CONFLUENT INC-CLASS A (CFLT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:CFLT - US20717M1036 - Common Stock
19.45 USD
-0.56 (-2.8%)
19.42 USD
-0.03 (-0.15%)
CFLT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 280 industry peers in the Software industry. The financial health of CFLT is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CFLT is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CFLT had positive earnings in the past year.
CFLT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CFLT had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CFLT reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of CFLT (-11.06%) is worse than 63.93% of its industry peers.
CFLT has a Return On Equity of -29.31%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFLT underperforms 61.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.06% | ||
| ROE | -29.31% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-16.7%
ROA(5y)-21.68%
ROE(3y)-49.78%
ROE(5y)-55.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 74.22%, CFLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.93% of the companies in the same industry.
CFLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CFLT so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 74.22% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.29%
GM growth 5Y1.8%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CFLT does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, CFLT has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CFLT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CFLT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
CFLT has an Altman-Z score of 1.92. This is not the best score and indicates that CFLT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CFLT has a Altman-Z score of 1.92. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CFLT outperforms 46.07% of its industry peers.
CFLT has a debt to FCF ratio of 66.29. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CFLT would need 66.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CFLT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 66.29. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CFLT outperforms 47.50% of its industry peers.
CFLT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CFLT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.03. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFLT underperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 66.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.95%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.98 indicates that CFLT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CFLT (3.98) is better than 82.86% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.98 indicates that CFLT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CFLT (3.98) is better than 82.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.98 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 63.64% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, CFLT shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 23.01%.
Measured over the past years, CFLT shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 45.10% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)63.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)23.01%
Revenue growth 3Y35.44%
Revenue growth 5Y45.1%
Sales Q2Q%20.13%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.71% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CFLT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.57%
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y30.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.71%
Revenue Next Year19.97%
Revenue Next 2Y18.19%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17.07%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 54.03 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CFLT.
CFLT's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
CFLT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.43, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.98, the valuation of CFLT can be described as expensive.
CFLT's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.87, CFLT is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CFLT is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 406.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
CFLT's earnings are expected to grow with 30.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y30.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CFLT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
19.45
-0.56 (-2.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.66%
Inst Owner Change-3.23%
Ins Owners3.65%
Ins Owner Change14.3%
Market Cap6.71B
Analysts77.95
Price Target25.91 (33.21%)
Short Float %7.3%
Short Ratio2.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.16%
Min EPS beat(2)5.94%
Max EPS beat(2)16.38%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)41.96%
Min EPS beat(4)5.94%
Max EPS beat(4)91.45%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)128.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)102.21%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)81.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.52%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.52%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.33%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.81%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.23%
PT rev (1m)-1.87%
PT rev (3m)-15.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.98 | ||
| P/S | 6.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 406.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 160.33 | ||
| P/B | 6.3 | ||
| P/tB | 7.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY1.85%
EPS(NY)0.47
Fwd EY2.44%
FCF(TTM)0.05
FCFY0.25%
OCF(TTM)0.12
OCFY0.62%
SpS3.09
BVpS3.09
TBVpS2.59
PEG (NY)2.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -11.06% | ||
| ROE | -29.31% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 74.22% | ||
| FCFM | 1.55% |
ROA(3y)-16.7%
ROA(5y)-21.68%
ROE(3y)-49.78%
ROE(5y)-55.06%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.29%
GM growth 5Y1.8%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 66.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.23% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.38% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.98 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
F-Score6
WACC10.95%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)63.64%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y23.57%
EPS Next 2Y25.78%
EPS Next 3Y30.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)23.01%
Revenue growth 3Y35.44%
Revenue growth 5Y45.1%
Sales Q2Q%20.13%
Revenue Next Year19.97%
Revenue Next 2Y18.19%
Revenue Next 3Y17.78%
Revenue Next 5Y17.07%
EBIT growth 1Y3.57%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year376.67%
EBIT Next 3Y129.35%
EBIT Next 5Y86.45%
FCF growth 1Y108.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y123.81%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A