YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AUY • CA98462Y1007

5.85 USD
-0.04 (-0.68%)
At close: Mar 31, 2023
5.83 USD
-0.02 (-0.34%)
After Hours: 3/31/2023, 8:04:00 PM

This AUY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AUY. AUY was compared to 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AUY has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AUY does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. AUY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AUY was profitable.
  • In the past year AUY had a positive cash flow from operations.
AUY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAUY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for AUY are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.29%, AUY is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AUY is significantly below the industry average of 11.54%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.29%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AUY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAUY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • AUY has a better Operating Margin (17.93%) than 71.92% of its industry peers.
  • AUY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AUY's Gross Margin of 56.94% is amongst the best of the industry. AUY outperforms 89.73% of its industry peers.
  • AUY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.94%
OM growth 3Y5.08%
OM growth 5Y11.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.44%
GM growth 5Y6.17%
AUY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAUY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

3

2. AUY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AUY is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AUY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • AUY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AUY Yearly Shares OutstandingAUY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M
AUY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAUY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • AUY has an Altman-Z score of 0.60. This is a bad value and indicates that AUY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AUY has a worse Altman-Z score (0.60) than 81.51% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AUY is 36.55, which is on the high side as it means it would take AUY, 36.55 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AUY's Debt to FCF ratio of 36.55 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AUY outperforms 60.27% of its industry peers.
  • AUY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AUY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.25. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AUY outperforms 41.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 36.55
Altman-Z 0.6
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC10.41%
AUY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAUY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that AUY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AUY's Current ratio of 1.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AUY is outperformed by 84.93% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AUY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AUY has a worse Quick ratio (1.00) than 76.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1
AUY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAUY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M

2

3. AUY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AUY have decreased by -3.23% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AUY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 37.97% on average per year.
  • AUY shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.45%.
  • AUY shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.23%
EPS 3Y44.23%
EPS 5Y37.97%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.88%
Revenue growth 5Y0.04%
Sales Q2Q%-9.23%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AUY will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -44.78% on average per year.
  • AUY is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y-9.36%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AUY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAUY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
AUY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAUY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.1 0.2 0.3

3

4. AUY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.50, the valuation of AUY can be described as rather expensive.
  • AUY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AUY is cheaper than 67.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, AUY is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.51, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AUY.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AUY is valued a bit cheaper than 61.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AUY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 21.51
AUY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAUY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AUY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AUY is cheaper than 65.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AUY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 241.58
EV/EBITDA 7.69
AUY Per share dataAUY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AUY's earnings are expected to decrease with -44.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%

3

5. AUY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AUY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.06, AUY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AUY is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • AUY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As AUY did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
AUY Yearly Dividends per shareAUY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

  • AUY has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-11.67%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
AUY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAUY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M

AUY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

YAMANA GOLD INC

NYSE:AUY (3/31/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 5.83 -0.02 (-0.34%)

5.85

-0.04 (-0.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-29
Earnings (Next)04-25
Inst Owners0.03%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.63B
Revenue(TTM)1.81B
Net Income(TTM)-982.30M
Analysts73.33
Price Target6.48 (10.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-11.67%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.14%
Min EPS beat(2)16.48%
Max EPS beat(2)21.8%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)24.88%
Min EPS beat(4)16.48%
Max EPS beat(4)36.78%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.55%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.11%
PT rev (3m)42.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 21.51
P/S 3.11
P/FCF 241.58
P/OCF 10.66
P/B 1.72
P/tB 1.95
EV/EBITDA 7.69
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY4.65%
FCF(TTM)0.02
FCFY0.41%
OCF(TTM)0.55
OCFY9.38%
SpS1.88
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 4.29%
ROICexc 4.59%
ROICexgc 4.93%
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.94%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.86%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y15.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.12%
OM growth 3Y5.08%
OM growth 5Y11.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.44%
GM growth 5Y6.17%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 36.55
Debt/EBITDA 1.08
Cap/Depr 108.14%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 0.6
F-Score3
WACC10.41%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)87.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.12%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.23%
EPS 3Y44.23%
EPS 5Y37.97%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
EPS Next Y-9.36%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.88%
Revenue growth 5Y0.04%
Sales Q2Q%-9.23%
Revenue Next Year-0.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.38%
EBIT growth 3Y9.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.36%
EBIT Next Year131.94%
EBIT Next 3Y19.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.49%
FCF growth 3Y-50.33%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-28.86%
OCF growth 3Y0.4%
OCF growth 5Y2.03%

YAMANA GOLD INC / AUY FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AUY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AUY.


Can you provide the valuation status for YAMANA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for YAMANA GOLD INC?

YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AUY stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) is 19.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.72.


Is the dividend of YAMANA GOLD INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -11.67%.