CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CGAU • CA1520061021

Current stock price

17.77 USD
-1.05 (-5.58%)
Last:

This CGAU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CGAU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CGAU was profitable.
  • In the past year CGAU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • CGAU has a better Return On Assets (19.74%) than 96.32% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Return On Equity of 28.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 94.48% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CGAU (8.25%) is better than 68.10% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 58.77%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.19%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(8.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROIC 8.25%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
CGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CGAU (42.18%) is better than 95.09% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 23.74%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has declined.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 33.50%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
CGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

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7

2. CGAU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingCGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.24 indicates that CGAU is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.24) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.20. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CGAU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.20) than 92.02% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CGAU's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 71.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 4.24
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC12.07%
CGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CGAU has a Current ratio (2.39) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.65, CGAU is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
CGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. CGAU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CGAU shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 52.05%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -6.09% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 14.00% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.25% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 18.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y86%
EPS Next 2Y39.14%
EPS Next 3Y20.52%
EPS Next 5Y8.25%
Revenue Next Year24.68%
Revenue Next 2Y19.02%
Revenue Next 3Y18.79%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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8

4. CGAU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.01, the valuation of CGAU can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CGAU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • CGAU is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.61.
  • CGAU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 80.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.12), we can say CGAU is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.01
Fwd PE 8.61
CGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 87.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CGAU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 73.01% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 37.35
EV/EBITDA 7.26
CGAU Per share dataCGAU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CGAU's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CGAU may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 20.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.14%
EPS Next 3Y20.52%

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6

5. CGAU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.10%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • CGAU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.05.
  • CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.1%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.24%!
  • CGAU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
CGAU Yearly Dividends per shareCGAU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

  • CGAU pays out 7.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CGAU is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP7.04%
EPS Next 2Y39.14%
EPS Next 3Y20.52%
CGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CGAU Dividend Payout.CGAU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CGAU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CGAU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTERRA GOLD INC

NYSE:CGAU (4/28/2026, 11:09:42 AM)

17.77

-1.05 (-5.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners90.08%
Inst Owner Change-0.19%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.55B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)583.99M
Analysts76.67
Price Target23.82 (34.05%)
Short Float %3.06%
Short Ratio2.99
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.1%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
DP7.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.39%
Min EPS beat(2)10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.32%
Min EPS beat(4)10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)18.55%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-54.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.73%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.74%
PT rev (1m)4.3%
PT rev (3m)62.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)36.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.01
Fwd PE 8.61
P/S 2.56
P/FCF 37.35
P/OCF 10.18
P/B 1.72
P/tB 1.72
EV/EBITDA 7.26
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY6.25%
EPS(NY)2.06
Fwd EY11.62%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.68%
OCF(TTM)1.75
OCFY9.82%
SpS6.93
BVpS10.31
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.0495 (-9.68%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROCE 13.08%
ROIC 8.25%
ROICexc 10.51%
ROICexgc 10.51%
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
FCFM 6.86%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)8.53%
ROICexgc(5y)7.49%
ROCE(3y)9.82%
ROCE(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.58%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 219.32%
Cap/Sales 18.32%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.47%
Profit Quality 16.27%
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 4.24
F-Score6
WACC12.07%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)135.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
EPS Next Y86%
EPS Next 2Y39.14%
EPS Next 3Y20.52%
EPS Next 5Y8.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%
Revenue Next Year24.68%
Revenue Next 2Y19.02%
Revenue Next 3Y18.79%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y44.42%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.72%
EBIT Next Year56.67%
EBIT Next 3Y17.83%
EBIT Next 5Y12.25%
FCF growth 1Y-31.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-30.91%
OCF growth 1Y16.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.81%

CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CGAU.


Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CGAU stock?

CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CGAU stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 16.01 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.72.


How sustainable is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 7.04%.