CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CENXUS1564311082

Current stock price

60.265 USD
-1.06 (-1.74%)
Last:

This CENX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. CENX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CENX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CENX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years CENX reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In multiple years CENX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
CENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.75%, CENX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 4.93%, CENX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.12%, CENX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CENX is significantly below the industry average of 58.80%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.79%) for CENX is below the current ROIC(7.12%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.75%
ROE 4.93%
ROIC 7.12%
ROA(3y)4.82%
ROA(5y)0.57%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-0.89%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)4.08%
CENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.57%, CENX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a Operating Margin of 6.25%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CENX outperforms 57.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CENX has grown nicely.
  • CENX has a Gross Margin (10.14%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CENX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.25%
PM (TTM) 1.57%
GM 10.14%
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
CENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10

3

2. CENX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CENX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • CENX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CENX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • CENX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CENX Yearly Shares OutstandingCENX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
CENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.10 indicates that CENX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.10, CENX is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CENX would need 6.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CENX's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 67.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 indicates that CENX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.60, CENX is doing worse than 76.69% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 6.8
Altman-Z 3.1
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC12.98%
CENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that CENX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CENX has a Current ratio (1.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that CENX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.98, CENX is doing worse than 73.01% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
CENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

8

3. CENX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 124.55% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 117.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • CENX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 13.85%.
  • CENX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.51% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%

3.2 Future

  • CENX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 67.79% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y226.23%
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year17.69%
Revenue Next 2Y16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y11.21%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
CENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6 8 10

6

4. CENX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.40 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CENX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than 73.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.95. CENX is around the same levels.
  • CENX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.48.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CENX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CENX to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.68), we can say CENX is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.4
Fwd PE 7.48
CENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CENX.
  • CENX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CENX is cheaper than 67.48% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 70.34
EV/EBITDA 26.03
CENX Per share dataCENX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CENX's earnings are expected to grow with 67.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%

0

5. CENX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CENX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CENX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

NASDAQ:CENX (4/21/2026, 12:27:09 PM)

60.265

-1.06 (-1.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners67.08%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change-36.04%
Market Cap5.96B
Revenue(TTM)2.53B
Net Income(TTM)39.70M
Analysts81.82
Price Target69.43 (15.21%)
Short Float %11.07%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-19.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.25%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.41%
Max EPS beat(4)-5.25%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.82%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.87%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.03%
PT rev (1m)9.67%
PT rev (3m)71.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)26.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)43.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)8.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.9%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.4
Fwd PE 7.48
P/S 2.36
P/FCF 70.34
P/OCF 32.24
P/B 7.4
P/tB 7.4
EV/EBITDA 26.03
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY4.1%
EPS(NY)8.06
Fwd EY13.37%
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY1.42%
OCF(TTM)1.87
OCFY3.1%
SpS25.54
BVpS8.14
TBVpS8.14
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number21.269 (-64.71%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.75%
ROE 4.93%
ROCE 9.06%
ROIC 7.12%
ROICexc 7.71%
ROICexgc 7.71%
OM 6.25%
PM (TTM) 1.57%
GM 10.14%
FCFM 3.35%
ROA(3y)4.82%
ROA(5y)0.57%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-0.89%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)4.08%
ROICexc(3y)5.08%
ROICexc(5y)4.3%
ROICexgc(3y)5.08%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)6.09%
ROCE(5y)5.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y120.83%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y120.83%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 6.8
Debt/EBITDA 1.95
Cap/Depr 109.15%
Cap/Sales 3.96%
Interest Coverage 4.32
Cash Conversion 74.03%
Profit Quality 213.6%
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 3.1
F-Score7
WACC12.98%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)110.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.78%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
EPS Next Y226.23%
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%
Revenue Next Year17.69%
Revenue Next 2Y16.12%
Revenue Next 3Y11.21%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y30.34%
EBIT growth 3Y158.06%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year275.87%
EBIT Next 3Y53.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y179.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y23.51%
OCF growth 1Y852.03%
OCF growth 3Y92.59%
OCF growth 5Y33.95%

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY / CENX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CENX.


What is the valuation status for CENX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY?

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) stock?

The financial health rating of CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) is 3 / 10.