Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

EPA:CATR • US1491231015

Current stock price

327 EUR
-1.5 (-0.46%)
Last:

This CATR.PA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. CATR.PA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CATR was profitable.
  • In the past year CATR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CATR has been profitable.
  • CATR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CATR.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCATR.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 13.43%, CATR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of CATR (63.77%) is better than 98.08% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 21.21%, CATR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CATR is significantly above the industry average of 7.88%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (14.39%) for CATR is below the current ROIC(21.21%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.43%
ROE 63.77%
ROIC 21.21%
ROA(3y)9.28%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)44.88%
ROE(5y)39.19%
ROIC(3y)14.39%
ROIC(5y)12.73%
CATR.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCATR.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 16.79%, CATR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CATR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CATR has a better Operating Margin (22.43%) than 95.19% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CATR has grown nicely.
  • CATR has a Gross Margin (37.03%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CATR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.43%
PM (TTM) 16.79%
GM 37.03%
OM growth 3Y18.73%
OM growth 5Y5.1%
PM growth 3Y28.99%
PM growth 5Y6.53%
GM growth 3Y6.13%
GM growth 5Y2.15%
CATR.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCATR.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

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5

2. CATR.PA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CATR is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CATR has less shares outstanding
  • CATR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CATR.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingCATR.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
CATR.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCATR.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.04 indicates that CATR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CATR (4.04) is better than 90.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CATR is 3.68, which is a good value as it means it would take CATR, 3.68 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.68, CATR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.61 is on the high side and indicates that CATR has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CATR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.61. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CATR underperforms 85.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.61
Debt/FCF 3.68
Altman-Z 4.04
ROIC/WACC2.46
WACC8.63%
CATR.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCATR.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CATR has a Current Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that CATR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CATR (1.35) is worse than 64.42% of its industry peers.
  • CATR has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a bad value and indicates that CATR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.83, CATR is not doing good in the industry: 66.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.83
CATR.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCATR.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CATR.PA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CATR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 34.27%, which is quite impressive.
  • CATR shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.62% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CATR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.59% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CATR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.15% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.27%
EPS 3Y51.58%
EPS 5Y13.62%
EPS Q2Q%14.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.15%
Sales Q2Q%-0.4%

3.2 Future

  • CATR is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.92% yearly.
  • CATR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.37%
EPS Next 2Y4.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.64%
EPS Next 5Y-4.92%
Revenue Next Year-1.31%
Revenue Next 2Y1.37%
Revenue Next 3Y2.6%
Revenue Next 5Y3.72%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CATR.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCATR.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20B 40B 60B
CATR.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCATR.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15 20 25

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4

4. CATR.PA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CATR is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.27.
  • CATR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CATR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say CATR is valued slightly cheaper.
  • CATR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.47.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CATR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.99. CATR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.27
Fwd PE 15.47
CATR.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCATR.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CATR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CATR is more expensive than 66.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CATR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.94
EV/EBITDA 11.86
CATR.PA Per share dataCATR.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CATR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of CATR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.83
PEG (5Y)1.19
EPS Next 2Y4.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.64%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. CATR.PA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.58%, CATR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.39, CATR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, CATR has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.58%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CATR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.72%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.72%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
CATR.PA Yearly Dividends per shareCATR.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • CATR pays out 23.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP23.04%
EPS Next 2Y4.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.64%
CATR.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCATR.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CATR.PA Dividend Payout.CATR.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CATR.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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CATR.PA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Caterpillar Inc

EPA:CATR (5/27/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

327

-1.5 (-0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)04-25
Earnings (Next)07-30
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap159.92B
Revenue(TTM)67.00B
Net Income(TTM)11.25B
Analysts68.39
Price Target318.7 (-2.54%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.58%
Yearly Dividend5.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.72%
DP23.04%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.44%
Min EPS beat(2)7.96%
Max EPS beat(2)8.92%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.7%
Min EPS beat(4)7.96%
Max EPS beat(4)19.89%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.11%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)13.94%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)20.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.01%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.01%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.41%
PT rev (1m)-3.04%
PT rev (3m)7.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.27
Fwd PE 15.47
P/S 2.6
P/FCF 16.94
P/OCF 13.04
P/B 9.88
P/tB 14.71
EV/EBITDA 11.86
EPS(TTM)20.1
EY6.15%
EPS(NY)21.14
Fwd EY6.47%
FCF(TTM)19.3
FCFY5.9%
OCF(TTM)25.07
OCFY7.67%
SpS125.71
BVpS33.1
TBVpS22.23
PEG (NY)4.83
PEG (5Y)1.19
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.43%
ROE 63.77%
ROCE 29.25%
ROIC 21.21%
ROICexc 23.31%
ROICexgc 26.37%
OM 22.43%
PM (TTM) 16.79%
GM 37.03%
FCFM 15.35%
ROA(3y)9.28%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)44.88%
ROE(5y)39.19%
ROIC(3y)14.39%
ROIC(5y)12.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.56%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)18.95%
ROICexgc(5y)17.17%
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)17.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y31.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y34.15%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.47%
OM growth 3Y18.73%
OM growth 5Y5.1%
PM growth 3Y28.99%
PM growth 5Y6.53%
GM growth 3Y6.13%
GM growth 5Y2.15%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.61
Debt/FCF 3.68
Debt/EBITDA 1.65
Cap/Depr 144.1%
Cap/Sales 4.59%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 77.86%
Profit Quality 91.45%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 4.04
F-Score8
WACC8.63%
ROIC/WACC2.46
Cap/Depr(3y)122.15%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.77%
Profit Quality(3y)81.55%
Profit Quality(5y)90.96%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.27%
EPS 3Y51.58%
EPS 5Y13.62%
EPS Q2Q%14.05%
EPS Next Y3.37%
EPS Next 2Y4.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.64%
EPS Next 5Y-4.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.15%
Sales Q2Q%-0.4%
Revenue Next Year-1.31%
Revenue Next 2Y1.37%
Revenue Next 3Y2.6%
Revenue Next 5Y3.72%
EBIT growth 1Y33.25%
EBIT growth 3Y39.05%
EBIT growth 5Y9.47%
EBIT Next Year14.81%
EBIT Next 3Y6.23%
EBIT Next 5Y-1.5%
FCF growth 1Y250.34%
FCF growth 3Y32.48%
FCF growth 5Y21.88%
OCF growth 1Y139.37%
OCF growth 3Y26.75%
OCF growth 5Y14.46%

Caterpillar Inc / CATR.PA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CATR.PA.


What is the valuation status of Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) stock?

Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CATR stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) is 16.27 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 9.88.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CATR stock?

The dividend rating of Caterpillar Inc (CATR.PA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 23.04%.