CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
13.3 USD
+0.18 (+1.37%)
12.8001 USD
-0.5 (-3.76%)
Overall CGAU gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CGAU against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CGAU a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CGAU scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings could make CGAU a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CGAU was profitable.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CGAU's Return On Assets of 12.59% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 91.56% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 17.46%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.31% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.83%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 83.12% of its industry peers.
CGAU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.71%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.20%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.71%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(10.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 26.35%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Operating Margin of 24.73% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 74.68% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has grown nicely.
CGAU's Gross Margin of 29.57% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 66.88% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
CGAU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 3.93. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CGAU has a Altman-Z score of 3.93. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CGAU outperforms 56.49% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.14. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.14 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CGAU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.14) than 94.81% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CGAU is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.93 |
ROIC/WACC1.22
WACC8.84%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.89 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CGAU's Current ratio of 2.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 2.10. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CGAU's Quick ratio of 2.10 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.57% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.32% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% in the past year.
CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.59% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y33.02%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y8.9%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.29, which indicates a correct valuation of CGAU.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 89.61% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.41), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.49, the valuation of CGAU can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.40), we can say CGAU is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
88.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CGAU's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)4.6
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.54%, CGAU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.60. CGAU pays more dividend than 81.17% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.54% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
CGAU pays out 12.28% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
13.3
+0.18 (+1.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.68B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target13.32 (0.15%)
Short Float %0.66%
Short Ratio0.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.54% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)15.88%
PT rev (3m)45.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)25.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | 1.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.86 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY6.54%
EPS(NY)1.4
Fwd EY10.54%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY4.85%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY12.61%
SpS6.37
BVpS9.61
TBVpS9.61
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)4.6
Graham Number13.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.93 |
F-Score5
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACC1.22
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y33.02%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y8.9%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year47.47%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
What is the valuation status for CGAU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 33.02% in the next year.
Is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.28%.