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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:AYA - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock

20.43 CAD
-0.93 (-4.35%)
Last: 1/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall AYA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated AYA against 812 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AYA while its profitability can be described as average. AYA is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AYA had positive earnings in the past year.
AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AYA reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years AYA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

AYA has a better Return On Assets (0.42%) than 84.98% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.62%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.34% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AYA (1.61%) is better than 89.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.42%
ROE 0.62%
ROIC 1.61%
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 1.81%, AYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.53% of the companies in the same industry.
AYA's Operating Margin of 9.94% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 89.53% of its industry peers.
AYA's Gross Margin of 28.51% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 90.39% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AYA has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.94%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 28.51%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AYA is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AYA has more shares outstanding
AYA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 7.12 indicates that AYA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
AYA's Altman-Z score of 7.12 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AYA outperforms 59.85% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates that AYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.21, AYA is doing worse than 67.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 7.12
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC9.21%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

AYA has a Current Ratio of 1.96. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.96, AYA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.35% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that AYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AYA has a Quick ratio (1.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.65
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 266.67% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.57% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, AYA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 233.23%.
AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 45.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)266.67%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%4888.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)233.23%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%392.9%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.17% on average over the next years.
AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 43.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y594.29%
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%
EPS Next 5Y-4.17%
Revenue Next Year337.08%
Revenue Next 2Y148.4%
Revenue Next 3Y84.11%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 68.10, the valuation of AYA can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AYA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.00, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.03, AYA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
AYA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AYA is cheaper than 89.16% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.70. AYA is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 68.1
Fwd PE 25.03
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AYA is valued cheaper than 88.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 71.27
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AYA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AYA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 137.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (1/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

20.43

-0.93 (-4.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-26 2026-03-26/amc
Inst Owners45.95%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.90B
Revenue(TTM)136.12M
Net Income(TTM)2.47M
Analysts78.67
Price Target25.47 (24.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.89%
Max EPS beat(2)8.4%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)102.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.89%
Max EPS beat(4)244.38%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)372.09%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)292.57%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)217.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.2%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-38.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.2%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)8.05%
PT rev (3m)19.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)67.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 68.1
Fwd PE 25.03
P/S 15.43
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 51.9
P/B 5.29
P/tB 5.29
EV/EBITDA 71.27
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY1.47%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY4%
FCF(TTM)-0.34
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.39
OCFY1.93%
SpS1.32
BVpS3.86
TBVpS3.86
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.42%
ROE 0.62%
ROCE 2.79%
ROIC 1.61%
ROICexc 2.2%
ROICexgc 2.2%
OM 9.94%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 28.51%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.88
Cap/Depr 481.02%
Cap/Sales 55.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 138.38%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 7.12
F-Score5
WACC9.21%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)2021.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)1375.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)218.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)148.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)266.67%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%4888.89%
EPS Next Y594.29%
EPS Next 2Y243.82%
EPS Next 3Y137%
EPS Next 5Y-4.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)233.23%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%392.9%
Revenue Next Year337.08%
Revenue Next 2Y148.4%
Revenue Next 3Y84.11%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%
EBIT growth 1Y569.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.13%
EBIT Next 3Y40.98%
EBIT Next 5Y10.54%
FCF growth 1Y61.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y111.27%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC / AYA.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AYA.CA.


What is the valuation status for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AYA GOLD & SILVER INC?

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) is 3 / 10.