AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:AYA • CA05466C1095

Current stock price

23.48 CAD
-0.12 (-0.51%)
Last:

This AYA.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. AYA.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AYA was profitable.
  • AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AYA reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years AYA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • AYA's Return On Assets of 7.21% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 90.66% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 11.01%, AYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.31%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.21%
ROE 11.01%
ROIC 7.31%
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.71%
ROE(3y)1.58%
ROE(5y)0.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • AYA's Profit Margin of 22.54% is amongst the best of the industry. AYA outperforms 93.77% of its industry peers.
  • AYA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 28.06%, AYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AYA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AYA has a Gross Margin of 41.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AYA outperforms 92.40% of its industry peers.
  • AYA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.06%
PM (TTM) 22.54%
GM 41.15%
OM growth 3Y79.99%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y163.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y15.25%
GM growth 5Y7.08%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. AYA.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AYA is destroying value.
  • AYA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AYA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • AYA has an Altman-Z score of 7.54. This indicates that AYA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of AYA (7.54) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AYA (0.20) is worse than 68.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 7.54
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC12%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.94 indicates that AYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.94, AYA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that AYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AYA has a Quick ratio (1.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.94
Quick Ratio 1.65
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

9

3. AYA.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AYA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 540.00%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 198.76% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 416.67%.
  • AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 71.01% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)540%
EPS 3Y198.76%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%500%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)416.67%
Revenue growth 3Y74.19%
Revenue growth 5Y71.01%
Sales Q2Q%706.67%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AYA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.45% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AYA will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 18.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y337.72%
EPS Next 2Y93.6%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%
EPS Next 5Y25.45%
Revenue Next Year104.43%
Revenue Next 2Y40.22%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y18.98%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M 400M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1

5

4. AYA.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AYA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 53.36.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.42, AYA is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.25, the valuation of AYA can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaper than 92.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AYA to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.29), we can say AYA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.36
Fwd PE 12.25
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 31.48
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AYA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AYA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 15.48% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y93.6%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%

0

5. AYA.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AYA.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (4/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

23.48

-0.12 (-0.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-13
Earnings (Next)05-08
Inst Owners42.18%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.36B
Revenue(TTM)202.10M
Net Income(TTM)45.56M
Analysts80
Price Target34.88 (48.55%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-29.15%
Max EPS beat(2)-10.89%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)34.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-29.15%
Max EPS beat(4)170.08%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)207.43%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)295.38%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)222.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)12.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.99%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)6.71%
PT rev (3m)36.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)134.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)24.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)126.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.75%
Revenue NY rev (3m)44.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.36
Fwd PE 12.25
P/S 12.14
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 34.11
P/B 5.93
P/tB 5.93
EV/EBITDA 31.48
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY1.87%
EPS(NY)1.92
Fwd EY8.16%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.69
OCFY2.93%
SpS1.93
BVpS3.96
TBVpS3.96
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.25948 (-73.34%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.21%
ROE 11.01%
ROCE 11.08%
ROIC 7.31%
ROICexc 9.97%
ROICexgc 9.97%
OM 28.06%
PM (TTM) 22.54%
GM 41.15%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.71%
ROE(3y)1.58%
ROE(5y)0.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y97.05%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y97.05%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y79.99%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y163.72%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y15.25%
GM growth 5Y7.08%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.1
Cap/Depr 386.5%
Cap/Sales 39.25%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 93.16%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.94
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 7.54
F-Score8
WACC12%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)1922.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)1417.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)193.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)150.67%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)540%
EPS 3Y198.76%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%500%
EPS Next Y337.72%
EPS Next 2Y93.6%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%
EPS Next 5Y25.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)416.67%
Revenue growth 3Y74.19%
Revenue growth 5Y71.01%
Sales Q2Q%706.67%
Revenue Next Year104.43%
Revenue Next 2Y40.22%
Revenue Next 3Y10.11%
Revenue Next 5Y18.98%
EBIT growth 1Y610.42%
EBIT growth 3Y213.52%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year69.19%
EBIT Next 3Y-3.2%
EBIT Next 5Y6.96%
FCF growth 1Y92.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y935.15%
OCF growth 3Y95.36%
OCF growth 5Y123.85%

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC / AYA.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to AYA.CA.


What is the valuation status for AYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AYA stock?

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AYA stock?

The financial health rating of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AYA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) is expected to grow by 337.72% in the next year.