ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

Taking everything into account, ASTL scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ASTL was compared to 818 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ASTL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.

ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.

In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.

Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

ASTL has a Return On Assets of -10.46%. This is in the better half of the industry: ASTL outperforms 60.34% of its industry peers.

The Return On Equity of ASTL (-23.83%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.46%
ROE	-23.83%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding

Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.83, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.83, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.40% of the companies in the same industry.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.48) is worse than 72.38% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.48
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	0.83

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC7.54%

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.46. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

ASTL's Current ratio of 2.46 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 56.57% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	2.46
Quick Ratio	0.98

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2487.20% in the last year.

ASTL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.22% yearly.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.

The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.71% on average over the past years.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.54% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.03% on average over the next years.

EPS Next Y-898.62%

EPS Next 2Y-52.43%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-19.62%

Revenue Next 2Y-1.63%

Revenue Next 3Y5.03%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-52.43%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.25%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.

The stock price of ASTL dropped by -51.21% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 9.91. ASTL pays more dividend than 98.78% of the companies in the same industry.

Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, ASTL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.25%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.

DP-7.27%

EPS Next 2Y-52.43%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (10/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

4.62

+0.15 (+3.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners76.87%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners4.1%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap484.78M

Analysts43.33

Price Target14.23 (208.01%)

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.25%

Yearly Dividend0.27

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.27%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%

Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%

Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%

Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)-19.37%

PT rev (3m)-19.37%

EPS NQ rev (1m)13.59%

EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.16%

EPS NY rev (1m)-6.29%

EPS NY rev (3m)-62.39%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.51%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.89%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.15%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.56%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.21
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	173.13
P/B	0.37
P/tB	0.38
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-3

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.13

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-4.04

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)0.03

OCFY0.58%

SpS21.89

BVpS12.32

TBVpS12.32

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.46%
ROE	-23.83%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score2

Asset Turnover0.78

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.48
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	297.21%
Cap/Sales	18.55%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	2.46
Quick Ratio	0.98
Altman-Z	0.83

F-Score2

WACC7.54%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-898.62%

EPS Next 2Y-52.43%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-19.62%

Revenue Next 2Y-1.63%

Revenue Next 3Y5.03%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-3676.84%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-234.3%

EBIT Next 3Y31%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-37.47%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y109.09%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

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