ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ASPU • US04530L2034

Current stock price

0.1058 USD
-0.02 (-15.7%)
At close:
0.0861 USD
-0.02 (-18.62%)
After Hours:

This ASPU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. ASPU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ASPU has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year ASPU has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
ASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFASPU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for ASPU are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICASPU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

  • ASPU has a Gross Margin (53.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASPU has declined.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for ASPU so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
ASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsASPU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40 60

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2

2. ASPU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ASPU does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • ASPU has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ASPU has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingASPU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
ASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsASPU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.47, we must say that ASPU is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ASPU has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.47) than 78.79% of its industry peers.
  • ASPU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • ASPU has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.40) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.47
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.62%
ASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFASPU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ASPU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ASPU's Current ratio of 1.62 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ASPU outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ASPU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ASPU has a Quick ratio of 1.62. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ASPU outperforms 57.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
ASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesASPU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ASPU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ASPU have decreased strongly by -56.52% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, ASPU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.34% in the last year.
  • ASPU shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 40.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ASPU will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.10% on average per year.
  • ASPU is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -16.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesASPU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
ASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesASPU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5

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0

4. ASPU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ASPU reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year ASPU is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsASPU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ASPU Per share dataASPU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. ASPU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ASPU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
  • The stock price of ASPU dropped by -65.87% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • ASPU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.44.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, ASPU is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • ASPU is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
ASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendASPU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -5M -10M -15M

More info and screens

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ASPU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ASPEN GROUP INC

NASDAQ:ASPU (3/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 0.0861 -0.02 (-18.62%)

0.1058

-0.02 (-15.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)03-14
Earnings (Next)07-17
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.68M
Revenue(TTM)74.29M
Net Income(TTM)-11.87M
Analysts80
Price Target1.53 (1346.12%)
Short Float %0.02%
Short Ratio0
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.86%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-27.19%
Max EPS beat(4)24.59%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.62%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.62%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)32.36%
PT rev (3m)32.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.36
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.24
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.41
OCFYN/A
SpS2.94
BVpS1.47
TBVpS0.94
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.66%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.62%
GM growth 5Y-3.48%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 65.24%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 1.62
Altman-Z -0.47
F-Score1
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)215.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.52%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y-12.93%
EPS Next 2Y6.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y31.11%
Revenue growth 5Y40.02%
Sales Q2Q%-9.85%
Revenue Next Year-15.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.85%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-8.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year98.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-80.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

ASPEN GROUP INC / ASPU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ASPU stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ASPU.


What is the valuation status of ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ASPU stock?

ASPEN GROUP INC (ASPU) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.