CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CARR • US14448C1045
Current stock price
60.65 USD
-1.06 (-1.72%)
At close:
60.2 USD
-0.45 (-0.74%)
Pre-Market:
This CARR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CARR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CARR had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
- CARR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years CARR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CARR has a Return On Assets (3.99%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.75%, CARR is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR has a worse Return On Invested Capital (5.06%) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CARR is significantly below the industry average of 11.89%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.75% | ||
| ROIC | 5.06% |
ROA(3y)7.69%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)22.03%
ROE(5y)27.25%
ROIC(3y)5.56%
ROIC(5y)8.12%
1.3 Margins
- CARR has a Profit Margin of 6.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CARR outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
- CARR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CARR has a Operating Margin (10.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- CARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CARR has a Gross Margin of 26.05%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CARR underperforms 68.29% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CARR has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.82% | ||
| GM | 26.05% |
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y-1.52%
PM growth 3Y-26.67%
PM growth 5Y-9.68%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-2.38%
2. CARR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CARR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CARR has less shares outstanding
- CARR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for CARR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- CARR has an Altman-Z score of 2.58. This is not the best score and indicates that CARR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.58, CARR is doing worse than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CARR is 5.65, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CARR, 5.65 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CARR has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (5.65) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that CARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CARR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CARR is outperformed by 65.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC9.57%
2.3 Liquidity
- CARR has a Current Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that CARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.20, CARR is doing worse than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- CARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a bad value and indicates that CARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CARR has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CARR underperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. CARR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CARR have decreased by -7.86% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.22% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue for CARR has decreased by -24.14% in the past year. This is quite bad
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.49% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
EPS 3Y3.46%
EPS 5Y9.22%
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y2.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.49%
Sales Q2Q%-6.04%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CARR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.99% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CARR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
EPS Next 5Y15.99%
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y2.73%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.95%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. CARR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.51, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CARR.
- CARR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- CARR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.44 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CARR.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CARR is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.88), we can say CARR is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CARR is valued a bit more expensive than 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CARR is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 24.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- CARR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.84% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.43
PEG (5Y)2.55
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
5. CARR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CARR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.75, CARR pays a better dividend. On top of this CARR pays more dividend than 85.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- CARR's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.61% |
5.2 History
- CARR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- CARR pays out 52.02% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP52.02%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
CARR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
60.65
-1.06 (-1.72%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners90.82%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners6.15%
Ins Owner Change10.47%
Market Cap50.67B
Revenue(TTM)21.75B
Net Income(TTM)1.48B
Analysts78.06
Price Target73.08 (20.49%)
Short Float %2.59%
Short Ratio2.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.61% |
Yearly Dividend0.9
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP52.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date05-04 2026-05-04 (0.24)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.47%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.37%
Max EPS beat(2)15.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.37%
Max EPS beat(4)15.31%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.01%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.17%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.81%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.11%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.21%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.61%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.44 | ||
| P/S | 2.33 | ||
| P/FCF | 24.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.37 | ||
| P/B | 3.67 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.67 |
EPS(TTM)2.58
EY4.25%
EPS(NY)2.83
Fwd EY4.66%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY4.14%
OCF(TTM)2.98
OCFY4.91%
SpS26.03
BVpS16.52
TBVpS-9.6
PEG (NY)2.43
PEG (5Y)2.55
Graham Number30.9705 (-48.94%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.99% | ||
| ROE | 10.75% | ||
| ROCE | 7.24% | ||
| ROIC | 5.06% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.75% | ||
| OM | 10.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.82% | ||
| GM | 26.05% | ||
| FCFM | 9.64% |
ROA(3y)7.69%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)22.03%
ROE(5y)27.25%
ROIC(3y)5.56%
ROIC(5y)8.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.22%
ROICexc(5y)10.08%
ROICexgc(3y)26.77%
ROICexgc(5y)32.8%
ROCE(3y)7.94%
ROCE(5y)11.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.73%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.35%
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y-1.52%
PM growth 3Y-26.67%
PM growth 5Y-9.68%
GM growth 3Y-0.94%
GM growth 5Y-2.38%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.65 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 30.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 141.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score4
WACC9.57%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)54.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)71.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.96%
Profit Quality(3y)100.42%
Profit Quality(5y)90.87%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.86%
EPS 3Y3.46%
EPS 5Y9.22%
EPS Q2Q%-37.04%
EPS Next Y9.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y12.84%
EPS Next 5Y15.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y2.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.49%
Sales Q2Q%-6.04%
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y2.73%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.95%
EBIT growth 1Y-13.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-20.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.91%
EBIT Next Year23.68%
EBIT Next 3Y13.99%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y475.82%
FCF growth 3Y14.67%
FCF growth 5Y8.72%
OCF growth 1Y181.77%
OCF growth 3Y12.59%
OCF growth 5Y8.02%
CARRIER GLOBAL CORP / CARR Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CARR.
Can you provide the valuation status for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
The financial health rating of CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CARRIER GLOBAL CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CARRIER GLOBAL CORP (CARR) is expected to grow by 9.65% in the next year.