AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AR4 • DE000A0JK2A8

17.85 EUR
+0.05 (+0.28%)
Last: Jun 30, 2023, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AR4 scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AR4 was compared to 117 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. AR4 may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AR4 has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AR4 had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AR4 had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
AR4.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAR4.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AR4 has a Return On Assets of 5.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AR4 outperforms 84.47% of its industry peers.
  • AR4 has a better Return On Equity (22.26%) than 94.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.51%
ROE 22.26%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)4.8%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)21%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AR4.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAR4.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AR4 (2.73%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AR4 has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 35.17%, AR4 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AR4 has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 2.73%
GM 35.17%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y63.62%
PM growth 5Y-29.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.21%
GM growth 5Y-1.78%
AR4.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAR4.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 20 30 40 50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for AR4 has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AR4 is higher compared to a year ago.
AR4.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAR4.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M
AR4.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAR4.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • AR4 has an Altman-Z score of 2.79. This is not the best score and indicates that AR4 is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • AR4's Altman-Z score of 2.79 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AR4 outperforms 73.79% of its industry peers.
  • AR4 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.89. This is a neutral value indicating AR4 is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • AR4's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AR4 outperforms 44.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.79
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AR4.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAR4.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.45 indicates that AR4 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AR4 (1.45) is better than 71.84% of its industry peers.
  • AR4 has a Quick Ratio of 1.45. This is a bad value and indicates that AR4 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.94, AR4 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.94
AR4.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAR4.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AR4 have decreased strongly by -38.48% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AR4 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -27.19% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, AR4 shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 24.15%.
  • Measured over the past years, AR4 shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.48%
EPS 3Y69.87%
EPS 5Y-27.19%
EPS Q2Q%-73.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.15%
Revenue growth 3Y0.7%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.02%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AR4 will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.85% on average per year.
  • AR4 is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.03%
EPS Next 2Y26.41%
EPS Next 3Y11.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.66%
Revenue Next 2Y4.06%
Revenue Next 3Y4.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AR4.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAR4.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B
AR4.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAR4.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AR4 is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.12.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AR4 indicates a rather cheap valuation: AR4 is cheaper than 96.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AR4 is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.31 indicates a reasonable valuation of AR4.
  • 91.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AR4, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AR4 to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.11), we can say AR4 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.12
Fwd PE 8.31
AR4.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAR4.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AR4 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.41
AR4.DE Per share dataAR4.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AR4's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.41%
EPS Next 3Y11.85%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.27%, AR4 has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • AR4's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.08.
  • AR4's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AR4 decreases each year by -17.97%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-17.97%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AR4.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAR4.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2021 2022 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • AR4 pays out 34.47% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP34.47%
EPS Next 2Y26.41%
EPS Next 3Y11.85%
AR4.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAR4.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M
AR4.DE Dividend Payout.AR4.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AR4.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE

FRA:AR4 (6/30/2023, 7:00:00 PM)

17.85

+0.05 (+0.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap489.13M
Revenue(TTM)4.41B
Net Income(TTM)120.40M
Analysts80
Price Target37.99 (112.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%
Yearly Dividend1.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)-17.97%
DP34.47%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.19%
PT rev (3m)-5.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.12
Fwd PE 8.31
P/S 0.11
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.9
P/tB 1.1
EV/EBITDA 9.41
EPS(TTM)4.33
EY24.26%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY12.04%
FCF(TTM)-3.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.53
OCFYN/A
SpS161.09
BVpS19.74
TBVpS16.21
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.51%
ROE 22.26%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 2.73%
GM 35.17%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.8%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)21%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y63.62%
PM growth 5Y-29.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.21%
GM growth 5Y-1.78%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.89
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 8
Cap/Depr 67.36%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.94
Altman-Z 2.79
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)54.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.48%
EPS 3Y69.87%
EPS 5Y-27.19%
EPS Q2Q%-73.16%
EPS Next Y20.03%
EPS Next 2Y26.41%
EPS Next 3Y11.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.15%
Revenue growth 3Y0.7%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.02%
Sales Q2Q%17.74%
Revenue Next Year4.66%
Revenue Next 2Y4.06%
Revenue Next 3Y4.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-97.94%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year205.27%
EBIT Next 3Y47.33%
EBIT Next 5Y34.34%
FCF growth 1Y-647.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-120.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE / AR4.DE FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AR4.DE.


What is the valuation status of AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) stock?

AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) is expected to grow by 20.03% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) stock?

The dividend rating of AURELIUS EQUITY OPPORTUNITIE (AR4.DE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 34.47%.