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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:ASTL - CA0156581070 - Common Stock

5.97 CAD
+0.01 (+0.17%)
Last: 10/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 805 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. ASTL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.
In the past year ASTL had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.
ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

ASTL has a Return On Assets (-10.46%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ASTL's Return On Equity of -23.83% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 52.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.46%
ROE -23.83%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ASTL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding
ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASTL has a Altman-Z score (0.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.48, ASTL is doing worse than 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.88
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.47%
ASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.46. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ASTL (2.46) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.98, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.98
ASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2487.20% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.62% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.54% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.03% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 10

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year ASTL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL.CA Per share dataASTL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.64. ASTL pays more dividend than 98.14% of the companies in the same industry.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.38%

5.2 History

ASTL has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-7.27%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
ASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (10/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

5.97

+0.01 (+0.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners76.87%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap626.43M
Revenue(TTM)2.80B
Net Income(TTM)-308200000
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.23 (138.36%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.38%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-7.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-19.37%
PT rev (3m)-19.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-74.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-10.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.27
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 223.73
P/B 0.48
P/tB 0.48
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-3
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.87
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.03
OCFY0.45%
SpS21.89
BVpS12.32
TBVpS12.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.46%
ROE -23.83%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 297.21%
Cap/Sales 18.55%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 0.88
F-Score2
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%20.51%
EPS Next Y-955.85%
EPS Next 2Y-156.31%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-4.08%
Revenue Next Year-21.5%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.68%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3676.84%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-234.3%
EBIT Next 3Y31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-37.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y109.09%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is expected to decline by -955.85% in the next year.