CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:CASY - US1475281036 - Common Stock
513.19 USD
-5.35 (-1.03%)
513.19 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, CASY scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CASY was compared to 39 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. While CASY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, CASY is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CASY was profitable.
CASY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CASY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CASY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CASY has a better Return On Assets (6.95%) than 79.49% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.98%, CASY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CASY has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.19%) than 74.36% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CASY is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.95% | ||
| ROE | 15.98% | ||
| ROIC | 9.19% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
1.3 Margins
CASY has a better Profit Margin (3.54%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CASY has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.29%, CASY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.18% of the companies in the same industry.
CASY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of CASY (23.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CASY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.54% | ||
| GM | 23.82% |
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CASY is creating some value.
CASY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CASY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CASY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CASY has an Altman-Z score of 5.34. This indicates that CASY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CASY has a better Altman-Z score (5.34) than 79.49% of its industry peers.
CASY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.71. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as CASY would need 3.71 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CASY's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.71 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CASY outperforms 64.10% of its industry peers.
CASY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating CASY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CASY has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.34 |
ROIC/WACC1.12
WACC8.21%
2.3 Liquidity
CASY has a Current Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that CASY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CASY has a worse Current ratio (1.03) than 64.10% of its industry peers.
CASY has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that CASY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CASY has a Quick ratio of 0.61. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CASY outperforms 56.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.39% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CASY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.57% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, CASY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.74% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CASY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.39%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%19.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.74%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%11.45%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CASY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.13% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.93%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year9.34%
Revenue Next 2Y7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y4.72%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 32.94, the valuation of CASY can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CASY is valued a bit more expensive than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
CASY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 26.10.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.49, CASY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CASY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.52, CASY is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
64.10% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CASY, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CASY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
CASY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CASY's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)2.12
EPS Next 2Y12.93%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.44%, CASY is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.98, CASY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.44, CASY pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CASY is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.28%!
CASY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CASY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
CASY pays out 12.95% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
CASY's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP12.95%
EPS Next 2Y12.93%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
513.19
-5.35 (-1.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.06%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change3.87%
Market Cap19.08B
Revenue(TTM)16.41B
Net Income(TTM)581.68M
Analysts82.86
Price Target585.42 (14.07%)
Short Float %1.76%
Short Ratio1.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
Yearly Dividend1.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.28%
DP12.95%
Div Incr Years25
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.49%
Min EPS beat(2)12.74%
Max EPS beat(2)32.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.39%
Min EPS beat(4)10.74%
Max EPS beat(4)32.23%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)15.46%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)14.53%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)11.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.81%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.89%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.66%
PT rev (1m)2%
PT rev (3m)7.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.49 | ||
| P/S | 1.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.14 | ||
| P/B | 5.24 | ||
| P/tB | 7.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.4 |
EPS(TTM)15.58
EY3.04%
EPS(NY)18.67
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)17.92
FCFY3.49%
OCF(TTM)31.79
OCFY6.19%
SpS441.37
BVpS97.92
TBVpS64.41
PEG (NY)2.26
PEG (5Y)2.12
Graham Number185.27
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.95% | ||
| ROE | 15.98% | ||
| ROCE | 12% | ||
| ROIC | 9.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.02% | ||
| OM | 5.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.54% | ||
| GM | 23.82% | ||
| FCFM | 4.06% |
ROA(3y)7.36%
ROA(5y)7.06%
ROE(3y)16.34%
ROE(5y)16.08%
ROIC(3y)9.59%
ROIC(5y)9.24%
ROICexc(3y)10.13%
ROICexc(5y)9.8%
ROICexgc(3y)12.06%
ROICexgc(5y)11.37%
ROCE(3y)12.52%
ROCE(5y)12.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.09%
OM growth 3Y10.42%
OM growth 5Y3.74%
PM growth 3Y9.31%
PM growth 5Y3.57%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.65 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.71 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.85 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.32% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.91% | ||
| Profit Quality | 114.53% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.34 |
F-Score6
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC1.12
Cap/Depr(3y)142.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)140.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.49%
Profit Quality(3y)90.52%
Profit Quality(5y)104.68%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.39%
EPS 3Y17.22%
EPS 5Y15.57%
EPS Q2Q%19.46%
EPS Next Y14.55%
EPS Next 2Y12.93%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.74%
Revenue growth 3Y7.16%
Revenue growth 5Y11.68%
Sales Q2Q%11.45%
Revenue Next Year9.34%
Revenue Next 2Y7.66%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y4.72%
EBIT growth 1Y17.92%
EBIT growth 3Y18.33%
EBIT growth 5Y15.86%
EBIT Next Year77.72%
EBIT Next 3Y28.73%
EBIT Next 5Y19.13%
FCF growth 1Y79.33%
FCF growth 3Y8.15%
FCF growth 5Y55.02%
OCF growth 1Y41.56%
OCF growth 3Y11.42%
OCF growth 5Y16.69%
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC / CASY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CASY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CASY.
What is the valuation status for CASY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of CASY stock?
CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CASY stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is 32.94 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.24.
Is the dividend of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.95%.