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CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX-V:CERT - CA1567881018 - Common Stock

1.56 CAD
+0.04 (+2.63%)
Last: 10/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CERT. CERT was compared to 818 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CERT while its profitability can be described as average. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CERT.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CERT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CERT had a positive cash flow from operations.
CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years CERT 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M 30M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.19%, CERT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.79% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 45.18%, CERT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.19%
ROE 45.18%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30 -40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CERT (24.04%) is better than 95.60% of its industry peers.
CERT has a better Gross Margin (8.45%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
CERT's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 24.04%
GM 8.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
CERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CERT does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
CERT has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
CERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

CERT has an Altman-Z score of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
CERT has a Altman-Z score (0.67) which is in line with its industry peers.
CERT has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.63. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CERT would need 7.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CERT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (7.63) than 90.34% of its industry peers.
CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CERT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.24 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 68.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 7.63
Altman-Z 0.67
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.53%
CERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

CERT has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CERT's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 64.06% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CERT's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 63.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
CERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 290.28% over the past year.
CERT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.90%.
CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)290.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%116.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.84%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 55.84% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CERT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y57.14%
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year26.55%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
CERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 4.73 indicates a rather cheap valuation of CERT.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 98.04% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.70. CERT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.93, CERT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 87.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CERT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.73
Fwd PE 36.93
CERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

96.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
92.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 43.97
EV/EBITDA 7.72
CERT.CA Per share dataCERT.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 55.84% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CERRADO GOLD INC

TSX-V:CERT (10/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.56

+0.04 (+2.63%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)06-11 2025-06-11
Earnings (Next)11-26 2025-11-26
Inst Owners2.28%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap209.06M
Analysts80
Price Target1.63 (4.49%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-400%
EPS NY rev (3m)-400%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.73
Fwd PE 36.93
P/S 1.26
P/FCF 43.97
P/OCF 12.82
P/B 2.36
P/tB 2.36
EV/EBITDA 7.72
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY21.15%
EPS(NY)0.04
Fwd EY2.71%
FCF(TTM)0.04
FCFY2.27%
OCF(TTM)0.12
OCFY7.8%
SpS1.24
BVpS0.66
TBVpS0.66
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.19%
ROE 45.18%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 24.04%
GM 8.45%
FCFM 2.85%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 7.63
Debt/EBITDA 0.72
Cap/Depr 38.5%
Cap/Sales 6.94%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 56.12%
Profit Quality 11.88%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 0.67
F-Score6
WACC8.53%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)315.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)30.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)290.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%116.86%
EPS Next Y57.14%
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.84%
Revenue Next Year26.55%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%
EBIT growth 1Y89.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year1626.03%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y137.7%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-67.64%
OCF growth 3Y17.43%
OCF growth 5YN/A