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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AYA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

12.16  +0.05 (+0.41%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AYA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AYA was compared to 832 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AYA has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. AYA is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AYA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AYA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AYA reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years AYA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

AYA has a better Return On Assets (1.80%) than 87.95% of its industry peers.
AYA's Return On Equity of 2.78% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 88.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.8%
ROE 2.78%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 19.17%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 29.18%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.90% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AYA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 19.17%
GM 29.18%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.06%
GM growth 5YN/A
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
There is no outstanding debt for AYA. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

AYA has an Altman-Z score of 4.38. This indicates that AYA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AYA has a Altman-Z score of 4.38. This is in the better half of the industry: AYA outperforms 65.86% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that AYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
AYA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AYA is outperformed by 76.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.38
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.71%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M -100M

2.3 Liquidity

AYA has a Current Ratio of 2.06. This indicates that AYA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AYA has a Current ratio of 2.06. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AYA outperforms 53.01% of its industry peers.
AYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, AYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 1.53
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 130.77% over the past year.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.41% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, AYA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 45.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)130.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.41%
Revenue growth 3Y45.82%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.89%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 79.40% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 55.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-72.65%
EPS Next 2Y183.78%
EPS Next 3Y134.48%
EPS Next 5Y79.4%
Revenue Next Year13.42%
Revenue Next 2Y110.63%
Revenue Next 3Y75.6%
Revenue Next 5Y55.85%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50M 100M 150M 200M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 135.11, AYA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
AYA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AYA is cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.12. AYA is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.05, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AYA.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 94.77. AYA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 135.11
Fwd PE 21.05
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 134.48% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y183.78%
EPS Next 3Y134.48%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (2/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

12.16

+0.05 (+0.41%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners44.05%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners10.21%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.59B
Analysts80
Price Target21.87 (79.85%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)643.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)1386.64%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)745.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)1705.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)439.54%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)290%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)220.03%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.67%
PT rev (3m)-0.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-66.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)-48.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)-82.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-31.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 135.11
Fwd PE 21.05
P/S 27.1
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.93
P/tB 3.93
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.09
EY0.74%
EPS(NY)0.58
Fwd EY4.75%
FCF(TTM)-1.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.06
OCFYN/A
SpS0.45
BVpS3.09
TBVpS3.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.8%
ROE 2.78%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 19.17%
GM 29.18%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.06%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 6849.48%
Cap/Sales 260.24%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.06
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 4.38
F-Score3
WACC9.71%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)1287.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)884.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)156.6%
Cap/Sales(5y)119.83%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)130.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-100%
EPS Next Y-72.65%
EPS Next 2Y183.78%
EPS Next 3Y134.48%
EPS Next 5Y79.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.41%
Revenue growth 3Y45.82%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-5.89%
Revenue Next Year13.42%
Revenue Next 2Y110.63%
Revenue Next 3Y75.6%
Revenue Next 5Y55.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-144.79%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year320.73%
EBIT Next 3Y212.27%
EBIT Next 5Y116.43%
FCF growth 1Y-325.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-168.84%
OCF growth 3Y154.86%
OCF growth 5YN/A