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CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CDAY - US15677J1088 - Common Stock

92.28 CAD
+0.34 (+0.37%)
Last: 3/20/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CDAY scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CDAY was compared to 5 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. While CDAY is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CDAY is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CDAY was profitable.
In the past year CDAY had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years CDAY reported 4 times negative net income.
Of the past 5 years CDAY 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CDAY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCDAY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

CDAY has a Return On Assets of 0.04%. This is in the better half of the industry: CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CDAY (0.18%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CDAY (2.29%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.04%
ROE 0.18%
ROIC 2.29%
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CDAY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCDAY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

CDAY's Profit Margin of 0.28% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
CDAY's Operating Margin of 7.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
CDAY's Gross Margin of 42.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CDAY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.74%
PM (TTM) 0.28%
GM 42.19%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
CDAY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCDAY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CDAY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CDAY has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CDAY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CDAY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCDAY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M
CDAY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCDAY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that CDAY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CDAY's Altman-Z score of 1.17 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a debt to FCF ratio of 22.77. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CDAY would need 22.77 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 22.77, CDAY is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CDAY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating CDAY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CDAY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: CDAY underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.53
Debt/FCF 22.77
Altman-Z 1.17
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC8.14%
CDAY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCDAY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.09 indicates that CDAY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.09, CDAY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
CDAY has a Quick Ratio of 1.09. This is a normal value and indicates that CDAY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CDAY has a Quick ratio of 1.09. This is in the better half of the industry: CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
CDAY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCDAY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 105.00% over the past year.
CDAY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.61% yearly.
CDAY shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 21.63%.
Measured over the past years, CDAY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.19% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CDAY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 42.72% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.41% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue Next Year22.54%
Revenue Next 2Y18.66%
Revenue Next 3Y17.44%
Revenue Next 5Y17.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CDAY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCDAY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CDAY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCDAY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 55.26, the valuation of CDAY can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CDAY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CDAY is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.24. CDAY is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.59, CDAY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CDAY is valued cheaper than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CDAY to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.82), we can say CDAY is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 55.26
Fwd PE 39.59
CDAY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCDAY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CDAY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CDAY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 198.43
EV/EBITDA 51.25
CDAY.CA Per share dataCDAY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CDAY's earnings are expected to grow with 40.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CDAY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC

TSX:CDAY (3/20/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

92.28

+0.34 (+0.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)02-08 2022-02-08
Inst Owners85.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.41B
Analysts76.67
Price Target105.21 (14.01%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.89%
Min EPS beat(2)7.19%
Max EPS beat(2)22.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.23%
Max EPS beat(4)87.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)52.78%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)42.08%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)46.25%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.44%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.86%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 55.26
Fwd PE 39.59
P/S 7.32
P/FCF 198.43
P/OCF 61.94
P/B 4.68
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 51.25
EPS(TTM)1.67
EY1.81%
EPS(NY)2.33
Fwd EY2.53%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY0.5%
OCF(TTM)1.49
OCFY1.61%
SpS12.6
BVpS19.71
TBVpS-2.16
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.04%
ROE 0.18%
ROCE 3.18%
ROIC 2.29%
ROICexc 2.68%
ROICexgc 16.01%
OM 7.74%
PM (TTM) 0.28%
GM 42.19%
FCFM 3.69%
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.53
Debt/FCF 22.77
Debt/EBITDA 5.48
Cap/Depr 108.46%
Cap/Sales 8.13%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 77.56%
Profit Quality 1337.5%
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
Altman-Z 1.17
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)101.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%
Revenue Next Year22.54%
Revenue Next 2Y18.66%
Revenue Next 3Y17.44%
Revenue Next 5Y17.41%
EBIT growth 1Y376.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year136.31%
EBIT Next 3Y51.44%
EBIT Next 5Y42.35%
FCF growth 1Y159.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y699.3%
OCF growth 3Y37.87%
OCF growth 5YN/A