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CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CFP - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1375761048 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

13.71  -0.07 (-0.51%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to CFP. CFP was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. CFP has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. CFP is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CFP has reported negative net income.
In the past year CFP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years CFP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
CFP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -11.08%, CFP is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CFP has a Return On Equity of -19.09%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFP underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE -19.09%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)5.35%
ROE(3y)-3.36%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.52%, CFP is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CFP has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CFP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-26.66%
GM growth 5Y-4.86%
CFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CFP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
CFP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CFP has less shares outstanding
CFP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

CFP has an Altman-Z score of 1.76. This is a bad value and indicates that CFP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of CFP (1.76) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates that CFP is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.21, CFP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.76
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.93%
CFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that CFP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CFP has a Current ratio of 1.77. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CFP outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that CFP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.80, CFP is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 0.8
CFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CFP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -84.16%.
Looking at the last year, CFP shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.51% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.43% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.16%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.91%
Revenue growth 5Y2.43%
Sales Q2Q%2.52%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.88% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
CFP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.77% yearly.
EPS Next Y81.76%
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%
EPS Next 5Y23.88%
Revenue Next Year2.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.92%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
CFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CFP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.29, CFP can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CFP is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.27. CFP is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 25.29
CFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CFP.CA Per share dataCFP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CFP's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CFP's earnings are expected to grow with 34.22% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CFP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CANFOR CORP

TSX:CFP (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

13.71

-0.07 (-0.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23
Inst Owners11.83%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.61B
Analysts74
Price Target17.34 (26.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.88%
Min EPS beat(2)2.81%
Max EPS beat(2)22.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-37.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-140.33%
Max EPS beat(4)22.94%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.9%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-17.71%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.46%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.46%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.07%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.28%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.47%
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-12.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1825%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 25.29
P/S 0.3
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.73
P/B 0.48
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3.72
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.54
Fwd EY3.95%
FCF(TTM)-3.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.57
OCFY11.45%
SpS44.97
BVpS28.31
TBVpS20.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE -19.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.52%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.88%
ROA(5y)5.35%
ROE(3y)-3.36%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-26.66%
GM growth 5Y-4.86%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 128.54%
Cap/Sales 10.32%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 1.76
F-Score4
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)139.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)117.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.16%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y81.76%
EPS Next 2Y46.33%
EPS Next 3Y34.22%
EPS Next 5Y23.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.91%
Revenue growth 5Y2.43%
Sales Q2Q%2.52%
Revenue Next Year2.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.92%
Revenue Next 5Y5.77%
EBIT growth 1Y-22.23%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year136.71%
EBIT Next 3Y40.96%
EBIT Next 5Y25.94%
FCF growth 1Y-783.13%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.32%
OCF growth 3Y-55.03%
OCF growth 5Y-2.79%