BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to BURL. BURL was compared to 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of BURL while its profitability can be described as average. BURL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BURL was profitable.
In the past year BURL had a positive cash flow from operations.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of BURL (6.15%) is better than 74.59% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 38.90%, BURL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.17%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 12.03%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.88%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.23% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of BURL has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.78%, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.41% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of BURL (43.40%) is better than 65.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BURL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
BURL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.29 indicates that BURL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.29, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.59% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BURL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BURL is outperformed by 60.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC9.41%
2.3 Liquidity
BURL has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that BURL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.06, BURL is doing worse than 71.31% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
BURL has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 61.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.77%, which is quite impressive.
BURL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.94% yearly.
Looking at the last year, BURL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.29% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.86% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
3.2 Future
BURL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.81% yearly.
BURL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue Next Year7.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y9.37%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 33.18 indicates a quite expensive valuation of BURL.
BURL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.05), we can say BURL is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.91, the valuation of BURL can be described as rather expensive.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BURL to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.67), we can say BURL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
BURL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 17.95% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.19
PEG (5Y)17.07
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
BURL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
279.41
+2.61 (+0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners117.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.09%
Ins Owners0.47%
Ins Owner Change4.96%
Market Cap17.63B
Analysts85.6
Price Target322.23 (15.33%)
Short Float %5.46%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.55%
Min EPS beat(2)6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)11.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)23.93%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)-4.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.91 | ||
| P/S | 1.64 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 22.45 | ||
| P/B | 13.04 | ||
| P/tB | 16.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.38 |
EPS(TTM)8.42
EY3.01%
EPS(NY)11.21
Fwd EY4.01%
FCF(TTM)-5.38
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.44
OCFY4.45%
SpS170.82
BVpS21.43
TBVpS16.91
PEG (NY)2.19
PEG (5Y)17.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.15% | ||
| ROE | 38.9% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.66% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.08% | ||
| OM | 6.78% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.88% | ||
| GM | 43.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 314.72% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
F-Score6
WACC9.41%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.77%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%18.52%
EPS Next Y15.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.16%
EPS Next 3Y17.95%
EPS Next 5Y23.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%6.22%
Revenue Next Year7.94%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y9.37%
Revenue Next 5Y9.37%
EBIT growth 1Y23.28%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year70.4%
EBIT Next 3Y32.76%
EBIT Next 5Y27.08%
FCF growth 1Y-233.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y13.67%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%