CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:CFP • CA1375761048

Current stock price

12.5 CAD
-0.24 (-1.88%)
Last:

This CFP.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. CFP.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CFP has reported negative net income.
  • CFP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CFP reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • CFP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • CFP has a worse Return On Assets (-15.99%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CFP has a Return On Equity of -31.79%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFP underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.99%
ROE -31.79%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.11%
ROA(5y)0.02%
ROE(3y)-20.18%
ROE(5y)-0.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • CFP has a Gross Margin (16.89%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CFP has declined.
  • CFP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.89%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.89%
GM growth 5Y-13.42%
CFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

3

2. CFP.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CFP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CFP has less shares outstanding
  • CFP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • CFP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.68, we must say that CFP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CFP's Altman-Z score of 1.68 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CFP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that CFP is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • CFP has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.32) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.68
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.28%
CFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.45 indicates that CFP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CFP's Current ratio of 1.45 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CFP is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CFP has a Quick Ratio of 1.45. This is a bad value and indicates that CFP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CFP's Quick ratio of 0.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CFP is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.64
CFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

3

3. CFP.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.03% over the past year.
  • CFP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.64%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.43% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-269.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.42%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.26%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CFP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y58.41%
EPS Next 2Y48.02%
EPS Next 3Y30.77%
EPS Next 5Y22.91%
Revenue Next Year3.58%
Revenue Next 2Y5.12%
Revenue Next 3Y7.32%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
CFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 5 10

1

4. CFP.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CFP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CFP. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CFP.CA Per share dataCFP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CFP's earnings are expected to grow with 30.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y48.02%
EPS Next 3Y30.77%

0

5. CFP.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CFP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CFP.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CANFOR CORP

TSX:CFP (3/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

12.5

-0.24 (-1.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners10.91%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.46B
Revenue(TTM)5.34B
Net Income(TTM)-796.70M
Analysts74
Price Target15.81 (26.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-60.05%
Min EPS beat(2)-98.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-21.4%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-56.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-106.89%
Max EPS beat(4)2.81%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-42.72%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-34.07%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-31.75%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.4%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.46%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.97%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.19%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.99%
PT rev (1m)3.33%
PT rev (3m)5.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-110.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.27
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 20.94
P/B 0.58
P/tB 0.74
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.57
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.48
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.16
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY4.78%
SpS45.86
BVpS21.53
TBVpS16.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.99%
ROE -31.79%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.11%
ROA(5y)0.02%
ROE(3y)-20.18%
ROE(5y)-0.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.89%
GM growth 5Y-13.42%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 106.68%
Cap/Sales 8.2%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z 1.68
F-Score4
WACC6.28%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)123.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-269.7%
EPS Next Y58.41%
EPS Next 2Y48.02%
EPS Next 3Y30.77%
EPS Next 5Y22.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.42%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.43%
Sales Q2Q%-0.26%
Revenue Next Year3.58%
Revenue Next 2Y5.12%
Revenue Next 3Y7.32%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%
EBIT growth 1Y19.94%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year141.78%
EBIT Next 3Y47.29%
EBIT Next 5Y29.15%
FCF growth 1Y-4.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-60.1%
OCF growth 3Y-60.33%
OCF growth 5Y-42.16%

CANFOR CORP / CFP.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANFOR CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CFP.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CANFOR CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) stock?

CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CFP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) is expected to grow by 58.41% in the next year.