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ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ASPU - Nasdaq - US04530L2034 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.1058  -0.02 (-15.7%)

After market: 0.0861 -0.02 (-18.62%)

Fundamental Rating

1

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to ASPU. ASPU was compared to 73 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. ASPU may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ASPU does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ASPU had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ASPU has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ASPU always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years ASPU reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
ASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

ASPU has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of ASPU (53.66%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASPU has declined.
ASPU does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
ASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASPU does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
ASPU has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ASPU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
ASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.47, we must say that ASPU is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASPU's Altman-Z score of -0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASPU is outperformed by 78.79% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates that ASPU is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.40, ASPU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.47
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.62%
ASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

ASPU has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that ASPU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ASPU has a Current ratio of 1.62. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASPU outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
ASPU has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that ASPU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.62, ASPU is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
ASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ASPU have decreased strongly by -56.52% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, ASPU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.34% in the last year.
ASPU shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 40.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%

3.2 Future

ASPU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.10% yearly.
ASPU is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -16.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
ASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASPU. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASPU. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASPU Per share dataASPU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ASPU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
In the last 3 months the price of ASPU has falen by -65.87%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
ASPU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.74.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.26, ASPU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

ASPU does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -5M -10M -15M

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ASPEN GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASPU (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.0861 -0.02 (-18.62%)

0.1058

-0.02 (-15.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-14 2023-03-14
Earnings (Next)07-17 2023-07-17
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.68M
Analysts80
Price Target1.53 (1346.12%)
Short Float %0.05%
Short Ratio0.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.86%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-27.19%
Max EPS beat(4)24.59%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.62%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.36%
PT rev (3m)32.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.36
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.24
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.41
OCFYN/A
SpS2.94
BVpS1.47
TBVpS0.94
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 65.24%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z -0.47
F-Score1
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)215.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-8.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year98.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-80.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A