CONFLUENT INC-CLASS A (CFLT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:CFLT - Nasdaq - US20717M1036 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
CFLT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 281 industry peers in the Software industry. CFLT scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. CFLT shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CFLT was profitable.
CFLT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CFLT had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CFLT reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -12.80%, CFLT is doing worse than 63.48% of the companies in the same industry.
CFLT has a Return On Equity of -35.90%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFLT underperforms 62.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.8% | ||
| ROE | -35.9% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-16.7%
ROA(5y)-21.68%
ROE(3y)-49.78%
ROE(5y)-55.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Gross Margin value of 73.28%, CFLT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.83% of the companies in the same industry.
CFLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CFLT so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 73.28% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.29%
GM growth 5Y1.8%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CFLT does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
CFLT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CFLT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CFLT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
CFLT has an Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is not the best score and indicates that CFLT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CFLT has a Altman-Z score (1.93) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CFLT is 115.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take CFLT, 115.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CFLT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 115.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CFLT outperforms 43.97% of its industry peers.
CFLT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.14, CFLT is doing worse than 75.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 115.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.36%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.99 indicates that CFLT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.99, CFLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.79% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 3.99 indicates that CFLT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CFLT has a better Quick ratio (3.99) than 80.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 106.25% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 24.03% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 45.10% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.03%
Revenue growth 3Y35.44%
Revenue growth 5Y45.1%
Sales Q2Q%24.8%
3.2 Future
CFLT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.61% yearly.
CFLT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 18.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y21.06%
EPS Next 2Y29.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.52%
EPS Next 5Y34.61%
Revenue Next Year21.2%
Revenue Next 2Y20.89%
Revenue Next 3Y20.89%
Revenue Next 5Y18.92%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 60.06, CFLT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CFLT.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.22. CFLT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
CFLT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.28.
CFLT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.86, CFLT is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 60.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CFLT.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 710 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CFLT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CFLT's earnings are expected to grow with 35.52% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for CFLT!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
19.82
+0.38 (+1.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.65%
Inst Owner Change-0.9%
Ins Owners3.58%
Ins Owner Change13.7%
Market Cap6.74B
Analysts79
Price Target36.11 (82.19%)
Short Float %6.56%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)72.76%
Min EPS beat(2)54.07%
Max EPS beat(2)91.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)81.14%
Min EPS beat(4)26.5%
Max EPS beat(4)152.55%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)142.85%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)102.99%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.2%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.4%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.48%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.19%
PT rev (3m)7.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.69%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 60.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.28 | ||
| P/S | 6.99 | ||
| P/FCF | 710 | ||
| P/OCF | 201.35 | ||
| P/B | 7.01 | ||
| P/tB | 8.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY1.66%
EPS(NY)0.5
Fwd EY2.55%
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY0.14%
OCF(TTM)0.1
OCFY0.5%
SpS2.83
BVpS2.83
TBVpS2.32
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.8% | ||
| ROE | -35.9% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 73.28% | ||
| FCFM | 0.98% |
ROA(3y)-16.7%
ROA(5y)-21.68%
ROE(3y)-49.78%
ROE(5y)-55.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.29%
GM growth 5Y1.8%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 115.1 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 108.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
F-Score6
WACC10.36%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)106.25%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%60%
EPS Next Y21.06%
EPS Next 2Y29.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.52%
EPS Next 5Y34.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.03%
Revenue growth 3Y35.44%
Revenue growth 5Y45.1%
Sales Q2Q%24.8%
Revenue Next Year21.2%
Revenue Next 2Y20.89%
Revenue Next 3Y20.89%
Revenue Next 5Y18.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year394.3%
EBIT Next 3Y109.95%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y107.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y132.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A