AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AVYA • US05351X1019

0.2753 USD
-0.03 (-10.73%)
At close: Feb 13, 2023
0.29 USD
+0.01 (+5.34%)
Pre-Market: 2/14/2023, 8:01:50 AM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AVYA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall AVYA gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated AVYA against 277 industry peers in the Software industry. AVYA may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AVYA has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. AVYA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AVYA was profitable.
  • AVYA had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
AVYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAVYA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for AVYA are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
  • AVYA has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.23%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AVYA is significantly above the industry average of 10.89%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (76.09%) for AVYA is well above the current ROIC(0.23%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.23%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)76.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AVYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAVYA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • AVYA has a Operating Margin of 0.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: AVYA outperforms 73.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AVYA has declined.
  • AVYA has a Gross Margin of 51.12%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AVYA underperforms 67.67% of its industry peers.
  • AVYA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.33%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 51.12%
OM growth 3Y222.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
AVYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAVYA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 60 80 100

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. AVYA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AVYA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AVYA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • AVYA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AVYA Yearly Shares OutstandingAVYA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M
AVYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAVYA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • AVYA has an Altman-Z score of -0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that AVYA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.09, AVYA is doing worse than 71.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.09
ROIC/WACC0.04
WACC5.23%
AVYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAVYA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B -2B -4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.18 indicates that AVYA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AVYA (1.18) is worse than 72.00% of its industry peers.
  • AVYA has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that AVYA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AVYA (1.14) is worse than 72.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.18
Quick Ratio 1.14
AVYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAVYA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

0

3. AVYA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AVYA have decreased strongly by -59.78% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AVYA shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -14.24% on average per year.
  • AVYA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.81%.
  • AVYA shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -4.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.78%
EPS 3Y-14.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.81%
Revenue growth 3Y1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.29%
Sales Q2Q%-21.17%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AVYA will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -43.37% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AVYA will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-85.74%
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AVYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAVYA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
AVYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAVYA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 2 3 4 5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. AVYA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 0.19, the valuation of AVYA can be described as very cheap.
  • AVYA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AVYA is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. AVYA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • AVYA is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.19
Fwd PE N/A
AVYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAVYA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AVYA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.09
AVYA Per share dataAVYA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as AVYA's earnings are expected to decrease with -43.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. AVYA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AVYA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AVYA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP

NYSE:AVYA (2/13/2023, 8:08:44 PM)

Premarket: 0.29 +0.01 (+5.34%)

0.2753

-0.03 (-10.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-13
Earnings (Next)05-08
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners12.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap23.91M
Revenue(TTM)2.77B
Net Income(TTM)-1.47B
Analysts44.44
Price Target0.65 (136.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-276.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-537.11%
Max EPS beat(2)-15.45%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-146.72%
Min EPS beat(4)-537.11%
Max EPS beat(4)5.5%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.88%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-35.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.19
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.09
EPS(TTM)1.48
EY537.6%
EPS(NY)-0.07
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.74
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.34
OCFYN/A
SpS31.85
BVpS-9.17
TBVpS-34.49
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.23%
ROICexc 0.25%
ROICexgc 1.01%
OM 0.33%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 51.12%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)76.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.53%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y260.08%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y222.57%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.53
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.18
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z -0.09
F-Score2
WACC5.23%
ROIC/WACC0.04
Cap/Depr(3y)25.09%
Cap/Depr(5y)22.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.78%
EPS 3Y-14.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-132%
EPS Next Y-85.74%
EPS Next 2Y-42.17%
EPS Next 3Y-43.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.81%
Revenue growth 3Y1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.29%
Sales Q2Q%-21.17%
Revenue Next Year-11.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-96.27%
EBIT growth 3Y227.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.7%
EBIT Next Year-32.7%
EBIT Next 3Y-6.79%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-666.67%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-241.96%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-23.3%

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP / AVYA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AVYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to AVYA.


What is the valuation status for AVYA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP?

AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) is 0.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -0.03.


Can you provide the financial health for AVYA stock?

The financial health rating of AVAYA HOLDINGS CORP (AVYA) is 1 / 10.