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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:AYA - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock

23.21 CAD
+0.85 (+3.8%)
Last: 1/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to AYA. AYA was compared to 817 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AYA while its profitability can be described as average. AYA is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AYA was profitable.
  • AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AYA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years AYA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AYA (0.42%) is better than 85.07% of its industry peers.
  • AYA has a better Return On Equity (0.62%) than 85.56% of its industry peers.
  • AYA has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.61%) than 89.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.42%
ROE 0.62%
ROIC 1.61%
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AYA (1.81%) is better than 89.60% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.94%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 28.51%, AYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AYA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.94%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 28.51%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AYA is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AYA has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AYA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 7.71 indicates that AYA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.71, AYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AYA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.21. This is in the lower half of the industry: AYA underperforms 67.20% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 7.71
ROIC/WACC0.17
WACC9.51%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AYA has a Current Ratio of 1.96. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AYA has a Current ratio (1.96) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.65, AYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.65
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

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9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AYA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 266.67%, which is quite impressive.
  • AYA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.57% yearly.
  • AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 233.23%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 45.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)266.67%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%4888.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)233.23%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%392.9%

3.2 Future

  • AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 46.14% yearly.
  • AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 43.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y594.29%
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%
EPS Next 5Y46.14%
Revenue Next Year337.08%
Revenue Next 2Y148.4%
Revenue Next 3Y84.11%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 74.87, AYA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaper than 87.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AYA to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say AYA is valued expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.27 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AYA.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.29, AYA is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 74.87
Fwd PE 28.27
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 77.61
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AYA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 137.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (1/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

23.21

+0.85 (+3.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-26
Inst Owners45.95%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.29B
Revenue(TTM)136.12M
Net Income(TTM)2.47M
Analysts80
Price Target25.47 (9.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.89%
Max EPS beat(2)8.4%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)102.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.89%
Max EPS beat(4)244.38%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)372.09%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)292.57%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)217.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.2%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-38.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.2%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)8.05%
PT rev (3m)19.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)67.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 74.87
Fwd PE 28.27
P/S 17.43
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 58.63
P/B 5.98
P/tB 5.98
EV/EBITDA 77.61
EPS(TTM)0.31
EY1.34%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY3.54%
FCF(TTM)-0.34
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.4
OCFY1.71%
SpS1.33
BVpS3.88
TBVpS3.88
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.42%
ROE 0.62%
ROCE 2.79%
ROIC 1.61%
ROICexc 2.2%
ROICexgc 2.2%
OM 9.94%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 28.51%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.88
Cap/Depr 481.02%
Cap/Sales 55.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 138.38%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 7.71
F-Score5
WACC9.51%
ROIC/WACC0.17
Cap/Depr(3y)2021.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)1375.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)218.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)148.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)266.67%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%4888.89%
EPS Next Y594.29%
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%
EPS Next 5Y46.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)233.23%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%392.9%
Revenue Next Year337.08%
Revenue Next 2Y148.4%
Revenue Next 3Y84.11%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%
EBIT growth 1Y569.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.13%
EBIT Next 3Y40.98%
EBIT Next 5Y18.9%
FCF growth 1Y61.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y111.27%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC / AYA.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AYA.CA.


What is the valuation status for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AYA GOLD & SILVER INC?

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) is 3 / 10.