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CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CFP - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1375761048 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

13.71  -0.07 (-0.51%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, CFP scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CFP was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. CFP has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. CFP has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CFP had negative earnings in the past year.
CFP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years CFP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
CFP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -11.08%, CFP is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CFP has a Return On Equity of -19.09%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFP underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE -19.09%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)5.35%
ROE(3y)-3.36%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

1.3 Margins

CFP has a Gross Margin (18.52%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CFP has declined.
CFP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-26.66%
GM growth 5Y-4.86%
CFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CFP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, CFP has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CFP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CFP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

CFP has an Altman-Z score of 1.76. This is a bad value and indicates that CFP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
CFP has a Altman-Z score (1.76) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates that CFP is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.21, CFP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.76
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.93%
CFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

CFP has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that CFP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CFP has a Current ratio (1.77) which is in line with its industry peers.
CFP has a Quick Ratio of 1.77. This is a bad value and indicates that CFP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.80, CFP is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 0.8
CFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CFP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -84.16%.
Looking at the last year, CFP shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.51% in the last year.
CFP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.43% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.16%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.91%
Revenue growth 5Y2.43%
Sales Q2Q%2.52%

3.2 Future

CFP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.88% yearly.
CFP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.77% yearly.
EPS Next Y81.76%
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%
EPS Next 5Y23.88%
Revenue Next Year2.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.92%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
CFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CFP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.29 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CFP.
CFP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CFP is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CFP to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.30), we can say CFP is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 25.29
CFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CFP.CA Per share dataCFP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CFP's earnings are expected to grow with 34.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CFP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CANFOR CORP

TSX:CFP (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

13.71

-0.07 (-0.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23
Inst Owners11.83%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.61B
Analysts74
Price Target17.34 (26.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.88%
Min EPS beat(2)2.81%
Max EPS beat(2)22.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-37.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-140.33%
Max EPS beat(4)22.94%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.9%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-17.71%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.46%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.46%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.07%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.28%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.47%
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-12.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1825%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 25.29
P/S 0.3
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.73
P/B 0.48
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.72
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.54
Fwd EY3.95%
FCF(TTM)-3.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.57
OCFY11.45%
SpS44.97
BVpS28.31
TBVpS20.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE -19.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.52%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)5.35%
ROE(3y)-3.36%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-26.66%
GM growth 5Y-4.86%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 128.54%
Cap/Sales 10.32%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 1.76
F-Score4
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)139.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)117.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.16%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y81.76%
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%
EPS Next 5Y23.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.91%
Revenue growth 5Y2.43%
Sales Q2Q%2.52%
Revenue Next Year2.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.92%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%
EBIT growth 1Y-22.23%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year136.71%
EBIT Next 3Y40.96%
EBIT Next 5Y25.94%
FCF growth 1Y-783.13%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.32%
OCF growth 3Y-55.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.79%