ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - TSX:ASTL - CA0156581070 - Common Stock
5.86 CAD
+0.27 (+4.83%)
ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 792 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. ASTL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ASTL's Return On Assets of -10.46% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 59.34% of its industry peers.
ASTL has a Return On Equity (-23.83%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -10.46% | ||
| ROE | -23.83% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for ASTL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ASTL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASTL's Altman-Z score of 0.87 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 43.06% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.48) is worse than 73.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.87 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.46 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
ASTL has a Current ratio (2.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ASTL (0.98) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2487.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.22% on average per year.
ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.
ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.71% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.54% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.03% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.56%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.97, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 98.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, ASTL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
5.2 History
ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-7.27%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
TSX:ASTL (10/31/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
5.86
+0.27 (+4.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners76.87%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap614.89M
Revenue(TTM)2.80B
Net Income(TTM)-308200000
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.27 (143.52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-7.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-19.13%
PT rev (3m)-19.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-15.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 219.6 | ||
| P/B | 0.48 | ||
| P/tB | 0.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-3
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.87
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.03
OCFY0.46%
SpS21.89
BVpS12.32
TBVpS12.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -10.46% | ||
| ROE | -23.83% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 297.21% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 18.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.87 |
F-Score2
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3676.84%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-234.3%
EBIT Next 3Y31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-37.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y109.09%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%
ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is expected to decline by -955.85% in the next year.