13%. This is in line with the industry average of 11.60%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (16.25%) for CMCL is above the 3 year average (12.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.79%
ROE 11.21%
ROIC 16.25%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 12.95%, CMCL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.52% of the companies in the same industry.
CMCL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CMCL's Operating Margin of 35.52% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 90.26% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMCL has declined.
CMCL's Gross Margin of 47.44% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 87.01% of its industry peers.
CMCL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 35.52%
PM (TTM) 12.95%
GM 47.44%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMCL is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CMCL remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
CMCL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CMCL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.87 indicates that CMCL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CMCL has a Altman-Z score (2.87) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CMCL is 1.88, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CMCL, only 1.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CMCL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.88. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMCL outperforms 82.47% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 indicates that CMCL is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.12, CMCL is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 1.88
Altman-Z 2.87
ROIC/WACC1.65
WACC9.82%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

CMCL has a Current Ratio of 1.48. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMCL's Current ratio of 1.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL is outperformed by 72.08% of its industry peers.
CMCL has a Quick Ratio of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that CMCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMCL has a Quick ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMCL underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 0.96
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CMCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 978.83%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -24.93% on average per year.
CMCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 29.36%.
Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)978.83%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%70.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.36%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%38.61%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.24% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.97% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.13%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CMCL is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.81.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CMCL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CMCL is cheaper than 84.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CMCL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.69.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.47, CMCL is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued a bit cheaper than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.36), we can say CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.81
Fwd PE 14.47
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 89.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMCL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.03% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.58
EV/EBITDA 5.52
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CMCL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.70%, CMCL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.66, CMCL pays a better dividend. On top of this CMCL pays more dividend than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, CMCL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.7%

5.2 History

The dividend of CMCL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.05%!
CMCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As CMCL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

CMCL pays out 44.44% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CMCL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP44.44%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M 30M 40M
CMCL Dividend Payout.CMCL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CMCL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (7/24/2025, 11:57:49 AM)

21.915

-1.84 (-7.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-12 2025-05-12/dmh
Earnings (Next)08-07 2025-08-07
Inst Owners50.22%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners13.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap422.74M
Analysts82.5
Price Target21.2 (-3.26%)
Short Float %2.04%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.7%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP44.44%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date05-23 2025-05-23 (0.14)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)96.19%
Min EPS beat(2)55.02%
Max EPS beat(2)137.36%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.6%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)27.53%
PT rev (3m)49.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)40.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.81
Fwd PE 14.47
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 28.58
P/OCF 8.39
P/B 1.92
P/tB 1.92
EV/EBITDA 5.52
EPS(TTM)1.48
EY6.75%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY6.91%
FCF(TTM)0.77
FCFY3.5%
OCF(TTM)2.61
OCFY11.92%
SpS9.88
BVpS11.41
TBVpS11.41
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.79%
ROE 11.21%
ROCE 21.53%
ROIC 16.25%
ROICexc 16.69%
ROICexgc 16.69%
OM 35.52%
PM (TTM) 12.95%
GM 47.44%
FCFM 7.76%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.42%
ROICexc(5y)15.65%
ROICexgc(3y)12.42%
ROICexgc(5y)15.65%
ROCE(3y)16.21%
ROCE(5y)19.06%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.05%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 1.88
Debt/EBITDA 0.32
Cap/Depr 221.78%
Cap/Sales 18.69%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 60.19%
Profit Quality 59.92%
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 2.87
F-Score7
WACC9.82%
ROIC/WACC1.65
Cap/Depr(3y)280.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)382.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)26.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)978.83%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%70.37%
EPS Next Y15.13%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.36%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%38.61%
Revenue Next Year13.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y176.87%
EBIT growth 3Y9.64%
EBIT growth 5Y16.51%
EBIT Next Year131.68%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y302.87%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y59.62%
OCF growth 3Y10.73%
OCF growth 5Y18.36%