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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AYA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

13.46  +1.14 (+9.25%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall AYA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AYA against 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AYA has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AYA is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AYA had positive earnings in the past year.
AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AYA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AYA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

AYA has a Return On Assets of -2.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: AYA outperforms 77.54% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of -4.68%, AYA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.9%
ROE -4.68%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

AYA's Gross Margin of 22.53% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 88.71% of its industry peers.
AYA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AYA so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AYA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 5.17 indicates that AYA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
AYA has a Altman-Z score of 5.17. This is in the better half of the industry: AYA outperforms 66.12% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 indicates that AYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
AYA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: AYA underperforms 70.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.17
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.57%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

AYA has a Current Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AYA (1.02) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AYA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AYA has a Quick ratio of 0.64. This is in the lower half of the industry: AYA underperforms 62.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 0.64
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AYA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 500.00%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, AYA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.57% on average per year.
AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 81.10%.
The Revenue has been growing by 45.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)500%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%350%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)81.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%566.36%

3.2 Future

AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 61.29% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.56% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y407.89%
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%
EPS Next 5Y61.29%
Revenue Next Year269.67%
Revenue Next 2Y113.02%
Revenue Next 3Y70.57%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50M 100M 150M 200M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.2 0.4 0.6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 84.13 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AYA.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaper than 86.32% of the companies in the same industry.
AYA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.30.
AYA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.27.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.58% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.76. AYA is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 84.13
Fwd PE 18.27
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

86.70% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AYA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 796.24
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 135.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (7/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

13.46

+1.14 (+9.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-13 2025-05-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-08 2025-08-08
Inst Owners47.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.91B
Analysts78.67
Price Target20.15 (49.7%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)207.23%
Min EPS beat(2)170.08%
Max EPS beat(2)244.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)425.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)1386.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)474.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)358.53%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)250.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-38.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.68%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)1.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 84.13
Fwd PE 18.27
P/S 20.54
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 149.71
P/B 5.37
P/tB 5.37
EV/EBITDA 796.24
EPS(TTM)0.16
EY1.19%
EPS(NY)0.74
Fwd EY5.47%
FCF(TTM)-0.74
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.67%
SpS0.66
BVpS2.51
TBVpS2.51
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.9%
ROE -4.68%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.53%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 44.78
Cap/Depr 1264.89%
Cap/Sales 126%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 503.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z 5.17
F-Score4
WACC8.57%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)2021.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)1375.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)218.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)148.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)500%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%350%
EPS Next Y407.89%
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%
EPS Next 5Y61.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)81.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%566.36%
Revenue Next Year269.67%
Revenue Next 2Y113.02%
Revenue Next 3Y70.57%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-329.49%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.48%
EBIT Next 3Y22.67%
EBIT Next 5Y12.1%
FCF growth 1Y-92.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-35.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A