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ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:ASPU - US04530L2034 - Common Stock

0.1058 USD
-0.02 (-15.7%)
Last: 3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
0.0861 USD
-0.02 (-18.62%)
After Hours: 3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

1

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to ASPU. ASPU was compared to 74 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ASPU have multiple concerns. ASPU is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ASPU had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ASPU has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
ASPU had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years ASPU reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
ASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for ASPU are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

ASPU has a Gross Margin of 53.66%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASPU outperforms 57.58% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASPU has declined.
ASPU does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
ASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ASPU does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, ASPU has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ASPU has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
ASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.2 Solvency

ASPU has an Altman-Z score of -0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that ASPU is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ASPU has a Altman-Z score of -0.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASPU underperforms 78.79% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates that ASPU is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ASPU (0.40) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.47
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.62%
ASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ASPU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ASPU's Current ratio of 1.62 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASPU outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
ASPU has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that ASPU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ASPU's Quick ratio of 1.62 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASPU outperforms 57.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
ASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ASPU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -56.52%.
Looking at the last year, ASPU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.34% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 40.02% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%

3.2 Future

ASPU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.10% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ASPU will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -16.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
ASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ASPU reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASPU. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASPU Per share dataASPU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%, ASPU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of ASPU has falen by -65.87%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
ASPU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.05.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, ASPU's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

ASPU is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -5M -10M -15M

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ASPEN GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASPU (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.0861 -0.02 (-18.62%)

0.1058

-0.02 (-15.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-14 2023-03-14
Earnings (Next)07-17 2023-07-17
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.68M
Analysts80
Price Target1.53 (1346.12%)
Short Float %0.06%
Short Ratio0.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.86%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-27.19%
Max EPS beat(4)24.59%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.62%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.36%
PT rev (3m)32.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.36
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.24
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.41
OCFYN/A
SpS2.94
BVpS1.47
TBVpS0.94
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 65.24%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z -0.47
F-Score1
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)215.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-8.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year98.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-80.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A