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BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:BURL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1220171060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

236  +8 (+3.51%)

After market: 234.5 -1.5 (-0.64%)

Fundamental Rating

4

BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. BURL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, BURL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BURL was profitable.
BURL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years BURL had a positive operating cash flow.
BURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBURL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

BURL's Return On Assets of 5.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 71.90% of its industry peers.
BURL's Return On Equity of 36.75% is amongst the best of the industry. BURL outperforms 88.43% of its industry peers.
BURL's Return On Invested Capital of 8.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 69.42% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for BURL is significantly below the industry average of 13.08%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.84%) for BURL is below the current ROIC(8.12%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.74%
ROE 36.75%
ROIC 8.12%
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
BURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBURL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.74%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
BURL's Operating Margin of 6.72% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 73.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BURL has declined.
BURL has a Gross Margin of 43.34%. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 66.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BURL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.72%
PM (TTM) 4.74%
GM 43.34%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
BURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBURL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), BURL is destroying value.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BURL is higher compared to a year ago.
BURL Yearly Shares OutstandingBURL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
BURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBURL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.93 indicates that BURL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
BURL has a Altman-Z score of 2.93. This is in the better half of the industry: BURL outperforms 70.25% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.12 is on the high side and indicates that BURL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.12, BURL is not doing good in the industry: 60.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.93
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC9.09%
BURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBURL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that BURL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BURL's Current ratio of 1.16 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BURL is outperformed by 65.29% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a bad value and indicates that BURL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.61, BURL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 0.61
BURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBURL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BURL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 34.38%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past 5 years, BURL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 1.94% on average per year.
BURL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.33%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.86% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%11.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.48% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.3%
EPS Next 2Y18.41%
EPS Next 3Y20.25%
EPS Next 5Y20.48%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y9.1%
Revenue Next 3Y9.7%
Revenue Next 5Y8.73%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
BURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBURL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
BURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBURL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10 15 20

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BURL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.89.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.22), we can say BURL is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.84, the valuation of BURL can be described as rather expensive.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.86. BURL is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.89
Fwd PE 24.84
BURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBURL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

BURL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.19
BURL Per share dataBURL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.77
PEG (5Y)14.86
EPS Next 2Y18.41%
EPS Next 3Y20.25%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BURL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

BURLINGTON STORES INC

NYSE:BURL (5/2/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 234.5 -1.5 (-0.64%)

236

+8 (+3.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-28 2025-05-28/bmo
Inst Owners114.64%
Inst Owner Change0.53%
Ins Owners0.38%
Ins Owner Change2.33%
Market Cap14.87B
Analysts85.19
Price Target338.82 (43.57%)
Short Float %4.75%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.5%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(2)6.08%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.07%
Max EPS beat(4)26.6%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.73%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)8.88%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.66%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.98%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.38%
PT rev (1m)0.31%
PT rev (3m)1.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.9%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.89
Fwd PE 24.84
P/S 1.4
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 17.22
P/B 10.85
P/tB 13.7
EV/EBITDA 14.19
EPS(TTM)8.17
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)9.5
Fwd EY4.03%
FCF(TTM)-0.27
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)13.71
OCFY5.81%
SpS168.83
BVpS21.76
TBVpS17.23
PEG (NY)1.77
PEG (5Y)14.86
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.74%
ROE 36.75%
ROCE 11%
ROIC 8.12%
ROICexc 9.59%
ROICexgc 10.11%
OM 6.72%
PM (TTM) 4.74%
GM 43.34%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.45
Cap/Depr 253.29%
Cap/Sales 8.28%
Interest Coverage 8.45
Cash Conversion 81.25%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.93
F-Score8
WACC9.09%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%11.2%
EPS Next Y16.3%
EPS Next 2Y18.41%
EPS Next 3Y20.25%
EPS Next 5Y20.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%4.82%
Revenue Next Year8.59%
Revenue Next 2Y9.1%
Revenue Next 3Y9.7%
Revenue Next 5Y8.73%
EBIT growth 1Y30.45%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year71.76%
EBIT Next 3Y34.11%
EBIT Next 5Y27.08%
FCF growth 1Y-104.52%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.62%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%