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AYA GOLD & SILVER INC (AYA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:AYA - CA05466C1095 - Common Stock

15.67 CAD
-0.33 (-2.06%)
Last: 10/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AYA scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AYA was compared to 810 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AYA is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AYA is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AYA had positive earnings in the past year.
AYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AYA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AYA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M -100M

1.2 Ratios

AYA has a better Return On Assets (-1.80%) than 80.62% of its industry peers.
AYA has a Return On Equity of -2.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AYA outperforms 80.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.8%
ROE -2.62%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAYA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

AYA has a Gross Margin of 20.82%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AYA outperforms 88.64% of its industry peers.
AYA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AYA does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.82%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
AYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAYA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AYA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AYA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AYA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAYA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAYA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

2.2 Solvency

AYA has an Altman-Z score of 5.56. This indicates that AYA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AYA has a Altman-Z score of 5.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AYA outperforms 59.26% of its industry peers.
AYA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AYA (0.22) is worse than 68.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.56
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.76%
AYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAYA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that AYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AYA's Current ratio of 1.97 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AYA outperforms 51.98% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.60 indicates that AYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
AYA has a Quick ratio (1.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.6
AYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAYA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 85.71% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.57% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, AYA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 123.44%.
Measured over the past years, AYA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 45.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)85.71%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)123.44%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%182.31%

3.2 Future

AYA is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.17% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.56% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y519.8%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y104.22%
EPS Next 5Y-4.17%
Revenue Next Year276.49%
Revenue Next 2Y116.46%
Revenue Next 3Y64.91%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50M 100M 150M 200M
AYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAYA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 87.06 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AYA.
86.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AYA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
AYA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
AYA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.04.
88.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AYA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AYA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 87.06
Fwd PE 26.04
AYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAYA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

87.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AYA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 231.14
AYA.CA Per share dataAYA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AYA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AYA's earnings are expected to grow with 104.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y104.22%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AYA GOLD & SILVER INC

TSX:AYA (10/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

15.67

-0.33 (-2.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-14 2025-08-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-12 2025-11-12
Inst Owners50.88%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners8.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.22B
Analysts78.57
Price Target21.25 (35.61%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)89.24%
Min EPS beat(2)8.4%
Max EPS beat(2)170.08%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)80.72%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)244.38%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)462.88%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)342.79%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)255.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.2%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)6.98%
PT rev (3m)5.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 87.06
Fwd PE 26.04
P/S 17.1
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 132.06
P/B 4.1
P/tB 4.1
EV/EBITDA 231.14
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY1.15%
EPS(NY)0.6
Fwd EY3.84%
FCF(TTM)-0.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.12
OCFY0.76%
SpS0.92
BVpS3.82
TBVpS3.82
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.8%
ROE -2.62%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.82%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.15%
ROA(5y)-1.36%
ROE(3y)-1.97%
ROE(5y)-1.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-33.45%
GM growth 5Y-8.58%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 12.28
Cap/Depr 630.27%
Cap/Sales 78.15%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 176.78%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.6
Altman-Z 5.56
F-Score4
WACC8.76%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)2021.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)1375.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)218.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)148.52%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)85.71%
EPS 3Y11.57%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y519.8%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y104.22%
EPS Next 5Y-4.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)123.44%
Revenue growth 3Y4.48%
Revenue growth 5Y45.11%
Sales Q2Q%182.31%
Revenue Next Year276.49%
Revenue Next 2Y116.46%
Revenue Next 3Y64.91%
Revenue Next 5Y43.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-222.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year23.89%
EBIT Next 3Y23.65%
EBIT Next 5Y10.54%
FCF growth 1Y16.81%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.63%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A