CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY (CBRL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:CBRL - Nasdaq - US22410J1060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall CBRL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CBRL against 136 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CBRL while its profitability can be described as average. CBRL has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CBRL was profitable.
In the past year CBRL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years CBRL 4 years were profitable.
CBRL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of CBRL (1.67%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.81%, CBRL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.26%, CBRL is not doing good in the industry: 64.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CBRL is significantly below the industry average of 14.17%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.67% | ||
| ROE | 7.81% | ||
| ROIC | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)4.29%
ROE(3y)18.52%
ROE(5y)17.23%
ROIC(3y)5.42%
ROIC(5y)4.91%
1.3 Margins
CBRL has a Profit Margin (1.03%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CBRL has declined.
The Operating Margin of CBRL (1.99%) is worse than 72.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CBRL has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 69.03%, CBRL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.09% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CBRL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.03% | ||
| GM | 69.03% |
OM growth 3Y-26.5%
OM growth 5Y-25.62%
PM growth 3Y-49.25%
PM growth 5Y-30.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.32%
GM growth 5Y-0.3%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CBRL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CBRL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CBRL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CBRL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
CBRL has an Altman-Z score of 2.27. This is not the best score and indicates that CBRL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CBRL's Altman-Z score of 2.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CBRL is 10.06, which is on the high side as it means it would take CBRL, 10.06 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CBRL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 10.06. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 60.29% of its industry peers.
CBRL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CBRL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.02. This is in the better half of the industry: CBRL outperforms 63.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.27 |
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC8.04%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CBRL (0.62) is worse than 67.65% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.24 indicates that CBRL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CBRL's Quick ratio of 0.24 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CBRL is outperformed by 89.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.24 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CBRL have decreased strongly by -24.39% in the last year.
CBRL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -16.60% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.26% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, CBRL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.39%
EPS 3Y-10.11%
EPS 5Y-16.6%
EPS Q2Q%0.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y7.15%
Revenue growth 5Y2.47%
Sales Q2Q%1.5%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.58% on average over the next years.
CBRL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.88% yearly.
EPS Next Y-23.96%
EPS Next 2Y-9.17%
EPS Next 3Y-3.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.25%
Revenue Next 2Y0.77%
Revenue Next 3Y0.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
CBRL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.68.
85.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CBRL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
CBRL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.75.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.97 indicates a correct valuation of CBRL.
CBRL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 78.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.49, CBRL is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CBRL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.68% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CBRL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CBRL is cheaper than 69.85% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as CBRL's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.17%
EPS Next 3Y-3.58%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CBRL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of CBRL has falen by -34.38%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
CBRL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.85. CBRL pays more dividend than 80.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, CBRL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CBRL decreases each year by -8.25%.
CBRL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of CBRL decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
193.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CBRL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of CBRL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP193.53%
EPS Next 2Y-9.17%
EPS Next 3Y-3.58%
NASDAQ:CBRL (5/2/2025, 3:30:42 PM)
43.11
+0.47 (+1.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners98.97%
Inst Owner Change0.15%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change5.69%
Market Cap959.63M
Analysts50.67
Price Target46.92 (8.84%)
Short Float %11.49%
Short Ratio2.34
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
Yearly Dividend5.23
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.25%
DP193.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.97%
Min EPS beat(2)24.7%
Max EPS beat(2)29.25%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)17.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.74%
Max EPS beat(4)30.72%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)4.41%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)2.51%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)30.22%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.73%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)-13.44%
PT rev (3m)-11.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.97 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.78 | ||
| P/B | 2.08 | ||
| P/tB | 2.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.56 |
EPS(TTM)3.69
EY8.56%
EPS(NY)3.09
Fwd EY7.16%
FCF(TTM)2.11
FCFY4.89%
OCF(TTM)9.02
OCFY20.92%
SpS157.5
BVpS20.71
TBVpS19.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.67% | ||
| ROE | 7.81% | ||
| ROCE | 4.12% | ||
| ROIC | 3.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.28% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.33% | ||
| OM | 1.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.03% | ||
| GM | 69.03% | ||
| FCFM | 1.34% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)4.29%
ROE(3y)18.52%
ROE(5y)17.23%
ROIC(3y)5.42%
ROIC(5y)4.91%
ROICexc(3y)5.52%
ROICexc(5y)5.18%
ROICexgc(3y)5.6%
ROICexgc(5y)5.26%
ROCE(3y)6.86%
ROCE(5y)6.21%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-19.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-29.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y-29.45%
OM growth 3Y-26.5%
OM growth 5Y-25.62%
PM growth 3Y-49.25%
PM growth 5Y-30.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.32%
GM growth 5Y-0.3%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.06 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.53 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.88% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.56 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | 130.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.27 |
F-Score6
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)110.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.94%
Profit Quality(3y)101.71%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.39%
EPS 3Y-10.11%
EPS 5Y-16.6%
EPS Q2Q%0.73%
EPS Next Y-23.96%
EPS Next 2Y-9.17%
EPS Next 3Y-3.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y7.15%
Revenue growth 5Y2.47%
Sales Q2Q%1.5%
Revenue Next Year-0.25%
Revenue Next 2Y0.77%
Revenue Next 3Y0.88%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-38.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.24%
EBIT growth 5Y-23.78%
EBIT Next Year107.49%
EBIT Next 3Y32.8%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-42.48%
FCF growth 3Y-43.9%
FCF growth 5Y-28.94%
OCF growth 1Y1.27%
OCF growth 3Y-17.59%
OCF growth 5Y-14.17%