ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ASTL • CA0156581070

Current stock price

6.46 CAD
+0.17 (+2.7%)
Last:

This ASTL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. ASTL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ASTL (-46.55%) is worse than 62.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of ASTL (-200.55%) is worse than 71.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -46.55%
ROE -200.55%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-10.15%
ROA(5y)-0.7%
ROE(3y)-57.71%
ROE(5y)-32.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

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2

2. ASTL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ASTL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • ASTL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ASTL is higher compared to a year ago.
ASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M
ASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.11, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.11, ASTL is not doing good in the industry: 60.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.71. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • ASTL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASTL underperforms 75.28% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.11
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.64%
ASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.18 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • ASTL has a Current ratio (2.18) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ASTL has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of ASTL (1.03) is worse than 60.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.18
Quick Ratio 1.03
ASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. ASTL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -1370.79% in the last year.
  • ASTL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.27%.
  • ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1370.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3000%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-18.17%
Revenue growth 5Y1.28%
Sales Q2Q%-26.68%

3.2 Future

  • ASTL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 31.24% yearly.
  • ASTL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y43.67%
EPS Next 2Y36.16%
EPS Next 3Y31.24%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y21.47%
Revenue Next 5Y14.06%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
ASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 -5 10

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1

4. ASTL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL.CA Per share dataASTL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 31.24% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y36.16%
EPS Next 3Y31.24%

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4

5. ASTL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.19%, ASTL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.86, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 99.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, ASTL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%

5.2 History

  • ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-1.5%
EPS Next 2Y36.16%
EPS Next 3Y31.24%
ASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

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ASTL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (4/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

6.46

+0.17 (+2.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners76.82%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap677.85M
Revenue(TTM)2.09B
Net Income(TTM)-984.90M
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.19 (119.66%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-1.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-162.04%
Max EPS beat(2)120.08%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-44.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-162.04%
Max EPS beat(4)120.08%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)38.12%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-65.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.32
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.38
P/tB 1.38
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-5.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.93
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.76
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.63
OCFYN/A
SpS19.88
BVpS4.68
TBVpS4.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -46.55%
ROE -200.55%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-10.15%
ROA(5y)-0.7%
ROE(3y)-57.71%
ROE(5y)-32.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 92.3%
Cap/Sales 15.75%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.18
Quick Ratio 1.03
Altman-Z 0.11
F-Score2
WACC11.64%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)289.47%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.73%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1370.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-3000%
EPS Next Y43.67%
EPS Next 2Y36.16%
EPS Next 3Y31.24%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-18.17%
Revenue growth 5Y1.28%
Sales Q2Q%-26.68%
Revenue Next Year-22.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y21.47%
Revenue Next 5Y14.06%
EBIT growth 1Y-153.44%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year83.28%
EBIT Next 3Y37.21%
EBIT Next 5Y21.83%
FCF growth 1Y-102.15%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-122.41%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.


What is the valuation status of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ASTL stock?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for ASTL stock?

The financial health rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is expected to grow by 43.67% in the next year.