ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ASTL • CA0156581070

Current stock price

5.49 CAD
-0.26 (-4.52%)
Last:

This ASTL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. ASTL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ASTL (-28.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of ASTL (-78.53%) is worse than 62.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

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2

2. ASTL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • ASTL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
ASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.71, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.71, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84. This is a neutral value indicating ASTL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • ASTL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.84. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASTL underperforms 73.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.71
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.05%
ASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ASTL (2.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ASTL has a worse Quick ratio (0.76) than 65.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
ASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ASTL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1370.79%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1370.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3000%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-26.68%

3.2 Future

  • ASTL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 39.75% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y54.45%
EPS Next 2Y39.75%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-24.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.41%
Revenue Next 3Y21.47%
Revenue Next 5Y14.06%

3.3 Evolution

ASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 -5 10

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1

4. ASTL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL.CA Per share dataASTL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 39.75% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.75%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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4

5. ASTL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.81%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.48, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 99.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.81%

5.2 History

  • ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-3.22%
EPS Next 2Y39.75%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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ASTL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (3/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

5.49

-0.26 (-4.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners76.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.11%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap576.07M
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)-686.70M
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.19 (158.47%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.81%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)13.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)120.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)184.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-297.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.75%
EPS NY rev (3m)-160.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.26
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.66
P/tB 0.66
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-5.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.37
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-5.25
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.33
OCFYN/A
SpS21.17
BVpS8.33
TBVpS8.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 272.76%
Cap/Sales 18.48%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 0.71
F-Score2
WACC11.05%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1370.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3000%
EPS Next Y54.45%
EPS Next 2Y39.75%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-26.68%
Revenue Next Year-24.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.41%
Revenue Next 3Y21.47%
Revenue Next 5Y14.06%
EBIT growth 1Y-156.81%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-261.42%
EBIT Next 3Y10.52%
EBIT Next 5Y26.59%
FCF growth 1Y-112.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-251.35%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.


What is the valuation status of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ASTL stock?

The dividend rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3.22%.