CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CGAU • CA1520061021

18.59 USD
-0.13 (-0.69%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 02:40 PM
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This CGAU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall CGAU gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated CGAU against 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CGAU has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. CGAU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth With these ratings, CGAU could be worth investigating further for value investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. CGAU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years CGAU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 19.74%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 28.35%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.25%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 11.48%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.19%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(8.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROIC 8.25%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
CGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 42.18%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 23.74%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has declined.
  • CGAU has a Gross Margin of 33.50%. This is in the better half of the industry: CGAU outperforms 68.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
CGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

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7

2. CGAU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is destroying value.
  • CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingCGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 4.22. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CGAU (4.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.20, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.20, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CGAU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CGAU (0.01) is better than 73.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 4.22
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.17%
CGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CGAU has a Current ratio (2.39) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.65, CGAU is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
CGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CGAU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CGAU shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 52.05%, which is quite impressive.
  • CGAU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -6.09% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 14.00% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.74% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y36.03%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
EPS Next 5Y0.74%
Revenue Next Year16.57%
Revenue Next 2Y18.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
CGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5

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7

4. CGAU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.75 indicates a correct valuation of CGAU.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 86.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.29), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
  • CGAU is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.31.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CGAU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.60.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.75
Fwd PE 12.31
CGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CGAU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 91.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CGAU is valued a bit cheaper than 75.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.09
EV/EBITDA 7.22
CGAU Per share dataCGAU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CGAU's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CGAU may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 16.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%

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5

5. CGAU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.02%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.06, CGAU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 1.02, CGAU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CGAU grows each year by 8.24%, which is quite nice.
  • CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CGAU Yearly Dividends per shareCGAU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

  • CGAU pays out 7.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP7.04%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
CGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CGAU Dividend Payout.CGAU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CGAU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CGAU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTERRA GOLD INC

NYSE:CGAU (3/9/2026, 2:40:05 PM)

18.59

-0.13 (-0.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.8%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.71B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)583.99M
Analysts76.67
Price Target22.84 (22.86%)
Short Float %1.03%
Short Ratio1.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
DP7.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.39%
Min EPS beat(2)10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.32%
Min EPS beat(4)10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)18.55%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-54.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.73%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.74%
PT rev (1m)7.97%
PT rev (3m)68.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)54.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)55.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.75
Fwd PE 12.31
P/S 2.68
P/FCF 39.09
P/OCF 10.65
P/B 1.8
P/tB 1.8
EV/EBITDA 7.22
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY5.97%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY8.12%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.56%
OCF(TTM)1.74
OCFY9.39%
SpS6.93
BVpS10.31
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROCE 13.08%
ROIC 8.25%
ROICexc 10.51%
ROICexgc 10.51%
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
FCFM 6.86%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)8.53%
ROICexgc(5y)7.49%
ROCE(3y)9.82%
ROCE(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.58%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 219.32%
Cap/Sales 18.32%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.47%
Profit Quality 16.27%
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 4.22
F-Score6
WACC10.17%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)135.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
EPS Next Y36.03%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
EPS Next 5Y0.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%
Revenue Next Year16.57%
Revenue Next 2Y18.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y44.42%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.72%
EBIT Next Year40.16%
EBIT Next 3Y16.23%
EBIT Next 5Y6.94%
FCF growth 1Y-31.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-30.91%
OCF growth 1Y16.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.81%

CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CGAU.


Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 16.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.


What is the expected EPS growth for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 36.03% in the next year.