CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS (CEA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CEA • US16937R1041

Current stock price

20.09 USD
+0.5 (+2.55%)
Last:

This CEA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

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1. CEA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CEA has reported negative net income.
  • CEA had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
CEA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCEA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10B -10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for CEA are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CEA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCEA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • CEA does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
CEA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCEA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 -20

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2. CEA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CEA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • CEA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • CEA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CEA Yearly Shares OutstandingCEA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M
CEA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCEA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.50, we must say that CEA is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CEA has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.50) than 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.97 is on the high side and indicates that CEA has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.97, CEA is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.5
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.3%
CEA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCEA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CEA has a Current Ratio of 0.31. This is a bad value and indicates that CEA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.31, CEA is doing worse than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CEA has a Quick Ratio of 0.31. This is a bad value and indicates that CEA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CEA (0.30) is worse than 82.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.31
Quick Ratio 0.3
CEA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCEA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20B 40B 60B 80B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CEA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CEA have decreased strongly by -142.91% in the last year.
  • CEA shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -26.68%.
  • Measured over the past years, CEA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -7.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-142.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-176.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.39%
Sales Q2Q%-7.28%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CEA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 33.64% on average per year.
  • CEA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 24.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y-90.09%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-28.49%
Revenue Next 2Y21.79%
Revenue Next 3Y24.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CEA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCEA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
CEA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCEA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40 -60

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1

4. CEA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CEA reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CEA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CEA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCEA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CEA Per share dataCEA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CEA's earnings are expected to grow with 33.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.64%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CEA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CEA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

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CEA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS

NYSE:CEA (2/2/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

20.09

+0.5 (+2.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)03-31
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.96B
Revenue(TTM)50.48B
Net Income(TTM)-32.17B
Analysts77.78
Price Target22.32 (11.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-15.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-99.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-161.05%
Max EPS beat(2)-38.88%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-51.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-161.05%
Max EPS beat(4)23.45%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-24.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-41.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-41.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.02%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.48%
PT rev (3m)14.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-41.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)15.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-17.98%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-11.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.21
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.61
P/tB 5.19
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-10.57
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.49
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.98
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.43
OCFYN/A
SpS16.62
BVpS7.69
TBVpS3.87
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.31
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z -0.5
F-Score3
WACC7.3%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-142.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-176.11%
EPS Next Y-90.09%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.39%
Sales Q2Q%-7.28%
Revenue Next Year-28.49%
Revenue Next 2Y21.79%
Revenue Next 3Y24.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-130.12%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year30.78%
EBIT Next 3Y64.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-337.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-188.39%
OCF growth 3Y-36.6%
OCF growth 5Y-25.55%

CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS / CEA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to CEA.


What is the valuation status of CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS (CEA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS (CEA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS?

CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS (CEA) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS sustainable?

The dividend rating of CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES-ADS (CEA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -15.67%.