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CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX Venture Exchange - TSX-V:CERT - CA1567881018 - Common Stock

1.68 CAD
+0.02 (+1.2%)
Last: 1/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CERT scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CERT was compared to 812 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CERT has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. CERT has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CERT was profitable.
CERT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years CERT 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M 30M

1.2 Ratios

CERT has a Return On Assets of 4.81%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CERT outperforms 89.78% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CERT (29.74%) is better than 96.67% of its industry peers.
CERT's Return On Invested Capital of 1.11% is amongst the best of the industry. CERT outperforms 88.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 29.74%
ROIC 1.11%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30 -40

1.3 Margins

CERT has a Profit Margin of 12.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CERT outperforms 92.61% of its industry peers.
CERT has a Operating Margin of 1.89%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CERT outperforms 88.42% of its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of CERT (11.04%) is better than 86.33% of its industry peers.
CERT's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.89%
PM (TTM) 12.11%
GM 11.04%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
CERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CERT is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for CERT. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
CERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
CERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.58, we must say that CERT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CERT has a Altman-Z score (0.58) which is in line with its industry peers.
CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.29, CERT is not doing good in the industry: 68.84% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.58
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.27%
CERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

CERT has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CERT has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 63.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CERT has a Quick ratio of 0.76. This is in the lower half of the industry: CERT underperforms 62.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.76
CERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 223.71% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, CERT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.85% in the last year.
CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)223.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-718.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.85%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.83%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 51.19% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CERT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-57.14%
EPS Next 2Y51.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year20.65%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
CERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.33, the valuation of CERT can be described as very reasonable.
96.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.87, CERT is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.74, CERT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 86.58% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CERT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.33
Fwd PE 60.74
CERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 96.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.74
CERT.CA Per share dataCERT.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CERT may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 51.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y51.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CERRADO GOLD INC

TSX-V:CERT (1/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

1.68

+0.02 (+1.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-20 2025-11-20
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners2.25%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.32%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap227.42M
Revenue(TTM)123.79M
Net Income(TTM)15.00M
Analysts80
Price Target2.3 (36.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.14%
PT rev (3m)40.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)-266.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.33
Fwd PE 60.74
P/S 1.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.6
P/B 3.29
P/tB 3.29
EV/EBITDA 6.74
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY10.71%
EPS(NY)0.03
Fwd EY1.65%
FCF(TTM)-0.02
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.2
OCFY11.63%
SpS1.25
BVpS0.51
TBVpS0.51
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number1.44
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 29.74%
ROCE 1.65%
ROIC 1.11%
ROICexc 1.25%
ROICexgc 1.25%
OM 1.89%
PM (TTM) 12.11%
GM 11.04%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.58
Cap/Depr 94.32%
Cap/Sales 17.16%
Interest Coverage 0.91
Cash Conversion 77.64%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 0.58
F-Score7
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)315.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)30.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)223.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-718.37%
EPS Next Y-57.14%
EPS Next 2Y51.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.85%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.83%
Revenue Next Year20.65%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%
EBIT growth 1Y839.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year1626.03%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y81.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-58.92%
OCF growth 3Y17.43%
OCF growth 5YN/A

CERRADO GOLD INC / CERT.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CERT.CA.


What is the valuation status of CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CERRADO GOLD INC?

CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) is 9.33 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.29.


Can you provide the financial health for CERT stock?

The financial health rating of CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) is 1 / 10.