ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ASPU • US04530L2034

0.1058 USD
-0.02 (-15.7%)
At close: Mar 30, 2023
0.0861 USD
-0.02 (-18.62%)
After Hours: 3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

1

ASPU gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 75 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. ASPU has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ASPU has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ASPU had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ASPU has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
ASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for ASPU are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ASPU has a Gross Margin of 53.66%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASPU outperforms 57.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASPU has declined.
  • ASPU does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
ASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASPU does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ASPU has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ASPU has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
ASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.47, we must say that ASPU is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of ASPU (-0.47) is worse than 78.79% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates that ASPU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ASPU (0.40) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.47
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.62%
ASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ASPU has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that ASPU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ASPU has a Current ratio (1.62) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ASPU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.62, ASPU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
ASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ASPU have decreased strongly by -56.52% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.34% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ASPU shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 40.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%

3.2 Future

  • ASPU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.10% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ASPU will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -16.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
ASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASPU reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASPU. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASPU Per share dataASPU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ASPU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • In the last 3 months the price of ASPU has falen by -65.87%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.41, ASPU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • ASPU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • ASPU is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -5M -10M -15M

ASPEN GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASPU (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.0861 -0.02 (-18.62%)

0.1058

-0.02 (-15.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-14
Earnings (Next)07-17
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.68M
Revenue(TTM)74.29M
Net Income(TTM)-11.87M
Analysts80
Price Target1.53 (1346.12%)
Short Float %0.02%
Short Ratio0
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.86%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-27.19%
Max EPS beat(4)24.59%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.62%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.36%
PT rev (3m)32.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.36
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.24
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.41
OCFYN/A
SpS2.94
BVpS1.47
TBVpS0.94
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 65.24%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z -0.47
F-Score1
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)215.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-8.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year98.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-80.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ASPEN GROUP INC / ASPU FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ASPU stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASPU.


What is the valuation status of ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ASPU stock?

ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.