BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of BURL while its profitability can be described as average. BURL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
BURL had positive earnings in the past year.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years BURL 4 years were profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.15%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 38.90%, BURL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.17%) than 69.42% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 13.07%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.88%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.03% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BURL has a better Operating Margin (6.78%) than 75.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BURL has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 43.40%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.12% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BURL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, BURL has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BURL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
BURL has an Altman-Z score of 3.09. This indicates that BURL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
BURL has a Altman-Z score of 3.09. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 70.25% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BURL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BURL is outperformed by 60.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC9.32%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.06 indicates that BURL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.06, BURL is not doing good in the industry: 71.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that BURL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BURL has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 61.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.77%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past 5 years, BURL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 1.94% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, BURL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.29% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.86% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.37% on average per year.
EPS Next Y14.9%
EPS Next 2Y17.21%
EPS Next 3Y19.36%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.86%
Revenue Next 3Y9.68%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.77, BURL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
BURL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.28. BURL is around the same levels.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.59 indicates a rather expensive valuation of BURL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as BURL.
BURL is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.76, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as BURL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 19.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.93
PEG (5Y)14.8
EPS Next 2Y17.21%
EPS Next 3Y19.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
242.28
+5.26 (+2.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners117.21%
Inst Owner Change1.27%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change4.99%
Market Cap15.26B
Analysts85.19
Price Target324.04 (33.75%)
Short Float %5.35%
Short Ratio2.83
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.55%
Min EPS beat(2)6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)11.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)23.93%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)-3.51%
PT rev (3m)-5.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.59 | ||
| P/S | 1.42 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 19.44 | ||
| P/B | 11.29 | ||
| P/tB | 14.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.21 |
EPS(TTM)8.42
EY3.48%
EPS(NY)11.22
Fwd EY4.63%
FCF(TTM)-5.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.46
OCFY5.14%
SpS171.1
BVpS21.47
TBVpS16.94
PEG (NY)1.93
PEG (5Y)14.8
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.66% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.08% | ||
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 314.72% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.09 |
F-Score6
WACC9.32%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
EPS Next Y14.9%
EPS Next 2Y17.21%
EPS Next 3Y19.36%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
Revenue Next Year7.95%
Revenue Next 2Y8.86%
Revenue Next 3Y9.68%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
EBIT growth 1Y23.28%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year70.4%
EBIT Next 3Y32.76%
EBIT Next 5Y27.08%
FCF growth 1Y-233.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y13.67%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%