CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
11.33 USD
+0.08 (+0.71%)
11.32 USD
-0.01 (-0.09%)
CGAU gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CGAU has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. CGAU has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. This makes CGAU very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CGAU had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years CGAU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.25%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 4.42%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.03% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Return On Invested Capital of 9.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 12.87%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.71%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(9.23%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.25% | ||
| ROE | 4.42% | ||
| ROIC | 9.23% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.20%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.72% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a better Operating Margin (19.61%) than 72.44% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CGAU has a better Gross Margin (28.91%) than 66.03% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.2% | ||
| GM | 28.91% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CGAU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 4.00. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CGAU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CGAU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 93.59% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4 |
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC8.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.46 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CGAU (3.46) is better than 67.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.59 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.59, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.59 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CGAU have decreased strongly by -15.12% in the last year.
CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.32% yearly.
CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.55%.
CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%8.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%2.14%
3.2 Future
CGAU is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -39.49% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.75% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.16%
EPS Next 2Y27.99%
EPS Next 3Y16.53%
EPS Next 5Y-39.49%
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y8.11%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.52, which indicates a correct valuation of CGAU.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 89.10% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.86. CGAU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
CGAU is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.47.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 87.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CGAU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CGAU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 93.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CGAU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 76.28% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of CGAU may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 16.53% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)4.67
EPS Next 2Y27.99%
EPS Next 3Y16.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.06%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.48, CGAU pays a better dividend. On top of this CGAU pays more dividend than 87.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, CGAU has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.06% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
CGAU pays out 56.24% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CGAU's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP56.24%
EPS Next 2Y27.99%
EPS Next 3Y16.53%
11.33
+0.08 (+0.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.29B
Analysts76.67
Price Target9.61 (-15.18%)
Short Float %1.87%
Short Ratio2.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.06% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP56.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)32.25%
Min EPS beat(2)20.78%
Max EPS beat(2)43.71%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)9.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.58%
Max EPS beat(4)43.71%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)14.05%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.56%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.25%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.63%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.47%
PT rev (1m)4.66%
PT rev (3m)6.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)64.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)38.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.43%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.71%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.47 | ||
| P/S | 1.89 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.18 | ||
| P/B | 1.35 | ||
| P/tB | 1.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.01 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY6.44%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY10.55%
FCF(TTM)0.34
FCFY3.01%
OCF(TTM)1.39
OCFY12.23%
SpS6
BVpS8.42
TBVpS8.42
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)4.67
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.25% | ||
| ROE | 4.42% | ||
| ROCE | 11.69% | ||
| ROIC | 9.23% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.42% | ||
| OM | 19.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.2% | ||
| GM | 28.91% | ||
| FCFM | 5.68% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.04 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 178.08% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.55% | ||
| Profit Quality | 91.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4 |
F-Score5
WACC8.6%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.12%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%8.7%
EPS Next Y24.16%
EPS Next 2Y27.99%
EPS Next 3Y16.53%
EPS Next 5Y-39.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%2.14%
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y8.11%
Revenue Next 5Y7.75%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.64%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year47.47%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y3.74%
FCF growth 1Y144.16%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y400.81%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%