YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AUY • CA98462Y1007

Current stock price

5.85 USD
-0.04 (-0.68%)
At close:
5.83 USD
-0.02 (-0.34%)
After Hours:

This AUY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AUY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AUY was profitable.
  • In the past year AUY had a positive cash flow from operations.
AUY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAUY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • AUY has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.29%, AUY is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AUY is significantly below the industry average of 58.77%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.29%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AUY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAUY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of AUY (17.93%) is better than 71.92% of its industry peers.
  • AUY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 56.94%, AUY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AUY has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.94%
OM growth 3Y5.08%
OM growth 5Y11.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.44%
GM growth 5Y6.17%
AUY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAUY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

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3

2. AUY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AUY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AUY remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AUY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AUY Yearly Shares OutstandingAUY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M
AUY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAUY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.60, we must say that AUY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AUY has a worse Altman-Z score (0.60) than 81.51% of its industry peers.
  • AUY has a debt to FCF ratio of 36.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AUY would need 36.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AUY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (36.55) than 60.27% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25 indicates that AUY is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.25, AUY is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 36.55
Altman-Z 0.6
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC10.41%
AUY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAUY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that AUY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AUY (1.44) is worse than 84.93% of its industry peers.
  • AUY has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that AUY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AUY has a worse Quick ratio (1.00) than 76.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1
AUY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAUY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. AUY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AUY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.23%.
  • Measured over the past years, AUY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 37.97% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.45% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.04% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.23%
EPS 3Y44.23%
EPS 5Y37.97%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.88%
Revenue growth 5Y0.04%
Sales Q2Q%-9.23%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -44.78% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • AUY is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y-9.36%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AUY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAUY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
AUY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAUY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.1 0.2 0.3

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3

4. AUY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.50, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AUY.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AUY is valued a bit cheaper than 67.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AUY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.77), we can say AUY is valued slightly cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.51, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AUY.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AUY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • AUY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 21.51
AUY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAUY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AUY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AUY is cheaper than 65.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AUY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 241.58
EV/EBITDA 7.69
AUY Per share dataAUY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AUY's earnings are expected to decrease with -44.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AUY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AUY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.99, AUY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • AUY's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • AUY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As AUY did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
AUY Yearly Dividends per shareAUY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

  • AUY has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-11.67%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
AUY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAUY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M

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AUY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

YAMANA GOLD INC

NYSE:AUY (3/31/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 5.83 -0.02 (-0.34%)

5.85

-0.04 (-0.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry Strength84.25
Industry Growth23.13
Earnings (Last)03-29
Earnings (Next)04-25
Inst Owners0.03%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.63B
Revenue(TTM)1.81B
Net Income(TTM)-982.30M
Analysts73.33
Price Target6.48 (10.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-11.67%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.14%
Min EPS beat(2)16.48%
Max EPS beat(2)21.8%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)24.88%
Min EPS beat(4)16.48%
Max EPS beat(4)36.78%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.55%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.11%
PT rev (3m)42.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.5
Fwd PE 21.51
P/S 3.11
P/FCF 241.58
P/OCF 10.66
P/B 1.72
P/tB 1.95
EV/EBITDA 7.69
EPS(TTM)0.3
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY4.65%
FCF(TTM)0.02
FCFY0.41%
OCF(TTM)0.55
OCFY9.38%
SpS1.88
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 4.29%
ROICexc 4.59%
ROICexgc 4.93%
OM 17.93%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.94%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.86%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y15.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.08%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.12%
OM growth 3Y5.08%
OM growth 5Y11.32%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.44%
GM growth 5Y6.17%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.25
Debt/FCF 36.55
Debt/EBITDA 1.08
Cap/Depr 108.14%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 0.6
F-Score3
WACC10.41%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)87.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.12%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.23%
EPS 3Y44.23%
EPS 5Y37.97%
EPS Q2Q%-30%
EPS Next Y-9.36%
EPS Next 2Y-5.84%
EPS Next 3Y-44.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.45%
Revenue growth 3Y3.88%
Revenue growth 5Y0.04%
Sales Q2Q%-9.23%
Revenue Next Year-0.27%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.38%
EBIT growth 3Y9.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.36%
EBIT Next Year131.94%
EBIT Next 3Y19.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.49%
FCF growth 3Y-50.33%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-28.86%
OCF growth 3Y0.4%
OCF growth 5Y2.03%

YAMANA GOLD INC / AUY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AUY stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AUY.


Can you provide the valuation status for YAMANA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AUY stock?

YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is YAMANA GOLD INC?

The financial health rating of YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AUY stock?

The dividend rating of YAMANA GOLD INC (AUY) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -11.67%.