586.38 USD
+12.77 (+2.23%)
586.38 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to CASY. CASY was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. While CASY belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. CASY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CASY was profitable.
CASY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CASY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years CASY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CASY has a Return On Assets of 7.07%. This is in the better half of the industry: CASY outperforms 76.32% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.94%, CASY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
CASY has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.40%) than 68.42% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CASY is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.07% | ||
| ROE | 15.94% | ||
| ROIC | 9.4% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of CASY (3.58%) is better than 86.84% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CASY has grown nicely.
CASY's Operating Margin of 5.39% is amongst the best of the industry. CASY outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
CASY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 24.00%, CASY is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CASY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.58% | ||
| GM | 24% |
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CASY is creating some value.
CASY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CASY has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CASY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CASY has an Altman-Z score of 5.70. This indicates that CASY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.70, CASY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CASY is 3.60, which is a good value as it means it would take CASY, 3.60 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CASY has a Debt to FCF ratio (3.60) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62 indicates that CASY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CASY (0.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.7 |
ROIC/WACC1.13
WACC8.34%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that CASY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CASY has a Current ratio of 1.05. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CASY outperforms 42.11% of its industry peers.
CASY has a Quick Ratio of 1.05. This is a bad value and indicates that CASY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CASY (0.65) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CASY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.31%, which is quite good.
CASY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.57% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CASY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.33% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.31%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%14.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.33%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CASY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.13% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.97%
EPS Next 2Y14.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year8.85%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3Y6.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.72%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 36.06, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CASY.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CASY is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.79% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.00, CASY is valued a bit more expensive.
CASY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.37.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CASY.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CASY to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.70), we can say CASY is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
65.79% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CASY, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CASY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 31.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CASY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of CASY may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CASY's earnings are expected to grow with 13.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)2.32
EPS Next 2Y14.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CASY has a yearly dividend return of 0.41%, which is pretty low.
CASY's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.77.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, CASY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CASY is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.28%!
CASY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CASY has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
12.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CASY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CASY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP12.85%
EPS Next 2Y14.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
586.38
+12.77 (+2.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.5%
Ins Owner Change-1.71%
Market Cap21.80B
Revenue(TTM)16.97B
Net Income(TTM)607.10M
Analysts81
Price Target604.49 (3.09%)
Short Float %2.22%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
Yearly Dividend1.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
DP12.85%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.55%
Min EPS beat(2)4.36%
Max EPS beat(2)12.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)15.79%
Min EPS beat(4)4.36%
Max EPS beat(4)32.23%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.84%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.69%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)12.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.81%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.49%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.86%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.77%
PT rev (1m)3.18%
PT rev (3m)5.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.37 | ||
| P/S | 1.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 31.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.33 | ||
| P/B | 5.72 | ||
| P/tB | 8.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.64 |
EPS(TTM)16.26
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)19.31
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)18.35
FCFY3.13%
OCF(TTM)33.84
OCFY5.77%
SpS456.42
BVpS102.46
TBVpS68.4
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)2.32
Graham Number193.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.07% | ||
| ROE | 15.94% | ||
| ROCE | 12.27% | ||
| ROIC | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.06% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.3% | ||
| OM | 5.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.58% | ||
| GM | 24% | ||
| FCFM | 4.02% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
ROICexc(3y)10.13%
ROICexc(5y)9.8%
ROICexgc(3y)12.06%
ROICexgc(5y)11.37%
ROCE(3y)12.52%
ROCE(5y)12.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.09%
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 133.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.72 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 93.4% | ||
| Profit Quality | 112.37% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.7 |
F-Score9
WACC8.34%
ROIC/WACC1.13
Cap/Depr(3y)142.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)140.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.49%
Profit Quality(3y)90.52%
Profit Quality(5y)104.68%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.31%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%14.02%
EPS Next Y18.97%
EPS Next 2Y14.84%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.33%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%14.17%
Revenue Next Year8.85%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3Y6.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.72%
EBIT growth 1Y19.52%
EBIT growth 3Y18.33%
EBIT growth 5Y15.86%
EBIT Next Year81.28%
EBIT Next 3Y28.68%
EBIT Next 5Y19.13%
FCF growth 1Y69.52%
FCF growth 3Y8.15%
FCF growth 5Y55.02%
OCF growth 1Y43.36%
OCF growth 3Y11.42%
OCF growth 5Y16.69%
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC / CASY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CASY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CASY.
Can you provide the valuation status for CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of CASY stock?
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC?
The financial health rating of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is expected to grow by 18.97% in the next year.