BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:BURL - US1220171060 - Common Stock
252.23 USD
-8.42 (-3.23%)
251.95 USD
-0.28 (-0.11%)
BURL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While BURL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, BURL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BURL was profitable.
In the past year BURL had a positive cash flow from operations.
BURL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years BURL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
BURL's Return On Assets of 5.84% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 74.59% of its industry peers.
BURL has a Return On Equity of 36.70%. This is amongst the best in the industry. BURL outperforms 89.34% of its industry peers.
BURL's Return On Invested Capital of 7.85% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 68.03% of its industry peers.
BURL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.84%. This is below the industry average of 11.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.85%) for BURL is above the 3 year average (6.84%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
BURL's Profit Margin of 5.01% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. BURL outperforms 76.23% of its industry peers.
BURL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.02%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.59% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 43.71%, BURL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.21% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BURL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BURL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for BURL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
BURL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for BURL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
BURL has an Altman-Z score of 2.98. This is not the best score and indicates that BURL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.98, BURL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.31% of the companies in the same industry.
BURL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
BURL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: BURL underperforms 60.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC9.23%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.21 indicates that BURL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
BURL has a Current ratio (1.21) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that BURL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BURL has a Quick ratio of 0.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: BURL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 34.38% over the past year.
BURL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.94% yearly.
BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.80%.
Measured over the past years, BURL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.86% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%7.1%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, BURL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.41% on average per year.
BURL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.23% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.77%
EPS Next 2Y18.42%
EPS Next 3Y19.29%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue Next Year8.11%
Revenue Next 2Y8.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.87, the valuation of BURL can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.31. BURL is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.02, BURL is valued on the expensive side.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
BURL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 36.59.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.02 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BURL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of BURL may justify a higher PE ratio.
BURL's earnings are expected to grow with 19.29% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.64
PEG (5Y)15.88
EPS Next 2Y18.42%
EPS Next 3Y19.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for BURL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
252.23
-8.42 (-3.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.5%
Inst Owner Change-2.81%
Ins Owners0.46%
Ins Owner Change-0.71%
Market Cap15.90B
Revenue(TTM)11.20B
Net Income(TTM)560.54M
Analysts84.8
Price Target354.52 (40.55%)
Short Float %4.59%
Short Ratio3.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.35%
PT rev (1m)-1%
PT rev (3m)7.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.09%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.02 | ||
| P/S | 1.42 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 19 | ||
| P/B | 10.41 | ||
| P/tB | 12.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.37 |
EPS(TTM)8.17
EY3.24%
EPS(NY)11.46
Fwd EY4.54%
FCF(TTM)-5.69
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)13.28
OCFY5.26%
SpS177.61
BVpS24.23
TBVpS19.71
PEG (NY)1.64
PEG (5Y)15.88
Graham Number66.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.84% | ||
| ROE | 36.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.89% | ||
| OM | 7.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.01% | ||
| GM | 43.71% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)3.18%
ROE(3y)33.26%
ROE(5y)21.39%
ROIC(3y)6.84%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.13%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.85%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.56%
PM growth 3Y2.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.8%
GM growth 3Y1.31%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 316.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.98 |
F-Score7
WACC9.23%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)193.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.38%
EPS 3Y-1%
EPS 5Y1.94%
EPS Q2Q%16.62%
EPS Next Y18.77%
EPS Next 2Y18.42%
EPS Next 3Y19.29%
EPS Next 5Y16.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y4.49%
Revenue growth 5Y7.86%
Sales Q2Q%7.1%
Revenue Next Year8.11%
Revenue Next 2Y8.97%
Revenue Next 3Y9.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.23%
EBIT growth 1Y15.2%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.37%
EBIT growth 5Y2.94%
EBIT Next Year68.22%
EBIT Next 3Y32.73%
EBIT Next 5Y22.99%
FCF growth 1Y-180.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.33%
OCF growth 3Y1.19%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%
BURLINGTON STORES INC / BURL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for BURL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BURL.
What is the valuation status of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of BURL stock?
BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of BURLINGTON STORES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is 30.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 10.41.
What is the expected EPS growth for BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BURLINGTON STORES INC (BURL) is expected to grow by 18.77% in the next year.