CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:CASY • US1475281036
Current stock price
659.63 USD
-5.53 (-0.83%)
At close:
650.406 USD
-9.22 (-1.4%)
After Hours:
This CASY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CASY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CASY had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CASY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CASY has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CASY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 7.57%, CASY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- CASY's Return On Equity of 16.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CASY outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
- CASY's Return On Invested Capital of 9.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CASY outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CASY is significantly below the industry average of 29.49%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (9.59%) for CASY is below the current ROIC(9.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.57% | ||
| ROE | 16.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.81% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of CASY (3.83%) is better than 86.84% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CASY has grown nicely.
- CASY has a Operating Margin of 5.64%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CASY outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CASY has grown nicely.
- CASY's Gross Margin of 24.54% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CASY outperforms 55.26% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CASY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.64% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.83% | ||
| GM | 24.54% |
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. CASY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CASY is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CASY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- CASY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CASY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CASY has an Altman-Z score of 6.10. This indicates that CASY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- CASY has a Altman-Z score of 6.10. This is amongst the best in the industry. CASY outperforms 86.84% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CASY is 3.65, which is a good value as it means it would take CASY, 3.65 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CASY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.65. This is in the better half of the industry: CASY outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
- CASY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CASY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CASY has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.1 |
ROIC/WACC1.14
WACC8.57%
2.3 Liquidity
- CASY has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that CASY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CASY has a Current ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: CASY underperforms 60.53% of its industry peers.
- CASY has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that CASY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.64, CASY is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.64 |
3. CASY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.39% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, CASY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.57% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 9.22% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%49.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.22%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.05% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- CASY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y21.44%
EPS Next 2Y16.21%
EPS Next 3Y14.18%
EPS Next 5Y11.05%
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.16%
Revenue Next 3Y6.54%
Revenue Next 5Y6.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. CASY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 37.87, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CASY.
- CASY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CASY is more expensive than 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, CASY is valued quite expensively.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.36, the valuation of CASY can be described as expensive.
- CASY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- CASY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CASY indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CASY is more expensive than 65.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CASY.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 36.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CASY's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of CASY may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CASY's earnings are expected to grow with 14.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.77
PEG (5Y)2.43
EPS Next 2Y16.21%
EPS Next 3Y14.18%
5. CASY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CASY has a yearly dividend return of 0.34%, which is pretty low.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.70, CASY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, CASY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.34% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of CASY grows each year by 9.28%, which is quite nice.
- CASY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CASY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- CASY pays out 12.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CASY's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP12.4%
EPS Next 2Y16.21%
EPS Next 3Y14.18%
CASY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
659.63
-5.53 (-0.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-08 2026-06-08/amc
Inst Owners89.42%
Inst Owner Change9.8%
Ins Owners0.5%
Ins Owner Change-2.55%
Market Cap24.38B
Revenue(TTM)16.98B
Net Income(TTM)650.07M
Analysts79.17
Price Target663.35 (0.56%)
Short Float %1.9%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.34% |
Yearly Dividend1.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
DP12.4%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date05-01 2026-05-01 (0.57)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.66%
Min EPS beat(2)4.87%
Max EPS beat(2)14.46%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.07%
Min EPS beat(4)4.87%
Max EPS beat(4)32.23%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)15.86%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.6%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)12.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.93%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.7%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.17%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.08%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.04%
PT rev (1m)1.76%
PT rev (3m)12.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.36 | ||
| P/S | 1.44 | ||
| P/FCF | 36.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.57 | ||
| P/B | 6.33 | ||
| P/tB | 9.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.96 |
EPS(TTM)17.42
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)19.77
Fwd EY3%
FCF(TTM)18.06
FCFY2.74%
OCF(TTM)35.52
OCFY5.39%
SpS459.47
BVpS104.26
TBVpS69.99
PEG (NY)1.77
PEG (5Y)2.43
Graham Number202.15
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.57% | ||
| ROE | 16.87% | ||
| ROCE | 12.81% | ||
| ROIC | 9.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.76% | ||
| OM | 5.64% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.83% | ||
| GM | 24.54% | ||
| FCFM | 3.93% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
ROICexc(3y)10.13%
ROICexc(5y)9.8%
ROICexgc(3y)12.06%
ROICexgc(5y)11.37%
ROCE(3y)12.52%
ROCE(5y)12.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.09%
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.65 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 146.09% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 93.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.1 |
F-Score9
WACC8.57%
ROIC/WACC1.14
Cap/Depr(3y)142.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)140.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.49%
Profit Quality(3y)90.52%
Profit Quality(5y)104.68%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%49.79%
EPS Next Y21.44%
EPS Next 2Y16.21%
EPS Next 3Y14.18%
EPS Next 5Y11.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.22%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%0.32%
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.16%
Revenue Next 3Y6.54%
Revenue Next 5Y6.79%
EBIT growth 1Y22.57%
EBIT growth 3Y18.33%
EBIT growth 5Y15.86%
EBIT Next Year83.19%
EBIT Next 3Y29.22%
EBIT Next 5Y20.46%
FCF growth 1Y91.22%
FCF growth 3Y8.15%
FCF growth 5Y55.02%
OCF growth 1Y54.46%
OCF growth 3Y11.42%
OCF growth 5Y16.69%
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC / CASY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CASY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CASY.
Can you provide the valuation status for CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of CASY stock?
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC?
The financial health rating of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is expected to grow by 21.44% in the next year.