ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC(TSX:ASTL) stock Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Rating

Overall ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated ASTL against 801 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASTL have multiple concerns. ASTL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.

In the past year ASTL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ASTL reported negative net income in multiple years.

ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.83%, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.55% of the companies in the same industry.

With a Return On Equity value of -21.52%, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.56% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

ASTL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

ASTL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

Compared to 1 year ago, ASTL has more shares outstanding

ASTL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

ASTL has an Altman-Z score of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that ASTL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.

With a Altman-Z score value of 1.08, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.69% of the companies in the same industry.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42 indicates that ASTL is not too dependend on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of ASTL (0.42) is worse than 71.04% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	1.08

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.14%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.31 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

ASTL has a Current ratio of 3.31. This is in the better half of the industry: ASTL outperforms 66.79% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 1.66 indicates that ASTL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

ASTL's Quick ratio of 1.66 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 54.18% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASTL have decreased strongly by -2216.65% in the last year.

The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.62%.

Measured over the past years, ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.71% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 56.12% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

ASTL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.77% yearly.

EPS Next Y-491.43%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-11.35%

Revenue Next 2Y2.75%

Revenue Next 3Y5.77%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ASTL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.23 indicates a correct valuation of ASTL.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ASTL is valued cheaper than 90.64% of the companies in the same industry.

ASTL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.76.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	14.23

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 56.12% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.56%, ASTL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.

In the last 3 months the price of ASTL has falen by -31.35%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.

Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.83, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 98.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.

Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, ASTL pays a better dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.56%

5.2 History

ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years1

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of ASTL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. ASTL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.

DP-7.17%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (5/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

7.4

-0.04 (-0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)04-29 2025-04-29/amc

Earnings (Next)06-19 2025-06-19/amc

Inst Owners77.1%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners4.77%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap776.48M

AnalystsN/A

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.56%

Yearly Dividend0.27

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.17%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years1

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-46.12%

Min EPS beat(2)-49.81%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)107.22%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)0.42%

Min Revenue beat(2)-6.88%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%

Min Revenue beat(4)-6.88%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)0%

EPS NQ rev (1m)0%

EPS NQ rev (3m)0%

EPS NY rev (1m)-26.54%

EPS NY rev (3m)32.33%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.85%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.1%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.38%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	14.23
P/S	0.33
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	N/A
P/B	0.55
P/tB	0.55
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-2.66

EYN/A

EPS(NY)0.52

Fwd EY7.03%

FCF(TTM)-3.86

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)-0.13

OCFYN/A

SpS22.1

BVpS13.54

TBVpS13.53

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-9.83%
ROE	-21.52%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score1

Asset Turnover0.75

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.42
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	278.81%
Cap/Sales	16.88%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	3.31
Quick Ratio	1.66
Altman-Z	1.08

F-Score1

WACC8.14%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2216.65%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-491.43%

EPS Next 2Y12.64%

EPS Next 3Y56.12%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-11.35%

Revenue Next 2Y2.75%

Revenue Next 3Y5.77%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-4335.79%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-78.5%

EBIT Next 3Y44.84%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-30.81%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y56.49%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

More info and screens