Arconic Corporation (ARNC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ARNC • US03966V1070

29.99 USD
+0.01 (+0.03%)
At close: Aug 17, 2023
29.99 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 8/17/2023, 8:04:00 PM

This ARNC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

2

ARNC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ARNC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. ARNC has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. ARNC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ARNC had negative earnings in the past year.
  • ARNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ARNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFARNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The profitability ratios for ARNC are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
  • ARNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.84%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
  • ARNC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.44%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.53%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.44%) for ARNC is below the current ROIC(6.84%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 6.84%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.44%
ROIC(5y)6.5%
ARNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICARNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Operating Margin value of 4.41%, ARNC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ARNC has grown nicely.
  • ARNC's Gross Margin of 10.75% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ARNC outperforms 43.92% of its industry peers.
  • ARNC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 10.75%
OM growth 3Y3.22%
OM growth 5Y3.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.23%
GM growth 5Y-5.88%
ARNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsARNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 5 -5 10 15

2

2. ARNC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ARNC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ARNC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ARNC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ARNC Yearly Shares OutstandingARNC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ARNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsARNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.02 indicates that ARNC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of ARNC (2.02) is worse than 60.14% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ARNC is 9.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take ARNC, 9.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.24, ARNC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the high side and indicates that ARNC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • ARNC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ARNC is outperformed by 89.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 9.24
Altman-Z 2.02
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC9.15%
ARNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFARNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that ARNC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ARNC (1.62) is worse than 77.03% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that ARNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of ARNC (0.80) is worse than 82.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.8
ARNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesARNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2

3. ARNC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ARNC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -236.96%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -7.14% in the past year.
  • ARNC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.60% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-236.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.14%
Revenue growth 3Y7.19%
Revenue growth 5Y5.6%
Sales Q2Q%-21.9%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 58.56% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ARNC will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y204.68%
EPS Next 2Y89.31%
EPS Next 3Y58.56%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.31%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ARNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
ARNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 -2

6

4. ARNC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ARNC. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.97 indicates a reasonable valuation of ARNC.
  • ARNC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ARNC is cheaper than 73.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ARNC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 9.97
ARNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ARNC is valued a bit cheaper than 72.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ARNC indicates a rather cheap valuation: ARNC is cheaper than 83.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.4
EV/EBITDA 7.5
ARNC Per share dataARNC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ARNC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ARNC's earnings are expected to grow with 58.56% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y89.31%
EPS Next 3Y58.56%

0

5. ARNC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ARNC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ARNC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Arconic Corporation

NYSE:ARNC (8/17/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 29.99 0 (0%)

29.99

+0.01 (+0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)07-31
Earnings (Next)10-30
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners45.06%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.01B
Revenue(TTM)8.14B
Net Income(TTM)-254.00M
Analysts45.71
Price Target23.97 (-20.07%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.56%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.85%
Max EPS beat(2)13.73%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-354.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-1053.9%
Max EPS beat(4)13.73%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.39%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.03%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 9.97
P/S 0.37
P/FCF 17.4
P/OCF 7.01
P/B 2.03
P/tB 2.53
EV/EBITDA 7.5
EPS(TTM)-2.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)3.01
Fwd EY10.03%
FCF(TTM)1.72
FCFY5.75%
OCF(TTM)4.28
OCFY14.26%
SpS81.13
BVpS14.79
TBVpS11.86
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 6.84%
ROICexc 7.31%
ROICexgc 7.91%
OM 4.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 10.75%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.44%
ROIC(5y)6.5%
ROICexc(3y)7.09%
ROICexc(5y)6.95%
ROICexgc(3y)7.8%
ROICexgc(5y)7.75%
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.13%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.91%
OM growth 3Y3.22%
OM growth 5Y3.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.23%
GM growth 5Y-5.88%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 9.24
Debt/EBITDA 2.76
Cap/Depr 116.36%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 2.02
F-Score4
WACC9.15%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)80.35%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-236.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.76%
EPS Next Y204.68%
EPS Next 2Y89.31%
EPS Next 3Y58.56%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.14%
Revenue growth 3Y7.19%
Revenue growth 5Y5.6%
Sales Q2Q%-21.9%
Revenue Next Year-8.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.31%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.12%
EBIT growth 3Y10.64%
EBIT growth 5Y9.07%
EBIT Next Year124.34%
EBIT Next 3Y41.78%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y145.41%
FCF growth 3Y-28.65%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y325.79%
OCF growth 3Y-9.57%
OCF growth 5Y13.18%

Arconic Corporation / ARNC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arconic Corporation (ARNC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to ARNC.


Can you provide the valuation status for Arconic Corporation?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Arconic Corporation (ARNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ARNC stock?

Arconic Corporation (ARNC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is Arconic Corporation?

The financial health rating of Arconic Corporation (ARNC) is 3 / 10.