ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

Taking everything into account, ASTL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ASTL was compared to 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, ASTL is valued expensive at the moment.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.

In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.

Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of ASTL (-9.83%) is better than 60.73% of its industry peers.

ASTL has a Return On Equity of -21.52%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTL outperforms 53.45% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

The number of shares outstanding for ASTL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

The debt/assets ratio for ASTL is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

With a Altman-Z score value of 1.04, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.43% of the companies in the same industry.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.42) is worse than 72.15% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.04

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC7.82%

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 3.31. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.31, ASTL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.37% of the companies in the same industry.

A Quick Ratio of 1.66 indicates that ASTL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a Quick ratio of 1.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASTL outperforms 53.83% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -2487.20%.

Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.22% on average per year.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.71% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.54% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

ASTL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.49% yearly.

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-15.89%

Revenue Next 2Y3.09%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

ASTL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.24.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ASTL is cheaper than 86.20% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 34.04.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	40.24

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.65%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.

The stock price of ASTL dropped by -25.12% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 16.93. ASTL pays more dividend than 98.62% of the companies in the same industry.

Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, ASTL pays a better dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.65%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.

DP-7.17%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (8/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.26

-0.22 (-3.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners72.51%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners4.79%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap656.86M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.65%

Yearly Dividend0.27

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.17%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%

Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%

Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%

Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)0%

EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.7%

EPS NQ rev (3m)11.11%

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)-58.98%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.8%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.49%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.32%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-11.86%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	40.24
P/S	0.28
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.46
P/tB	0.46
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-3

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.16

Fwd EY2.48%

FCF(TTM)-3.84

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.13

OCFYN/A

SpS22

BVpS13.47

TBVpS13.47

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score1

Asset Turnover0.75

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	278.81%
Cap/Sales	16.88%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66
Altman-Z	1.04

F-Score1

WACC7.82%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-591.78%

EPS Next 2Y-38.4%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-15.89%

Revenue Next 2Y3.09%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-4335.79%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-162.69%

EBIT Next 3Y44.84%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-30.81%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y56.49%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

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