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AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AVYA - US05351X1019 - Common Stock

0.2753 USD
-0.03 (-10.73%)
Last: 2/13/2023, 8:08:44 PM
0.29 USD
+0.01 (+5.34%)
Pre-Market: 2/14/2023, 8:01:50 AM
Fundamental Rating

2

AVYA gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 278 industry peers in the Software industry. AVYA may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AVYA does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AVYA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AVYA has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
AVYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for AVYA are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
AVYA has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: AVYA outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AVYA is significantly above the industry average of 10.78%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.23%) for AVYA is well below the 3 year average (76.09%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AVYA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.23%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)76.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100 -100

1.3 Margins

With a decent Operating Margin value of 0.33%, AVYA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.00% of the companies in the same industry.
AVYA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AVYA has a Gross Margin of 51.12%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AVYA underperforms 67.67% of its industry peers.
AVYA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.33%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 51.12%
OM growth 3Y222.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
AVYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 60 80 100

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AVYA is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AVYA has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AVYA is higher compared to a year ago.
AVYA Yearly Shares OutstandingAVYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M
AVYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

AVYA has an Altman-Z score of -0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that AVYA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AVYA's Altman-Z score of -0.09 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AVYA is outperformed by 71.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.09
ROIC/WACC0.04
WACC5.23%
AVYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.18 indicates that AVYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AVYA (1.18) is worse than 72.00% of its industry peers.
AVYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that AVYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AVYA has a Quick ratio of 1.14. This is in the lower half of the industry: AVYA underperforms 72.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.18
Quick Ratio 1.14
AVYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B

0

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AVYA shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -59.78%.
Measured over the past years, AVYA shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -14.24% on average per year.
AVYA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.81%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.78%
EPS 3Y-14.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.81%
Revenue growth 3Y1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.29%
Sales Q2Q%-21.17%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AVYA will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -43.37% on average per year.
AVYA is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y-85.74%
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AVYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
AVYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 2 3 4 5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AVYA is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 0.19.
AVYA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVYA is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AVYA to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.61), we can say AVYA is valued rather cheaply.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AVYA. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.19
Fwd PE N/A
AVYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AVYA indicates a rather cheap valuation: AVYA is cheaper than 96.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.09
AVYA Per share dataAVYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AVYA's earnings are expected to decrease with -43.37% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AVYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP

NYSE:AVYA (2/13/2023, 8:08:44 PM)

Premarket: 0.29 +0.01 (+5.34%)

0.2753

-0.03 (-10.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-13 2023-02-13/amc
Earnings (Next)05-08 2023-05-08/amc
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners12.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap23.91M
Revenue(TTM)2.77B
Net Income(TTM)-1.47B
Analysts44.44
Price Target0.65 (136.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-276.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-537.11%
Max EPS beat(2)-15.45%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-146.72%
Min EPS beat(4)-537.11%
Max EPS beat(4)5.5%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.88%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-35.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.19
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.09
EPS(TTM)1.48
EY537.6%
EPS(NY)-0.07
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.74
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.34
OCFYN/A
SpS31.85
BVpS-9.17
TBVpS-34.49
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.23%
ROICexc 0.25%
ROICexgc 1.01%
OM 0.33%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 51.12%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)76.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.53%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y260.08%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y222.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.53
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.18
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z -0.09
F-Score2
WACC5.23%
ROIC/WACC0.04
Cap/Depr(3y)25.09%
Cap/Depr(5y)22.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.78%
EPS 3Y-14.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132%
EPS Next Y-85.74%
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.81%
Revenue growth 3Y1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.29%
Sales Q2Q%-21.17%
Revenue Next Year-11.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-96.27%
EBIT growth 3Y227.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.7%
EBIT Next Year-32.7%
EBIT Next 3Y-6.79%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-666.67%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-241.96%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-23.3%

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP / AVYA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AVYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to AVYA.


Can you provide the valuation status for AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP?

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


How financially healthy is AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP?

The financial health rating of AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AVYA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) is expected to decline by -85.74% in the next year.