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Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ARCH - US03940R1077 - Common Stock

134.83 USD
+0.94 (+0.7%)
Last: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
133.13 USD
-1.7 (-1.26%)
After Hours: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

ARCH gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making ARCH a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. ARCH is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. These ratings could make ARCH a good candidate for value investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ARCH was profitable.
In the past year ARCH had a positive cash flow from operations.
ARCH had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
ARCH had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.57%, ARCH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH has a better Return On Equity (12.43%) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.85%, ARCH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.27% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 29.63%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.86%.
The 3 year average ROIC (29.63%) for ARCH is well above the current ROIC(8.85%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROIC 8.85%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200

1.3 Margins

ARCH's Profit Margin of 6.69% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ARCH outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
ARCH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 7.76%, ARCH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 17.11%, ARCH is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.38% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
ARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ARCH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ARCH has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ARCH has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ARCH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M
ARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.29 indicates that ARCH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ARCH has a Altman-Z score of 4.29. This is in the better half of the industry: ARCH outperforms 65.99% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ARCH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Altman-Z 4.29
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC11.21%
ARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

2.3 Liquidity

ARCH has a Current Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that ARCH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ARCH has a Current ratio (2.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.41 indicates that ARCH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ARCH has a Quick ratio (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
ARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ARCH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -64.17%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.55% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue for ARCH has decreased by -17.03% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.11% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ARCH will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.93% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -7.19% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
ARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 40

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.13, which indicates a correct valuation of ARCH.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ARCH indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ARCH is cheaper than 79.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.08, ARCH is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.77, the valuation of ARCH can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ARCH is valued cheaper than 89.12% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
ARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ARCH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
87.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ARCH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.58
EV/EBITDA 6.26
ARCH Per share dataARCH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ARCH may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ARCH's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.74%, ARCH is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.60, ARCH pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, ARCH's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of ARCH grows each year by 47.85%, which is quite nice.
ARCH has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ARCH Yearly Dividends per shareARCH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

50.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ARCH. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of ARCH has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP50.86%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
ARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B
ARCH Dividend Payout.ARCH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ARCH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Arch Resources Inc

NYSE:ARCH (1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 133.13 -1.7 (-1.26%)

134.83

+0.94 (+0.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-13 2025-02-13/amc
Inst Owners99.38%
Inst Owner Change-68.41%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.44B
Analysts76.67
Price Target168.3 (24.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%
Yearly Dividend11.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
DP50.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-64.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-78%
Max EPS beat(2)-51.83%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-41.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-78%
Max EPS beat(4)-16.39%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-25.89%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-19.32%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-17.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.14%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.78%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.31%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)10.33%
Revenue beat(16)16
Avg Revenue beat(16)11.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-85.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-18.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
P/S 0.91
P/FCF 11.58
P/OCF 6.2
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 6.26
EPS(TTM)10.27
EY7.62%
EPS(NY)19.9
Fwd EY14.76%
FCF(TTM)11.65
FCFY8.64%
OCF(TTM)21.75
OCFY16.13%
SpS148.03
BVpS79.73
TBVpS79.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 8.85%
ROICexc 10.16%
ROICexgc 10.16%
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
FCFM 7.87%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)35.22%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)35.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)35.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.66%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y3.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 117.1%
Cap/Sales 6.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 108.14%
Profit Quality 117.55%
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
Altman-Z 4.29
F-Score5
WACC11.21%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)152.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.54%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-66.72%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y13.72%
EBIT Next Year-51.62%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y7.3%
OCF growth 1Y-66.1%
OCF growth 3Y118.27%
OCF growth 5Y8.74%