ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:ASTL • CA0156581070

5.83 CAD
-1.04 (-15.14%)
Last: Feb 12, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 812 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ASTL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
ASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ASTL (-28.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -78.53%, ASTL is not doing good in the industry: 61.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASTL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ASTL has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASTL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingASTL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASTL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.72, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ASTL's Altman-Z score of 0.72 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 41.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 indicates that ASTL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.84, ASTL is not doing good in the industry: 73.40% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.72
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.48%
ASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASTL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ASTL's Current ratio of 2.29 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 54.31% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.76, ASTL is doing worse than 62.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
ASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASTL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1858.57%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • ASTL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.69%.
  • Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%

3.2 Future

  • ASTL is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -38.62% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.66% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1780.59%
EPS Next 2Y-184.23%
EPS Next 3Y-38.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-25.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-23.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.85%
Revenue Next 5Y7.66%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B 4B
ASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASTL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 -5 10

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASTL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASTL.CA Per share dataASTL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to decrease with -38.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-184.23%
EPS Next 3Y-38.62%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.40. ASTL pays more dividend than 97.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ASTL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.79.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%

5.2 History

  • ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareASTL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-3.22%
EPS Next 2Y-184.23%
EPS Next 3Y-38.62%
ASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASTL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (2/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

5.83

-1.04 (-15.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)10-29
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners77.83%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap611.74M
Revenue(TTM)2.22B
Net Income(TTM)-686.70M
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.19 (143.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)13.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)120.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)184.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-294.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-122.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-156.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-118.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-24.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-24.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.28
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.7
P/tB 0.7
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2.49
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-5.25
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.33
OCFYN/A
SpS21.17
BVpS8.33
TBVpS8.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -28.19%
ROE -78.53%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 272.76%
Cap/Sales 18.48%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.29
Quick Ratio 0.76
Altman-Z 0.72
F-Score2
WACC9.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
EPS Next Y-1780.59%
EPS Next 2Y-184.23%
EPS Next 3Y-38.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%
Revenue Next Year-25.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-23.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.85%
Revenue Next 5Y7.66%
EBIT growth 1Y-156.81%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-261.44%
EBIT Next 3Y8.12%
EBIT Next 5Y26.78%
FCF growth 1Y-112.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-251.35%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.


What is the valuation status of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ASTL stock?

The dividend rating of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -3.22%.