CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX-V:CERT • CA1567881018

Current stock price

1.66 CAD
0 (0%)
Last:

This CERT.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CERT.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CERT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CERT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years CERT 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M 30M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.81%, CERT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CERT has a better Return On Equity (29.74%) than 96.62% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CERT (1.11%) is better than 88.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 29.74%
ROIC 1.11%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CERT has a Profit Margin of 12.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CERT outperforms 91.60% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.89%, CERT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 11.04%, CERT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.89%
PM (TTM) 12.11%
GM 11.04%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
CERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

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1

2. CERT.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CERT is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for CERT. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
CERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
CERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

  • CERT has an Altman-Z score of 0.57. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CERT's Altman-Z score of 0.57 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 40.60% of its industry peers.
  • CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.29, CERT is doing worse than 69.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.57
ROIC/WACC0.09
WACC12.03%
CERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.81, CERT is not doing good in the industry: 66.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CERT has a worse Quick ratio (0.76) than 65.04% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.76
CERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. CERT.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 223.71% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, CERT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.85% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 18.37% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)223.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-718.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.85%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.83%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 48.76% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.11% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y64.29%
EPS Next 2Y81.27%
EPS Next 3Y37%
EPS Next 5Y48.76%
Revenue Next Year21.12%
Revenue Next 2Y23.81%
Revenue Next 3Y17.01%
Revenue Next 5Y19.11%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 100M 200M 300M
CERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

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7

4. CERT.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.22 indicates a reasonable valuation of CERT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaper than 96.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say CERT is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.18, the valuation of CERT can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaper than 91.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. CERT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.22
Fwd PE 13.18
CERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CERT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.6
CERT.CA Per share dataCERT.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CERT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CERT may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 37.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y81.27%
EPS Next 3Y37%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CERT.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

CERT.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CERRADO GOLD INC

TSX-V:CERT (4/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

1.66

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-20
Earnings (Next)04-20
Inst Owners1.53%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.31%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap225.44M
Revenue(TTM)123.79M
Net Income(TTM)15.00M
Analysts80
Price Target2.96 (78.31%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)28.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)77.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.22
Fwd PE 13.18
P/S 1.31
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.42
P/B 3.23
P/tB 3.23
EV/EBITDA 6.6
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY10.84%
EPS(NY)0.13
Fwd EY7.59%
FCF(TTM)-0.02
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.2
OCFY11.87%
SpS1.26
BVpS0.51
TBVpS0.51
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number1.44
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 29.74%
ROCE 1.65%
ROIC 1.11%
ROICexc 1.25%
ROICexgc 1.25%
OM 1.89%
PM (TTM) 12.11%
GM 11.04%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.58
Cap/Depr 94.32%
Cap/Sales 17.16%
Interest Coverage 0.91
Cash Conversion 77.64%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 0.57
F-Score7
WACC12.03%
ROIC/WACC0.09
Cap/Depr(3y)315.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)30.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)223.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-718.37%
EPS Next Y64.29%
EPS Next 2Y81.27%
EPS Next 3Y37%
EPS Next 5Y48.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.85%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.83%
Revenue Next Year21.12%
Revenue Next 2Y23.81%
Revenue Next 3Y17.01%
Revenue Next 5Y19.11%
EBIT growth 1Y839.43%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year516.44%
EBIT Next 3Y105.12%
EBIT Next 5Y85.42%
FCF growth 1Y81.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-58.92%
OCF growth 3Y17.43%
OCF growth 5YN/A

CERRADO GOLD INC / CERT.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CERT.CA.


What is the valuation status of CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CERT stock?

CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of CERRADO GOLD INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) is 9.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.23.