ASTL Fundamental Analysis - ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

Fundamental Rating

ASTL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 803 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ASTL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ASTL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ASTL has reported negative net income.

ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.

In multiple years ASTL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.

ASTL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of ASTL (-10.46%) is better than 60.65% of its industry peers.

ASTL has a Return On Equity (-23.83%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.46%
ROE	-23.83%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ASTL has grown nicely.

ASTL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ASTL so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASTL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

The number of shares outstanding for ASTL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.

The debt/assets ratio for ASTL is higher compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.91, we must say that ASTL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

ASTL's Altman-Z score of 0.91 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASTL outperforms 46.20% of its industry peers.

ASTL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.48, ASTL is doing worse than 73.47% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.48
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	0.91

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.73%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.46 indicates that ASTL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.46, ASTL is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.41% of the companies in the same industry.

A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that ASTL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

With a Quick ratio value of 0.98, ASTL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.84% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	2.46
Quick Ratio	0.98

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

ASTL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -2487.20%.

The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.22% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth

The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.62% in the past year.

ASTL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.71% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ASTL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.54% on average per year.

ASTL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.49% yearly.

EPS Next Y-851.35%

EPS Next 2Y-67.59%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-16.14%

Revenue Next 2Y3.62%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASTL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASTL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.54% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-67.59%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASTL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.25%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.

Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 15.99, ASTL pays a better dividend. On top of this ASTL pays more dividend than 97.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.

ASTL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	2.25%

5.2 History

ASTL has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

ASTL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.

DP-7.27%

EPS Next 2Y-67.59%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

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ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC

TSX:ASTL (9/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

7.11

+0.25 (+3.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryMetals & Mining

Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners74.1%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins Owners4.12%

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap746.05M

Analysts43.33

Price TargetN/A

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	2.25%

Yearly Dividend0.27

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP-7.27%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-Date05-13 2025-05-13 (0.05)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)0

Avg EPS beat(2)-67.99%

Min EPS beat(2)-93.55%

Max EPS beat(2)-42.43%

EPS beat(4)1

Avg EPS beat(4)96.29%

Min EPS beat(4)-232.48%

Max EPS beat(4)753.6%

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)1

Avg Revenue beat(2)2.72%

Min Revenue beat(2)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(2)7.73%

Revenue beat(4)2

Avg Revenue beat(4)2.69%

Min Revenue beat(4)-2.29%

Max Revenue beat(4)7.73%

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)0%

EPS NQ rev (1m)-26.39%

EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.35%

EPS NY rev (1m)-52.78%

EPS NY rev (3m)-91.95%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.89%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.43%

Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.3%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.4%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S	0.32
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	266.45
P/B	0.58
P/tB	0.58
EV/EBITDA	N/A

EPS(TTM)-3

EYN/A

EPS(NY)-0.33

Fwd EYN/A

FCF(TTM)-4.04

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)0.03

OCFY0.38%

SpS21.89

BVpS12.32

TBVpS12.32

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-10.46%
ROE	-23.83%
ROCE	N/A
ROIC	N/A
ROICexc	N/A
ROICexgc	N/A
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)15.98%

ROA(5y)6.68%

ROE(3y)27.2%

ROE(5y)-4.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)N/A

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)N/A

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)28.88%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5YN/A

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5YN/A

OM growth 3Y49.72%

OM growth 5Y-11.88%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y25.82%

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

F-Score2

Asset Turnover0.78

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.48
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	N/A
Cap/Depr	297.21%
Cap/Sales	18.55%
Interest Coverage	N/A
Cash Conversion	N/A
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	2.46
Quick Ratio	0.98
Altman-Z	0.91

F-Score2

WACC8.73%

ROIC/WACCN/A

Cap/Depr(3y)322.39%

Cap/Depr(5y)227.68%

Cap/Sales(3y)11.3%

Cap/Sales(5y)8.74%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-2487.2%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y22.22%

EPS Q2Q%20.51%

EPS Next Y-851.35%

EPS Next 2Y-67.59%

EPS Next 3Y15.54%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.62%

Revenue growth 3Y15.92%

Revenue growth 5Y0.71%

Sales Q2Q%-4.08%

Revenue Next Year-16.14%

Revenue Next 2Y3.62%

Revenue Next 3Y6.49%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-3676.84%

EBIT growth 3Y73.56%

EBIT growth 5Y-11.25%

EBIT Next Year-205.23%

EBIT Next 3Y40.74%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-37.47%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y109.09%

OCF growth 3Y231.43%

OCF growth 5Y1.35%

ALGOMA STEEL GROUP INC (ASTL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

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