ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ASTL - CA0156581070 - Common Stock
5.14 CAD
+0.29 (+5.98%)
Taking everything into account, ASTL scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ASTL was compared to 796 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, ASTL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ASTL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years ASTL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ASTL (-28.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ASTL's Return On Equity of -78.53% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 62.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -28.19% | ||
| ROE | -78.53% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ASTL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ASTL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.69, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASTL has a Altman-Z score (0.69) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 indicates that ASTL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
ASTL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.84 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL is outperformed by 75.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.69 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.66%
2.3 Liquidity
ASTL has a Current Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that ASTL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ASTL has a Current ratio (2.29) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.76, ASTL is not doing good in the industry: 63.94% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1858.57%.
ASTL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.22% yearly.
The Revenue for ASTL has decreased by -10.69% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.71% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%
3.2 Future
ASTL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.54% yearly.
ASTL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.03% yearly.
EPS Next Y-870.01%
EPS Next 2Y-159.69%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.57%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-159.69%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.15%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of ASTL has falen by -23.05%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
ASTL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.10. ASTL pays more dividend than 98.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, ASTL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.15% |
5.2 History
ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-3.22%
EPS Next 2Y-159.69%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
TSX:ASTL (11/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
5.14
+0.29 (+5.98%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners76.87%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap539.34M
Revenue(TTM)2.22B
Net Income(TTM)-686.70M
Analysts43.33
Price Target14.27 (177.63%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.15% |
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-3.22%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)13.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(2)120.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)184.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-93.55%
Max EPS beat(4)753.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.32%
PT rev (3m)-19.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-92%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-10.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-18.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.62 | ||
| P/tB | 0.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-2.21
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.94
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-5.25
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.33
OCFYN/A
SpS21.17
BVpS8.33
TBVpS8.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -28.19% | ||
| ROE | -78.53% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.98%
ROA(5y)6.68%
ROE(3y)27.2%
ROE(5y)-4.17%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)28.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y49.72%
OM growth 5Y-11.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y25.82%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 272.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 18.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.69 |
F-Score2
WACC7.66%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1858.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y22.22%
EPS Q2Q%121.79%
EPS Next Y-870.01%
EPS Next 2Y-159.69%
EPS Next 3Y15.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.69%
Revenue growth 3Y15.92%
Revenue growth 5Y0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-14.87%
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.57%
Revenue Next 3Y5.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-156.81%
EBIT growth 3Y73.56%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%
EBIT Next Year-234.3%
EBIT Next 3Y31%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-112.47%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-251.35%
OCF growth 3Y231.43%
OCF growth 5Y1.35%
ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC / ASTL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASTL.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) is expected to decline by -870.01% in the next year.