ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ASPN • US04523Y1055
Current stock price
3.06 USD
-0.17 (-5.26%)
At close:
3.03 USD
-0.03 (-0.98%)
Pre-Market:
This ASPN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ASPN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ASPN had negative earnings in the past year.
- ASPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years ASPN reported 4 times negative net income.
- ASPN had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ASPN (-62.12%) is worse than 97.59% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of ASPN (-99.85%) is worse than 87.95% of its industry peers.
- ASPN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) than 61.45% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -62.12% | ||
| ROE | -99.85% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% |
ROA(3y)-33.6%
ROA(5y)-26.79%
ROE(3y)-57.54%
ROE(5y)-44%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- ASPN has a Operating Margin of 3.27%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ASPN underperforms 60.24% of its industry peers.
- ASPN has a Gross Margin of 32.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: ASPN outperforms 66.27% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ASPN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 32.89% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.93%
GM growth 5Y3.11%
2. ASPN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ASPN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ASPN has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for ASPN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ASPN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.66, we must say that ASPN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ASPN's Altman-Z score of -0.66 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ASPN is outperformed by 87.95% of its industry peers.
- ASPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 46.99. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ASPN would need 46.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 46.99, ASPN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- ASPN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of ASPN (0.31) is better than 77.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 46.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC11.79%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.94 indicates that ASPN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.94, ASPN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- ASPN has a Quick Ratio of 3.33. This indicates that ASPN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- ASPN has a Quick ratio of 3.33. This is amongst the best in the industry. ASPN outperforms 93.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.33 |
3. ASPN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ASPN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -223.08%.
- The Revenue for ASPN has decreased by -40.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.00% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-223.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-378.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-40.11%
Revenue growth 3Y14.54%
Revenue growth 5Y22%
Sales Q2Q%-66.42%
3.2 Future
- ASPN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 49.94% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ASPN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 19.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.34%
EPS Next 2Y33.78%
EPS Next 3Y52.26%
EPS Next 5Y49.94%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y0%
Revenue Next 3Y18.24%
Revenue Next 5Y19.26%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. ASPN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ASPN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
- Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ASPN. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ASPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ASPN is cheaper than 86.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- ASPN's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 94.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as ASPN's earnings are expected to grow with 52.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y33.78%
EPS Next 3Y52.26%
5. ASPN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ASPN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ASPN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
3.06
-0.17 (-5.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners71.67%
Inst Owner Change-0.67%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change1.04%
Market Cap253.46M
Revenue(TTM)271.10M
Net Income(TTM)-305.28M
Analysts76.92
Price Target6.63 (116.67%)
Short Float %10.8%
Short Ratio4.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-101.12%
Min EPS beat(2)-176.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-25.4%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-32.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-176.85%
Max EPS beat(4)57.28%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)89.76%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)72.04%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)45.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.47%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.47%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.37%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.61%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.03%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)-58.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)-61.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-17.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-19.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.72 | ||
| P/FCF | 94.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.84 | ||
| P/B | 0.83 | ||
| P/tB | 0.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.74 |
EPS(TTM)-0.64
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.62
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY1.06%
OCF(TTM)0.63
OCFY20.68%
SpS4.26
BVpS3.69
TBVpS3.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -62.12% | ||
| ROE | -99.85% | ||
| ROCE | 2.74% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.79% | ||
| OM | 3.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 32.89% | ||
| FCFM | 0.76% |
ROA(3y)-33.6%
ROA(5y)-26.79%
ROE(3y)-57.54%
ROE(5y)-44%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.93%
GM growth 5Y3.11%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 46.99 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 221.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.1% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 154.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.66 |
F-Score4
WACC11.79%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-223.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-378.57%
EPS Next Y3.34%
EPS Next 2Y33.78%
EPS Next 3Y52.26%
EPS Next 5Y49.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-40.11%
Revenue growth 3Y14.54%
Revenue growth 5Y22%
Sales Q2Q%-66.42%
Revenue Next Year-27.97%
Revenue Next 2Y0%
Revenue Next 3Y18.24%
Revenue Next 5Y19.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-73.72%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year98.83%
EBIT Next 3Y33.78%
EBIT Next 5Y20.89%
FCF growth 1Y102.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y640.1%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
ASPEN AEROGELS INC / ASPN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ASPEN AEROGELS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ASPN.
Can you provide the valuation status for ASPEN AEROGELS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) stock?
ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
How financially healthy is ASPEN AEROGELS INC?
The financial health rating of ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ASPEN AEROGELS INC (ASPN) is expected to grow by 3.34% in the next year.