CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CENXUS1564311082

Current stock price

49.65 USD
+1.25 (+2.58%)
At close:
49.66 USD
+0.01 (+0.02%)
After Hours:

This CENX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. CENX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CENX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CENX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years CENX reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: CENX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
CENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.75%, CENX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of CENX (4.93%) is better than 64.78% of its industry peers.
  • CENX has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.12%. This is in the better half of the industry: CENX outperforms 66.04% of its industry peers.
  • CENX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.79%. This is significantly below the industry average of 60.43%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.12%) for CENX is above the 3 year average (4.79%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.75%
ROE 4.93%
ROIC 7.12%
ROA(3y)4.82%
ROA(5y)0.57%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-0.89%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)4.08%
CENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • CENX has a better Profit Margin (1.57%) than 61.01% of its industry peers.
  • CENX has a Operating Margin (6.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CENX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CENX's Gross Margin of 10.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 41.51% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CENX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.25%
PM (TTM) 1.57%
GM 10.14%
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
CENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10

3

2. CENX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CENX is destroying value.
  • CENX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CENX has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for CENX is higher compared to a year ago.
CENX Yearly Shares OutstandingCENX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
CENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that CENX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CENX has a Altman-Z score (2.57) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CENX has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CENX would need 6.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CENX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (6.80) than 66.04% of its industry peers.
  • CENX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating CENX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CENX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.60 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CENX is outperformed by 74.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 6.8
Altman-Z 2.57
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC12.42%
CENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that CENX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.97, CENX is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a Quick Ratio of 1.97. This is a bad value and indicates that CENX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CENX has a worse Quick ratio (0.98) than 69.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
CENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

8

3. CENX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CENX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 124.55%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, CENX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 117.52% on average per year.
  • CENX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 13.85%.
  • CENX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.51% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 67.79% on average per year.
  • CENX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y226.23%
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.64%
Revenue Next 2Y10.74%
Revenue Next 3Y9.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
CENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6 8 10

6

4. CENX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CENX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.10.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than 77.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.16, the valuation of CENX can be described as very cheap.
  • CENX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CENX is cheaper than 93.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.1
Fwd PE 6.16
CENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CENX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than 68.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.95
EV/EBITDA 20.91
CENX Per share dataCENX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CENX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CENX's earnings are expected to grow with 67.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.09
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%

0

5. CENX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CENX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CENX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

NASDAQ:CENX (3/27/2026, 8:05:43 PM)

After market: 49.66 +0.01 (+0.02%)

49.65

+1.25 (+2.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners67.59%
Inst Owner Change21.89%
Ins Owners0.83%
Ins Owner Change-36.01%
Market Cap4.91B
Revenue(TTM)2.53B
Net Income(TTM)39.70M
Analysts81.82
Price Target63.31 (27.51%)
Short Float %14.32%
Short Ratio3.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-19.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.25%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.41%
Max EPS beat(4)-5.25%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.82%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.87%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.03%
PT rev (1m)22.02%
PT rev (3m)65.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)66.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)88.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.1
Fwd PE 6.16
P/S 1.94
P/FCF 57.95
P/OCF 26.56
P/B 6.1
P/tB 6.1
EV/EBITDA 20.91
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY4.97%
EPS(NY)8.06
Fwd EY16.23%
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY1.73%
OCF(TTM)1.87
OCFY3.76%
SpS25.54
BVpS8.14
TBVpS8.14
PEG (NY)0.09
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number21.27
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.75%
ROE 4.93%
ROCE 9.06%
ROIC 7.12%
ROICexc 7.71%
ROICexgc 7.71%
OM 6.25%
PM (TTM) 1.57%
GM 10.14%
FCFM 3.35%
ROA(3y)4.82%
ROA(5y)0.57%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-0.89%
ROIC(3y)4.79%
ROIC(5y)4.08%
ROICexc(3y)5.08%
ROICexc(5y)4.3%
ROICexgc(3y)5.08%
ROICexgc(5y)4.3%
ROCE(3y)6.09%
ROCE(5y)5.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y120.83%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y120.83%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 6.8
Debt/EBITDA 1.95
Cap/Depr 109.15%
Cap/Sales 3.96%
Interest Coverage 4.32
Cash Conversion 74.03%
Profit Quality 213.6%
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 2.57
F-Score7
WACC12.42%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)110.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.78%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
EPS Next Y226.23%
EPS Next 2Y81.04%
EPS Next 3Y67.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%
Revenue Next Year8.64%
Revenue Next 2Y10.74%
Revenue Next 3Y9.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y30.34%
EBIT growth 3Y158.06%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year275.87%
EBIT Next 3Y53.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y179.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y23.51%
OCF growth 1Y852.03%
OCF growth 3Y92.59%
OCF growth 5Y33.95%

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY / CENX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CENX.


What is the valuation status for CENX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CENX stock?

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CENX stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) is 20.1 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.1.