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CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX-V:CERT - CA1567881018 - Common Stock

1.48 CAD
+0.02 (+1.37%)
Last: 10/31/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

CERT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 805 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CERT is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CERT scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CERT had positive earnings in the past year.
CERT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years CERT 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M -20M 30M

1.2 Ratios

CERT has a better Return On Assets (10.19%) than 92.80% of its industry peers.
CERT has a Return On Equity of 45.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CERT outperforms 98.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.19%
ROE 45.18%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30 -40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CERT (24.04%) is better than 95.53% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 8.45%, CERT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.09% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 24.04%
GM 8.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
CERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CERT does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
There is no outstanding debt for CERT. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
CERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M
CERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.65, we must say that CERT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CERT has a Altman-Z score (0.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CERT is 7.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take CERT, 7.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CERT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (7.63) than 90.19% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24 indicates that CERT is not too dependend on debt financing.
CERT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.24 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 69.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 7.63
Altman-Z 0.65
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.21%
CERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, CERT is doing worse than 64.60% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that CERT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CERT's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 63.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
CERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CERT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 290.28%, which is quite impressive.
CERT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.90%.
CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)290.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%116.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.84%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 55.84% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CERT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y57.14%
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year26.55%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
CERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 4.48, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of CERT.
98.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.10, CERT is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 34.87, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CERT.
87.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
CERT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.52, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.48
Fwd PE 34.87
CERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CERT is valued cheaper than 96.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CERT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41.52
EV/EBITDA 7.23
CERT.CA Per share dataCERT.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 55.84% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CERT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CERRADO GOLD INC

TSX-V:CERT (10/31/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.48

+0.02 (+1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)06-11 2025-06-11
Earnings (Next)11-20 2025-11-20
Inst Owners2.28%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap198.33M
Revenue(TTM)119.45M
Net Income(TTM)28.71M
Analysts80
Price Target1.63 (10.14%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-400%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.48
Fwd PE 34.87
P/S 1.19
P/FCF 41.52
P/OCF 12.1
P/B 2.23
P/tB 2.23
EV/EBITDA 7.23
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY22.3%
EPS(NY)0.04
Fwd EY2.87%
FCF(TTM)0.04
FCFY2.41%
OCF(TTM)0.12
OCFY8.26%
SpS1.25
BVpS0.66
TBVpS0.66
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number2.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.19%
ROE 45.18%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 24.04%
GM 8.45%
FCFM 2.85%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-23.93%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 7.63
Debt/EBITDA 0.72
Cap/Depr 38.5%
Cap/Sales 6.94%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 56.12%
Profit Quality 11.88%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 0.65
F-Score6
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)315.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)30.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)290.28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%116.86%
EPS Next Y57.14%
EPS Next 2Y55.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y18.37%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-14.84%
Revenue Next Year26.55%
Revenue Next 2Y21.31%
Revenue Next 3Y14.61%
Revenue Next 5Y14.43%
EBIT growth 1Y89.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year1626.03%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y137.7%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-67.64%
OCF growth 3Y17.43%
OCF growth 5YN/A

CERRADO GOLD INC / CERT.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CERT.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CERRADO GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CERRADO GOLD INC?

CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERRADO GOLD INC (CERT.CA) is 4.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.23.