AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ASTS • US00217D1000

Current stock price

96.06 USD
+9.08 (+10.44%)
At close:
96 USD
-0.06 (-0.06%)
After Hours:

This ASTS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. ASTS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASTS has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year ASTS has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ASTS always reported negative net income.
  • ASTS had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ASTS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -200M -400M -600M -800M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ASTS (-6.82%) is worse than 75.68% of its industry peers.
  • ASTS has a Return On Equity of -18.57%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASTS underperforms 64.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.82%
ROE -18.57%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-20.84%
ROA(5y)-15.32%
ROE(3y)-56.55%
ROE(5y)-44.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

  • ASTS's Gross Margin of 50.34% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTS outperforms 51.35% of its industry peers.
  • ASTS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ASTS does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 50.34%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.7%
GM growth 5Y0.44%
ASTS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2K -4K -6K

5

2. ASTS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASTS does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • ASTS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ASTS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ASTS is higher compared to a year ago.
ASTS Yearly Shares OutstandingASTS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
ASTS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 6.43 indicates that ASTS is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ASTS's Altman-Z score of 6.43 is amongst the best of the industry. ASTS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • ASTS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTS (1.20) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 6.43
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.69%
ASTS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 16.35 indicates that ASTS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ASTS (16.35) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • ASTS has a Quick Ratio of 16.27. This indicates that ASTS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 16.27, ASTS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 16.35
Quick Ratio 16.27
ASTS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

8

3. ASTS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 32.31% over the past year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 1505.21% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, ASTS shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 64.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1505.21%
Revenue growth 3Y72.44%
Revenue growth 5Y64.04%
Sales Q2Q%2731.33%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 88.52% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ASTS will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 114.52% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y39.5%
EPS Next 3Y93.99%
EPS Next 5Y88.52%
Revenue Next Year204.19%
Revenue Next 2Y280.81%
Revenue Next 3Y226.35%
Revenue Next 5Y114.52%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
ASTS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 10 20 30 40

1

4. ASTS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTS. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTS Per share dataASTS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ASTS's earnings are expected to grow with 93.99% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.5%
EPS Next 3Y93.99%

0

5. ASTS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ASTS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ASTS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AST SPACEMOBILE INC

NASDAQ:ASTS (3/25/2026, 5:40:03 PM)

After market: 96 -0.06 (-0.06%)

96.06

+9.08 (+10.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupTelecommunication Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Telecommunication Services
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners43.07%
Inst Owner Change12.28%
Ins Owners0.86%
Ins Owner Change0.58%
Market Cap36.70B
Revenue(TTM)70.92M
Net Income(TTM)-341.94M
Analysts70
Price Target88.59 (-7.78%)
Short Float %17.58%
Short Ratio2.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-78.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-97.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-59.31%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-63.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-97.96%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.86%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.03%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-65.14%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)29.52%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-41.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-84.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)29.52%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-67.35%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.14%
PT rev (3m)18.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-39.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-25.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-33.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 517.45
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 19.93
P/tB 22.99
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.32
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.89
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.12
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.19
OCFYN/A
SpS0.19
BVpS4.82
TBVpS4.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.82%
ROE -18.57%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 50.34%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-20.84%
ROA(5y)-15.32%
ROE(3y)-56.55%
ROE(5y)-44.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.7%
GM growth 5Y0.44%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.01
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 2193.54%
Cap/Sales 1580.89%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 16.35
Quick Ratio 16.27
Altman-Z 6.43
F-Score5
WACC8.69%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)895.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)1157.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.44%
EPS Next Y32.5%
EPS Next 2Y39.5%
EPS Next 3Y93.99%
EPS Next 5Y88.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1505.21%
Revenue growth 3Y72.44%
Revenue growth 5Y64.04%
Sales Q2Q%2731.33%
Revenue Next Year204.19%
Revenue Next 2Y280.81%
Revenue Next 3Y226.35%
Revenue Next 5Y114.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year51.98%
EBIT Next 3Y88.77%
EBIT Next 5Y52.1%
FCF growth 1Y-297.19%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y43.3%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AST SPACEMOBILE INC / ASTS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ASTS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ASTS.


What is the valuation status of AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS) stock?

AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for ASTS stock?

The financial health rating of AST SPACEMOBILE INC (ASTS) is 5 / 10.