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Arch Resources Inc (ARCH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:ARCH - US03940R1077 - Common Stock

134.83 USD
+0.94 (+0.7%)
Last: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
133.13 USD
-1.7 (-1.26%)
After Hours: 1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ARCH scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ARCH was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. ARCH scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. ARCH is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. This makes ARCH very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ARCH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ARCH had a positive cash flow from operations.
ARCH had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years ARCH always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFARCH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.57%, ARCH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 12.43%, ARCH belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
ARCH has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.85%) than 80.27% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ARCH is significantly above the industry average of 12.92%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.85%) for ARCH is well below the 3 year average (29.63%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ARCH had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROIC 8.85%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICARCH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200

1.3 Margins

ARCH's Profit Margin of 6.69% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ARCH outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
ARCH's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of ARCH (7.76%) is better than 62.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ARCH has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of ARCH (17.11%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ARCH's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
ARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsARCH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ARCH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for ARCH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ARCH has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ARCH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingARCH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M
ARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsARCH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.29 indicates that ARCH is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ARCH has a Altman-Z score of 4.29. This is in the better half of the industry: ARCH outperforms 65.99% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ARCH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Altman-Z 4.29
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC11.21%
ARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFARCH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.01 indicates that ARCH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ARCH (2.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ARCH has a Quick Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that ARCH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ARCH's Quick ratio of 1.41 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ARCH outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
ARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesARCH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ARCH have decreased strongly by -64.17% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ARCH shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.55% on average per year.
The Revenue for ARCH has decreased by -17.03% in the past year. This is quite bad
ARCH shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%

3.2 Future

ARCH is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -5.93% yearly.
ARCH is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -7.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesARCH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
ARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesARCH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 40

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.13, which indicates a correct valuation of ARCH.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ARCH is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.59% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ARCH's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.77 indicates a rather cheap valuation of ARCH.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ARCH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, ARCH is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
ARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsARCH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

ARCH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ARCH is cheaper than 77.55% of the companies in the same industry.
87.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ARCH, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.58
EV/EBITDA 6.26
ARCH Per share dataARCH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of ARCH may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ARCH's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.74%, ARCH is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
ARCH's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.51.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, ARCH's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%

5.2 History

The dividend of ARCH is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 47.85%!
ARCH has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ARCH Yearly Dividends per shareARCH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

ARCH pays out 50.86% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The Dividend Rate of ARCH has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP50.86%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
ARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendARCH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B
ARCH Dividend Payout.ARCH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ARCH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Arch Resources Inc

NYSE:ARCH (1/13/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 133.13 -1.7 (-1.26%)

134.83

+0.94 (+0.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-13 2025-02-13/amc
Inst Owners99.38%
Inst Owner Change-68.41%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.44B
Analysts76.67
Price Target168.3 (24.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.74%
Yearly Dividend11.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.85%
DP50.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-64.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-78%
Max EPS beat(2)-51.83%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-41.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-78%
Max EPS beat(4)-16.39%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-25.89%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-19.32%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-17.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.14%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.78%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.31%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)10.33%
Revenue beat(16)16
Avg Revenue beat(16)11.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-85.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-18.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.13
Fwd PE 6.77
P/S 0.91
P/FCF 11.58
P/OCF 6.2
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 6.26
EPS(TTM)10.27
EY7.62%
EPS(NY)19.9
Fwd EY14.76%
FCF(TTM)11.65
FCFY8.64%
OCF(TTM)21.75
OCFY16.13%
SpS148.03
BVpS79.73
TBVpS79.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.57%
ROE 12.43%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 8.85%
ROICexc 10.16%
ROICexgc 10.16%
OM 7.76%
PM (TTM) 6.69%
GM 17.11%
FCFM 7.87%
ROA(3y)29.78%
ROA(5y)16.37%
ROE(3y)59.38%
ROE(5y)18.66%
ROIC(3y)29.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)35.22%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)35.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)35.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.66%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y3.66%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.96%
GM growth 3Y61.46%
GM growth 5Y3.54%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.13
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.61
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 117.1%
Cap/Sales 6.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 108.14%
Profit Quality 117.55%
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.41
Altman-Z 4.29
F-Score5
WACC11.21%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)152.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.54%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y12.55%
EPS Q2Q%-89.51%
EPS Next Y-81.89%
EPS Next 2Y-9.01%
EPS Next 3Y-5.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.03%
Revenue growth 3Y28.94%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%-17.02%
Revenue Next Year-19.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.78%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-66.72%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y13.72%
EBIT Next Year-51.62%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y7.3%
OCF growth 1Y-66.1%
OCF growth 3Y118.27%
OCF growth 5Y8.74%