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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AYA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

13.19  +0.03 (+0.23%)

Fundamental Rating

5

AYA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 807 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AYA has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AYA is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AYA was profitable.
AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AYA reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years AYA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -2.90%, AYA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.46% of the companies in the same industry.
AYA has a better Return On Equity (-4.68%) than 74.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.9%
ROE -4.68%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Gross Margin value of 22.53%, AYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.85% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AYA has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for AYA so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AYA has more shares outstanding
AYA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AYA is higher compared to a year ago.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.69 indicates that AYA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AYA (4.69) is better than 66.05% of its industry peers.
AYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AYA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: AYA underperforms 69.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.69
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.64%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

AYA has a Current Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that AYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.02, AYA is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.63% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.64 indicates that AYA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AYA has a worse Quick ratio (0.64) than 63.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 0.64
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

10

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 500.00% over the past year.
AYA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.57% yearly.
AYA shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 81.10%.
The Revenue has been growing by 45.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)500%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%350%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)81.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%566.36%

3.2 Future

AYA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 107.63% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AYA will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 70.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y407.89%
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%
EPS Next 5Y107.63%
Revenue Next Year269.67%
Revenue Next 2Y113.02%
Revenue Next 3Y70.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M 200M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 82.44, the valuation of AYA can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AYA is valued cheaper than 86.62% of the companies in the same industry.
AYA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.31.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.99, AYA is valued on the expensive side.
AYA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AYA is cheaper than 88.60% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.13, AYA is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 82.44
Fwd PE 17.99
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

86.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AYA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 727.37
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AYA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 135.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (6/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

13.19

+0.03 (+0.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-13 2025-05-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-12 2025-08-12
Inst Owners47.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.73B
Analysts78.67
Price Target19.82 (50.27%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)207.23%
Min EPS beat(2)170.08%
Max EPS beat(2)244.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)425.27%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)1386.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)474.33%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)358.53%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)250.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-38.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.68%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.34%
PT rev (3m)-6.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-43.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 82.44
Fwd PE 17.99
P/S 18.66
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 136.02
P/B 4.88
P/tB 4.88
EV/EBITDA 727.37
EPS(TTM)0.16
EY1.21%
EPS(NY)0.73
Fwd EY5.56%
FCF(TTM)-0.79
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.1
OCFY0.74%
SpS0.71
BVpS2.7
TBVpS2.7
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.9%
ROE -4.68%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.53%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.32
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 44.78
Cap/Depr 1264.89%
Cap/Sales 126%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 503.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z 4.69
F-Score4
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)2021.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)1375.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)218.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)148.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)500%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%350%
EPS Next Y407.89%
EPS Next 2Y227.97%
EPS Next 3Y135.1%
EPS Next 5Y107.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)81.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%566.36%
Revenue Next Year269.67%
Revenue Next 2Y113.02%
Revenue Next 3Y70.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-329.49%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.48%
EBIT Next 3Y22.67%
EBIT Next 5Y35.53%
FCF growth 1Y-92.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-35.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A