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CANFOR PULP PRODUCTS INC (CFX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CFX - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1375842079 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

0.73  +0.03 (+4.29%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, CFX scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CFX was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CFX have multiple concerns. CFX is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CFX had negative earnings in the past year.
CFX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CFX always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years CFX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CFX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -35.19%, CFX is not doing good in the industry: 91.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CFX has a Return On Equity of -84.67%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CFX underperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CFX (4.00%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.19%
ROE -84.67%
ROIC 4%
ROA(3y)-20.14%
ROA(5y)-13.63%
ROE(3y)-46.33%
ROE(5y)-30.44%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

CFX's Operating Margin of 2.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CFX outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of CFX (23.57%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CFX has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 23.57%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.78%
GM growth 5Y-0.73%
CFX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CFX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CFX has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, CFX has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The debt/assets ratio for CFX is higher compared to a year ago.
CFX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CFX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that CFX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.05, CFX is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
CFX has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.17. This is a neutral value as CFX would need 4.17 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CFX's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.17 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CFX outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
CFX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.42, CFX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 4.17
Altman-Z 1.05
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC10.37%
CFX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.00 indicates that CFX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.00, CFX is not doing good in the industry: 91.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.26 indicates that CFX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CFX has a Quick ratio of 0.26. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CFX underperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.26
CFX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CFX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 100.00%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.60% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -6.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%325%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.6%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.31%
Revenue growth 5Y-6%
Sales Q2Q%-11.74%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.60% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
CFX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y309.77%
EPS Next 2Y102.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.63%
EPS Next 5Y47.6%
Revenue Next Year-13%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CFX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CFX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CFX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.68.
CFX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CFX is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.41. CFX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.68
CFX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

CFX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CFX is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CFX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.59
EV/EBITDA 0.66
CFX.CA Per share dataCFX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y102.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.63%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CFX!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CANFOR PULP PRODUCTS INC

TSX:CFX (6/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.73

+0.03 (+4.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23
Inst Owners19.91%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap47.62M
Analysts72.5
Price Target1.22 (67.12%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)62.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-13.76%
Max EPS beat(2)138.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)52.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.76%
Max EPS beat(4)138.33%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)36.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-65.45%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-78.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.48%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.2%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.14%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.06%
PT rev (1m)-7.69%
PT rev (3m)-14.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-57.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-57.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)288.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.68
P/S 0.06
P/FCF 2.59
P/OCF 0.72
P/B 0.26
P/tB 0.26
EV/EBITDA 0.66
EPS(TTM)0
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY37.36%
FCF(TTM)0.28
FCFY38.64%
OCF(TTM)1.01
OCFY139.02%
SpS11.84
BVpS2.78
TBVpS2.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.19%
ROE -84.67%
ROCE 7.37%
ROIC 4%
ROICexc 4.05%
ROICexgc 4.05%
OM 2.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 23.57%
FCFM 2.38%
ROA(3y)-20.14%
ROA(5y)-13.63%
ROE(3y)-46.33%
ROE(5y)-30.44%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.78%
GM growth 5Y-0.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.77
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 4.17
Debt/EBITDA 1.1
Cap/Depr 91.22%
Cap/Sales 6.19%
Interest Coverage 1.48
Cash Conversion 95.53%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.26
Altman-Z 1.05
F-Score5
WACC10.37%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)90.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%325%
EPS Next Y309.77%
EPS Next 2Y102.43%
EPS Next 3Y4.63%
EPS Next 5Y47.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.6%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.31%
Revenue growth 5Y-6%
Sales Q2Q%-11.74%
Revenue Next Year-13%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y114.4%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year140.96%
EBIT Next 3Y38.37%
EBIT Next 5Y25.98%
FCF growth 1Y210.84%
FCF growth 3Y-52.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-26.12%
OCF growth 3Y-26.8%
OCF growth 5Y-0.34%